Utah State Aggies set to bury BYU

September 26, 2017 3:07 AM
by

In our first pick for GamingToday on this past Saturday’s slate, we made the wrong call in North Carolina’s 27-17 loss to rival Duke.

After quickly bouncing back with a play on Michigan in the Wolverines’ 28-10 victory against Purdue to cover as 9.5-point favorites, we pulled off a winning day in our other Big Ten pick with Iowa easily covering as a 13-point underdog in the Hawkeyes’ tight 21-19 loss to Penn State. This boosted our overall record with GamingToday this season to 6-5-1.

Here are this week’s selections:

Friday

Take UTAH ST. (+3) over BYU: The Aggies evened their record on the year to 2-2, both straight-up and against the spread, by hammering San Jose State 61-10 on Saturday as slight 1.5-point road favorites. Everything went right for an offense that is averaging 439 yards and 33 points a game.

Kent Myers threw for 181 yards and two scores in Saturday’s win and Utah State racked up 318 yards on the ground with four different players rushing for at least 55 yards, including Myers who added 84 yards and two more scores running the ball.

After beating Portland State in Week 1, it has been a rough ride for the Cougars in consecutive losses to LSU, Utah and Wisconsin before last week’s much needed bye. The offense has failed to score more than 20 points in any of the four games and BYU’s defense gave up close to 500 yards on total offense in the loss to the Badgers. Things will not get any easier this week against an Aggies’ offense that loves to run the ball.

Saturday

Take WISCONSIN (-14) over Northwestern: The Badgers moved to 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS) with that victory against BYU on Sept. 16. Prior to that 40-6 victory as 14-point road favorites, they had rolled over Utah State and Florida Atlantic by a combined score of 90-24. As expected, Wisconsin has gained most of its yards this season on the ground, but sophomore quarterback Alex Hornibrook has also been a big factor in the team’s success with 701 yards passing and eight touchdown throws.

Northwestern was also off this past week following a 49-7 victory against Bowling Green on Sept. 16 as a 21-point home favorite. This followed a stunning 41-17 loss to Duke the week before as a two-point favorite on the road.

The Wildcats also struggled to get past Nevada in its season opener as 24-point favorites at home. Heading into its Big Ten opener against one of the top teams in the conference, Northwestern could be hard-pressed to slow down the Badgers’ with its defense. You also have to question whether or not the Wildcats’ offense will be able to keep pace on the scoreboard.

Take TENNESSEE (+7) over Georgia: The Volunteers’ only loss of the season SU against three wins was to Florida on Sept. 16 in a tight 26-20 setback as 6.5-point road underdogs. This past Saturday, they squeezed out a 17-13 win against UMass as heavy 27.5-point home favorites.

The sluggish effort in this past win cannot make head coach Butch Jones all that happy given the high expectations for his team this season. Look for a much more polished effort this week against a much tougher opponent.

Georgia will have to guard against any kind of let down this week following its impressive 31-3 victory against Mississippi State this past Saturday as a slight 2.5-point home favorite. The Bulldogs are now 4-0 SU with a 3-1 record ATS.

Their other big win this season came against Notre Dame in a tight 20-19 triumph as five-point road underdogs. Heading into this SEC clash, Georgia is just 1-4 ATS in its last five road games against the Volunteers.