Sooners should stay hot against West Virginia

November 15, 2016 3:05 AM


When it comes to the results of last week’s top three picks for GamingToday, we were on the wrong side of Georgia’s stunning upset against Auburn in our first game, but quickly evened the score with the right call in West Virginia’s 24-20 straight-up victory over Texas. We kept things going in the right direction with Boise State’s 52-16 romp at Hawaii as a 17-point road favorite.

Last week: 2-1

Season: 16-16-1

Here are this week’s selections:

Take MINNESOTA (+1) over Northwestern: The Gophers’ recent four-game straight-up winning streak came to an end this past Saturday in a tough 24-17 loss to Nebraska as six-point road underdogs, but this is still a very solid team behind a running game that is averaging 197.8 yards a game as well as a defense that is giving up an average of 23.2 points a game. Minnesota has been able to cover against the spread in eight of its last 11 games against Northwestern.

The Wildcats come into this Big Ten battle in the West Division at an even 5-5 on the year SU while going 6-4 ATS. They rolled over Purdue, 45-17, their last time out as 13-point road favorites following back-to-back losses to Ohio State and Wisconsin. One of their biggest issues this season has been inconsistency on the offensive side of the ball when it comes to scoring points with an average of 13.3 points against the better conference teams it has faced.

Take OKLAHOMA (-2.5) over West Virginia: Oklahoma’s current winning streak reached seven games with this past Saturday’s 45-24 victory against Baylor as a 17.5-point home favorite. The Sooners are 8-2 SU on the year and come into this matchup with a SU 4-1 edge in its last five games against the Mountaineers. The Sooners are undefeated in Big 12 play behind an offense that is 10th in the nation in passing and ninth in points per game (44.2).

We went with West Virginia last week and it paid off, but it is up against just too much firepower this week to pull off another big upset. The Mountaineers have failed to cover in four. This offense remains highly productive with an average of 32.2 points a game, but it will have a tough time keeping pace with the high-flying Sooners this Saturday night for all four quarters.

Take BAYLOR (+2.5) over Kansas State: There is no doubt Baylor got bounced around quite a bit its last time out, but we really like the Bears’ chances to quickly respond this week. They will be looking for a strong finish following three disappointing losses in conference play and this is a great place to start with a SU 5-1 record in their last six games against Kansas State. Baylor is 4-1 SU in its last five home games against the Wildcats.

Kansas State comes into this game off a bye after losing to Oklahoma State, 43-37, on Nov. 5 as a two-point home favorite. The Wildcats are 5-4 SU on the year with a 3-6 record ATS. They have failed to cover in four of five games this season when closing as favorites and are 1-4 both SU and ATS in their last five road games.

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