Broncos should trample UNLV Rebels

October 27, 2015 3:06 AM


Wisconsin BadgersWe started things off this past Saturday with the right call in Wisconsin’s 24-13 victory against Illinois as a 6.5-point road favorite in one of our top Big Ten picks.

We were also on the winning side of Cincinnati’s 37-13 romp over Connecticut as a 12.5-point favorite at home. The one game we did get tripped-up on was going with Utah as a 3-point road underdog against USC.

The Utes’ run to the top of the national rankings came to an end in a very costly 42-24 loss to the Trojans.

Here are this week’s selections:

Take TENNESSEE (-7) over Kentucky: The Volunteers come into this SEC East clash with a straight-up record of 3-4 after giving Alabama all it could handle in a 19-14 loss this past Saturday as 14.5-point road underdogs. This followed their stunning 38-31 upset of Georgia as 2.5-point underdogs at home on Oct. 10. Tennessee continues to be one of the top rushing teams in the nation with an average of 209.1 yards per game, which should serve it well in this matchup.

Kentucky has dropped its last two games after a SU 4-1 start and it is now just 1-4 against the spread in its last five outings. This past Saturday, the Wildcats fell to Mississippi State 42-16 getting 13.5 points on the road and have failed to cover in their last three games when closing as underdogs. Kentucky’s defense had no answer for the Bulldogs’ high-powered offense its last time out and it will have its hands full trying to slow Tennessee down this week as well.

Take MINNESOTA (+13) over Michigan: Minnesota is coming off a bye and it will look to bounce back from a 48-25 loss at home to Nebraska on Oct. 17 in a game that closed as a “pick.” Despite the loss, the Golden Gophers are still 8-3 SU in their last 11 home games and they have a defense that should be able to keep things close in this matchup after such a poor showing against the Cornhuskers.

Michigan is also coming off a bye following its stunning 27-23 loss to Michigan State on Oct. 17 as a 7-point home favorite. It will be interesting to see how head coach Jim Harbaugh’s team responds in this game given the way it lost to the Spartans on the final play. The Wolverines could easily get caught looking past this game as heavy favorites on the road as it is never easy getting a win at TCF Bank Stadium, especially with a SU 2-7 record in their last nine road games.

Take BOISE ST. (-20) over UNLV: The Broncos improved to 6-2 SU with last Saturday’s 34-14 victory against Wyoming, but they could not cover as heavy 34-point favorites at home. The pointspread for this Saturday’s matchup is a bit more manageable in another game they should win with relative ease. Boise State is at the top of the MWC’s Mountain Division behind a passing offense that is averaging 280.3 yards a game and a defense that is allowing just 17.3 points a game.

UNLV has lost its last two games both SU and ATS, including a 31-28 road defeat to Fresno State on Oct. 16 as a 5.5-point favorite its last time out. Coming off the bye week, the Rebels have now allowed 30 or more points in four of seven games and on the year their defense is ranked 76th in the nation in points allowed. It would be hard to see things changing all that much in this matchup given that Boise State is putting-up an average of 38 points a game.

CFB Last Week: 2-1-0

CFB Season: 10-13-0

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