Battle of Tigers to LSU

Battle of Tigers to LSU

October 10, 2017 3:12 AM
by

share

Looking back at this past Saturday’s three picks for GamingToday, we started things off with a loss on Penn State as a 14-point road favorite in the Lions’ 31-7 victory against Northwestern.

We evened our record with Oregon State covering with 34 points in a 38-10 loss to USC, and the day ended as an overall winner with San Diego State easily covering as a 9-point favorite in its 41-10 rout of UNLV.

Here are this week’s selections:

Take West Virginia (-6) over Texas Tech: The Mountaineers are coming off a 31-24 loss to TCU as 12-point road underdogs. They are 3-2 straight-up this season with a 2-3 record against the spread.

Behind Will Grier at quarterback, West Virginia is ranked sixth in the nation in passing with an average of 364.2 yards per game through the air. Grier threw for 366 yards and three scores against TCU this past Saturday and he should have another big day throwing the ball this Saturday as well.

Texas Tech moved to 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS by pounding Kansas 65-19 on Saturday as a 14.5-point road favorite. The Red Raiders came up short the week before in a 41-34 loss to Oklahoma State as 11-point underdogs at home. While they are tied for first in the nation when it comes to putting points on the board with an average of 36.8 points per game, they fall all the way to 80th in the country on defense when it comes to points allowed.

Take MTSU (-3) over UAB: The Blue Raiders are an even 3-3 SU on the year with a 1-1 record in Conference USA following Saturday’s 37-17 victory against Florida International. They covered as 9-point favorites at home to move to 3-3 ATS as well. Quarterback John Urzua has started the last four games for an injured Brent Stockstill and he has completed 66.9 percent of his 148 passing attempts for 1,034 yards and five touchdowns to help lead Middle Tennessee to 49th in the nation in passing yards.

UAB comes into this C-USA matchup at 3-2 SU with a 4-1 mark ATS after pulling off a 23-22 upset over Louisiana Tech this past Saturday as a 9.5-point underdog at home. The Blazers also covered in a 46-43 loss to North Texas as 9.5 road underdogs in their conference opener. While they are averaging 33 PPG on offense, the big concern against the Blue Raiders would have to be a defense that is giving up an average of 29.8 points to its opponents.

Take LSU (+6.5) over Auburn: A few shaky games early in the season have the Bayou Bengals sitting at 4-2 SU through their first six outings, including that stunning loss to Troy as 20.5-point home favorites. However, they appear to be back on track with last Saturday’s 17-16 victory on the road against then-No. 21 Florida as slight 1.5-point favorites.

The main strength of this team continues to be a shutdown defense that is holding teams to just 18.8 PPG. Against the Gators, they only allowed 108 yards through the air while keep Florida out of the end zone.

Auburn has won its last four games SU, including a big 44-23 victory against Ole Miss on Saturday at home in a game that ended as a push.

This is the start of a tough three-game road trip that also includes stops at Arkansas and Texas A&M. The Tigers have dropped their last five road games against LSU SU and they have lost seven of their last 10 games against their bitter SEC rival SU overall.

It is going to be hard enough to win this game SU on the road let alone cover a 6.5-point spread.

Last week: 2-1

Season: 9-8-1