Sweep for Doc's Sports in college football picks
November 29, 2016 3:08 AM
by Doc's Sports
Quickly recapping last week’s perfect 3-0 run, we went with Washington in the Huskies’ impressive 45-17 romp over Washington State this past Friday. We also took Penn State in a rout of Michigan State as a 12-point favorite. Closing things out late Saturday, New Mexico went on to stun Wyoming, 56-35, as a three-point underdog. This clean sweep raised our overall record with GamingToday to 21-17-1.
Here are this week’s selections:
Take TCU (-4.5) over Kansas State: The Horned Frogs will look to finish the season on a strong note after knocking off Texas, 31-9, last Friday as three-point road underdogs. TCU has gone 17-4 straight-up in its last 21 home games and it comes into this Big 12 matchup at 2-1 both SU and against the spread in its last three meetings against Kansas State. Kenny Hill has thrown for 3,010 yards on an offense that is ranked 24th in the nation in passing yards per game.
Kansas State is 7-4 SU on the year, but its record falls to 4-7 ATS. The Wildcats have failed to cover in three of their last four games, including last Saturday’s 34-19 victory against rival Kansas as heavy 23.5-point home favorites. While they have now won three of their last four games SU, this defense has allowed an average of 27.3 points during this same span of games. This could come back to hurt them against TCU’s potent passing attack.
Take TEMPLE (+3) over Navy: The Owls were able to claim the AAC’s East Division title with a SU
7-1 record in conference play and they bring a SU six-game winning streak into this title game. The main reason we are riding Temple in this matchup is its incredible 11-game winning streak ATS after failing to cover in a season-opening loss to Army. The Owls’ success this season has been behind a defense that is ranked 10th in the nation in points allowed (17.8).
Navy laid claim to the AAC’s West Division title with a 7-1 SU record in conference play as part of an overall record of 9-2. While the Midshipman have racked up an amazing 52.8 points a game during their current four-game winning streak, they have also allowed an average of 32.3 points during this same run. Navy is not going to have nearly as easy a time scoring points in this matchup and this porous defense could end up costing the team the conference title.
Take WISCONSIN (-2.5) over Penn State: It has been a very successful season for the Badgers at 10-2 SU, including a 7-2 run to the Big Ten’s West Division title. The only two losses of the year came to Michigan and Ohio State in back-to-back games in October and ever since then they have rolled to a SU 6-0 record while going 4-1-1 ATS. This is another game where we are leaning heavily with the team that has the best defense. Wisconsin’s 13.7 points-allowed average is the third-lowest in the nation.
Give all the credit in the world to Penn State in its run to the East Division title at 7-1 in conference play. The highlight of the season was its improbable victory against Ohio State as a heavy 17.5-point underdog at home. Our concern for the Lions in this Big Ten title game is a defense that gave up 24 points to Purdue and 31 points to Indiana during this impressive run. We also do not see Penn State having enough firepower on offense.
Last week: 3-0