We'll take a 2-1 start with NCAA Football
September 06, 2016 3:06 AM
by Doc's Sports
One of our favorite sports to handicap has been college football, especially in the Big Ten given our Wisconsin roots. All of our picks are backed by an expert team of handicappers that remain committed to providing a very profitable return on your investment.
Last week’s started off with the wrong call in Tennessee’s 20-13 struggle to get past Appalachian State on Friday as a heavy 20-point home favorite. We quickly turned things around on Saturday with a pair of Big Ten picks when Michigan easily covered as a 40-point home favorite in a 63-3 rout of Hawaii and Ohio State ran past Bowling Green 77-10 as a 27.5-point favorite at home.
Here are this week’s selections:
Take UCF (+35) over Michigan: The Central Florida Knights opened their new season with a 38-0 shutout of South Carolina State last Saturday to cover as 26-point home favorites and they will now step way up in class as heavy road underdogs in this matchup. Quarterback Justin Holman only completed half of his 28 attempts for 193 yards, but the Knights ran up and down the field for 201 yards with eight different players carrying the ball.
While we went with the Wolverines last week and won, we decided to go in the opposite direction this week against an opponent that can use its running game to keep things closer than the current five-touchdown spread. Michigan showed why it is one of the top-ranked teams in the nation with last Saturday’s dominating win, but there is a good chance that it does get caught looking past this game just enough for UCF to cover.
Take UConn (+6.5) over Navy: The Huskies open play in the AAC following a close call against Division I-AA Maine last Thursday. They came away with the 24-21 win, but they came nowhere close to covering as 27-point home favorites. This should actually serve as a wake-up call for a team that has serious aspirations to post a winning record this season after going 6-7 SU last year. The other plus is the play of quarterback Bryant Shirreffs as a duel threat with 162 yards passing and 95 yards on the ground.
Navy had little problem getting past Fordham 52-16 as a 19-point home favorite in another season opener against a I-AA opponent. Despite the lopsided score in this game, there are some genuine concerns with a Midshipmen defense that was torched for 302 yards through the air and 162 yards on the ground.
This time around Navy might be able to grind out a SU win between two closely matched teams on its home field, but the Huskies should be able to keep this a three-point game either way right until the final gun.
Take SMU (+27.5) over Baylor: We decided to stay in the AAC for all three picks this week with the final play on SMU. The Mustangs opened their season on the road as seven-point favorites against North Texas. They came through with a 34-21 victory on the strength of a 17-0 lead at the end of the first quarter. Wide receiver Cortland Sutton had four catches in that game for 162 yards and three of them went for scores. SMU was also able to add another 272 yards on the ground with Xavier Jones and Matt Davis leading the way.
The Bears rolled over Northwestern State 55-7 last Friday, but they could not cover as prohibitive 49.5-point home favorites. The offseason controversy surrounding the sudden dismissal of head coach Art Briles did not appear to have any impact in this game. Quarterback Seth Russell tossed four touchdown strikes as part of his 14-for-20 performance that was pretty much limited to the first half. However, this game could be a whole other story against a SMU offense that has already proven it can keep pace on the scoreboard.
Last week: 2-1
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