Ragin' Cajuns should handle UNR
December 16, 2014 3:00 AM
by Doc's Sports
We turned our attention to the NFL for last week’s picks and went 2-1 to pull within one victory of .500 for the season.
Recapping this past Sunday’s selections, Green Bay let us down as a 7-point road favorite against Buffalo in a stunning 21-13 loss, but we were on the right side of Minnesota covering against Detroit as a 7.5-point road underdog as well as with Denver (-3.5) in a 22-10 road victory against San Diego to clinch the AFC West title.
We will now turn our attention to the college bowl season for this week’s top three selections for GamingToday. Doc’s is 25-14 this season in our top college football plays, which means $100 bettors using our Unit Betting System are up $5,740 on the year.
Here are this week’s selections:
Take LA-LAFAYETTE (-1) over Nevada (11 a.m. Sunday, Dec. 20): The Ragin’ Cajuns finished the regular season on a tear with a straight-up 7-1 run in their last eight games while going 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven outings. Led by a powerful ground game, LA-Lafayette averaged 30.6 points per game this season. Elijah McGuire piled-up 1,185 rushing yards on just 150 carries to average 7.8 yards a run. The defense did its part by holding teams to 23 points or less in five of its last eight games.
Nevada stumbled a bit down the stretch with a 1-2 record both SU and ATS in its final three games after suffering back-to-back losses to Air Force and Fresno State. This is another team that did a good job running the ball, but it was quarterback Cody Fajardo that led the way. He threw for 2,374 yards and 18 touchdowns, while leading the team in rushing with 997 yards and 13 scores. He should be able to keep things interesting this Saturday, but in the end, look for the Wolf Pack to still come up short.
Take AIR FORCE (+2) over Western Michigan (5:45 p.m. Sunday, Dec. 20): Air Force is another team heading into its bowl game with a head of steam. The Falcons won five of their last six games SU while going a profitable 4-1 ATS in their last five. They closed things out with an impressive 27-24 victory against Colorado State as 7.5-point home underdogs. Nate Romine got the start at quarterback against the Rams and while he only threw for 135 yards, he led a potent rushing attack with 61 of the total 242 yards on the day.
Western Michigan’s six-game winning streak in the MAC came to a sudden halt in a 31-21 loss to Northern Illinois as an eight-point home favorite that cost it a shot at playing for the conference title. The Broncos finished the season 8-4 SU with a 10-2 record ATS. The concern in this matchup is their level of competition this season does not matchup with the teams that Air Force faced in the Mountain West. Western Michigan is stepping-up a bit too high in class to being giving points in this one.
Take SAN DIEGO ST (-2) over Navy (9:30 p.m. Tuesday, Dec. 23): The Aztecs bounced-back from a nine-point loss to Boise State on Nov. 15 with solid victories over Air Force and San Jose State to finish the year 2-1 SU with a 3-0 record ATS. Overall, they went 7-5 SU (6-5-1 ATS) this season. The primary strength of this team has been a shutdown defense that is ranked 14th in the nation in points allowed (20.1). After giving-up 38 points in the loss to the Broncos, this unit only allowed a combined 21 points in its last two games.
Navy ran its current SU winning streak to three games with a 17-10 victory against Army this past Saturday in that fabled series, but it failed to cover as a heavy 16.5-point favorite. While the Midshipmen have gone 5-1 SU in their last six games, they are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. This bowl is another case where a team is stepping-up a bit too high in class against one of the better teams in very deep MWC lineup.
Last week: 2-1
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