Doc's Sports 11-4 in college football past five weeks

Nov 17, 2015 3:05 AM

Doc’s Sports Services is a profitable 11-4 over the past five weeks.

This past Saturday’s picks started out on a strong note with Nevada’s 37-34 victory against San Jose State as a 1.5-point home favorite. We made it two in a row with Oregon’s 38-36 straight-up upset over Stanford as a 9-point road underdog, but we could not pull-off the sweep with Baylor losing to Oklahoma 44-34 as a 3.5-point favorite at home.

Here are this week’s selections:

Take RUTGERS (-4.5) over Army: The Scarlet Knights bring a four-game losing streak into this matchup both straight-up and against the spread, but it was a brutal stretch in the schedule that included games against Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan as double-digit underdogs. This is a very winnable game for a team that is not nearly as bad as its record might indicate so look for quarterback Chris Laviano to come up big on Saturday.

Army has dropped three in a row SU and it has now failed to cover in its last five games after starting the season 4-1 ATS. This past Saturday, the Black Knights fell to Tulane 34-31 as 3-point home favorites and the low point in this slide was a stunning 21-14 loss to Bucknell on Oct. 17 as 26-point favorites at home. It does not help that Army’s offense is ranked 106th in the nation in scoring with just 22 points a game.

Take NOTRE DAME (-16.5) over Boston College (at Fenway Park): The Fighting Irish are fighting for a spot in the four-team College Football Playoff so they cannot afford to look past this game to a season finale against Stanford. They probably lost some ground with the selection committee heading into this week following a lackluster 28-7 victory against Wake Forest on Saturday as 25-point home favorites. Look for Notre Dame to turn up the heat as a heavy road favorite in this matchup.

Boston College dropped its previous six games SU heading into last week’s bye and on the year it is 3-7 with a 4-5-1 record ATS. The Eagles have failed to cover in their last two games as underdogs including a 24-8 loss to North Carolina State their last time out as 4-point underdogs at home. They have played tough on defense all season long, but they will have a tough time keeping pace with the Irish behind an offense that is averaging just 21 points a game.

Take CALIFORNIA (+12.5) over Stanford: The Golden Bears snapped a four-game skid this past Saturday by pasting Oregon State 54-24 as heavy 22-point home favorites. It was their sixth win of the season to become bowl eligible and it was the first time they covered in their last four games. While Cal has lost seven of its last 10 road games against Stanford SU, it has been able to play them tough with a 5-2 record ATS in the last seven meetings on the road.

We went against the Cardinal last week with Oregon and they have now failed to cover in two of their last three games after a profitable 6-1 start ATS. It was Stanford’s second SU loss of the year, which probably ended any hopes of getting into to this season’s playoff even if it does go on to win the Pac-12 title. The main concern with covering the 12.5 points in this matchup lies with a defense that has now allowed 28 points or more in three of its last five games.

CFB Last Week: 2-1-0

CFB Season: 17-15-0

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