BYU's run of covers will end with UCLA
September 15, 2015 3:04 AM
by Doc's Sports
We are two weeks into the new college football season and Doc’s Sports Services took a step backward this past Saturday with a 1-2 record on our three weekly selections for GamingToday.
This leaves us even (3-3) for the year after a solid 2-1 start in Week 1. Doc’s has once again teamed up with GamingToday to give you three of our strongest selections for each and every week of this year’s college football season.
Doc’s believes you should bet on what you know best and no one in the sports gaming industry has a better insight into Big Ten football than we do.
Looking back at last week’s picks, we had a great start out of the gate with the right call on Colorado over UMass with the Buffalo’s 48-14 rout as 13.5-point home favorites. A late scoring drive sunk our pick in Washington State’s thrilling 37-34 victory against Rutgers in a game that was listed as a “Pick.” We were also on the wrong side of Iowa’s 31-17 win against in-state rival Iowa State as a 4.5-point favorite on the road.
Here are this week’s selections:
Take MIAMI, FLA. (-4) over Nebraska.
The Hurricanes are off to a 2-0 start both straight-up and against the spread behind an offense that has rolled-up 89 points in two lopsided victories.
Miami will be tested this Saturday as it steps way up in class following its wins over Bethune-Cookman and Florida Atlantic, but the play of quarterback Brad Kaaya and running back Joseph Yearby give the Hurricanes a solid one-two punch that could be too much to contain for the Cornhuskers’ defense that had trouble stopping BYU.
Nebraska did bounce back from that stunning 33-28 loss to the Cougars on opening day as a 4.5-point home favorite with a 48-9 romp against South Alabama as heavy 27.5-point favorites at home this past Saturday.
The Cornhuskers will have their hands full heading into Miami against a Hurricanes’ team that is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games following an ATS win. Miami is also 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games so look for this trend to hold true again this Saturday.
Take FLORIDA (-3) over Kentucky.
Florida will open play in the SEC after fairly routine victories against New Mexico State and East Carolina although it did fail to cover in its 31-24 win against the Pirates as a 20.5-point home favorite this past Saturday.
The most impressive thing about this year’s Gators has been their ability to move the ball through the air with an average of 294.5 yards a game. Florida should be able to refocus itself this Saturday against a familiar foe after last week’s sloppy play kept things a bit too close for comfort.
The Wildcats are coming off a huge 26-22 upset of South Carolina in their conference opener after closing as 7-point underdogs on the road this past Saturday.
This followed a 40-33 victory against UL-Lafayette in their opener as 16.5-point home favorites.
Despite this solid start, there has to be some concern on the defensive side of the ball, especially against a conference opponent.
Kentucky is just 7-18 ATS in its last 25 SEC games, including a 1-7 record ATS in its last eight games against the Gators.
Take UCLA (-16.5) over BYU.
The Bruins are a perfect 2-0 both SU and ATS heading into this game after beating both Virginia and UNLV. They covered as heavy 32-point road favorites against the Rebels this past Saturday in a 37-3 romp.
UCLA has shown some solid balance on offense with a passing game that is averaging 302 yards a game, complementing a ground game that has hammered-out an average of 212.5 yards in two games. This kind of firepower should be able to carry the Bruins to another big win this Saturday night.
Give credit to the Cougars for a 2-0 start (SU and ATS) after closing as slight underdogs in both contests. This past Saturday they got past Boise State, 35-24, as two-point underdogs at home following that opening day upset of Nebraska.
The concern in this matchup is BYU’s 2-7 record ATS in their last nine road games against a team with a SU winning record at home. This compares to UCLA’s record of 17-6 ATS in its last 23 home games against a team with a SU winning record on the road.
CFB Last Week: 1-2-0
CFB Season: 3-3-0
Doc’s Sports is celebrating their 43rd year in the sports handicapping industry and giving GamingToday readers $60 worth member picks free with no obligation. Visit www.GTfree60.com. Email: firstname.lastname@example.org.