Doc's not turning back on the Wolfpack
October 06, 2015 3:00 AM
by Doc's Sports
Doc’s Sports Services is off to another winning season with our college football selections overall, but last Saturday we took it on the chin in our top three plays for Gaming Today.
That is the way it goes sometimes when the ball does not bounce your way, but we remain confident we can turn things around.
Recapping last week’s picks, we went with both Clemson and Oklahoma State as favorites, but a late rally by Notre Dame forced a backdoor cover against the Tigers while the Cowboys needed a late field goal to steal a win. We also went with Nevada as a 9.5-point home favorite against UNLV, but the Wolf Pack ended-up on the wrong end of a 23-17 loss.
Here are this week’s NCAA Football selections:
Take LSU (-12) over South Carolina: The Tigers have risen to No. 7 in the latest AP Top 25 behind a 5-0 straight-up start in which they have outscored their opponents by a combined 58 points. LSU has only covered once this season, but giving-up just 12 points in this matchup is a much more manageable spread. Behind Heisman frontrunner Leonard Fournette this offense is ranked fourth in the nation in rushing with an average of 336 yards a game.
South Carolina is still looking for its first conference win in the SEC following last Saturday’s 24-10 loss to Missouri as a three-point road underdog. The Gamecocks are now 2-3 on the year both straight-up and against the spread. They have no passing game to speak of with an average of just 163.2 yards a game and their defense is ranked 78th in the nation in points allowed (25.8).
Take UCF (-2.5) over Connecticut: It has been a rough start for the Knights with five losses both SU and ATS, but they are in a good position to snap this skid at home this Saturday afternoon. Central Florida’s offense has been going through some growing pains with true freshman Bo Schneider under center at quarterback. While he has already been picked-off seven times verse just two touchdown throws, his overall rating continues to improve with every game he plays.
The Huskies’ 2-0 start is becoming a distant memory with three SU losses in their last three games. This past Saturday they lost to BYU 30-13 as 14.5-point road underdogs to fall to 2-3 ATS. Connecticut has only managed to score an average of 15 points a game behind an offense that is generating a total of 302 yards a game. While both of these teams have had their issues on this side of the ball, Central Florida’s home field edge should prevail in this matchup.
Take NEVADA (-6.5) over New Mexico: We are counting on the third time being the charm for the Wolf Pack after they beat us against Buffalo and then failed to cover in last week’s loss. Nevada’s biggest strength remains a running game that is averaging 196.6 yards a game behind James Butler and Don Jackson. Quarterback Tyler Stewart showed his versatility in last week’s loss with 202 yards passing and another 61 yards on the ground.
New Mexico is coming off a 38-29 win over rival New Mexico State this past Saturday, but it could not cover as an 11-point home favorite. The Lobos are now 3-2 on the year both SU and ATS. This is another team that loves to run the ball behind its quarterback Lamar Johnson. He has only thrown for 418 yards this season, but has gained another 404 yards on the ground. One of the things working against the Lobos in this matchup is a shaky 7-16 SU record in their last 23 road games.
CFB Last Week: 0-3-0
CFB Season: 5-10-0
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