Don't be afraid to back UNLV vs. Utah State

Don't be afraid to back UNLV vs. Utah State

October 17, 2017 3:08 AM
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One of our top priorities is to provide value in every selection we release with the use of our Unit Betting System. Some of our biggest winners when it comes to college football over all these years have been on big unit plays in the Big Ten as our home conference, given Doc’s deep Wisconsin roots.

Quickly recapping last week’s three free picks for GamingToday, we started Saturday with a winner right out of the gate with West Virginia’s 11-point victory against Texas Tech as a six-point favorite at home. UAB’s 25-23 upset against Middle Tennessee as a three-point underdog went into the losing column, but we still posted another winning day with LSU upending Auburn 27-23 as a 6.5-point underdog at home. This boosted our overall record to 11-9-1 for the first seven weeks of free picks.

Here are this week’s selections:

Take East Carolina (+5.5) over BYU: It has been a rough go of it for the Pirates at 1-6 both straight-up and against the spread, but a change of scenery from a brutal start to their AAC schedule could serve them well this Saturday at home. One of the main problems with East Carolina this season has been a defense that is allowing an average of 50 points per game, but it continues to show some signs of life on offense behind a passing game that is 30th in the nation in yards gained.

BYU has not been any better this season at 1-6 SU and it has yet to cover ATS in any of those seven games. While the Cougars have done a better job at keeping opposing teams out of the end zone with a points-allowed average of 27.3 PPG, their offense has only managed to average 13.3 points, which is ranked near the bottom of Division IA (FBS). They have been equally deficient at throwing and running the ball, which drains any value out of this team as a favorite on the road. ECU

Take Missouri (-14) over Idaho: Missouri will take a break from its SEC schedule this Saturday following a SU 0-4 start in conference play. The Tigers are 1-5 SU overall with a 2-4 record ATS. Dialing back the level of competition should go a long way toward helping Missouri’s offense put some points on the board this week. Quarterback Drew Lock has been efficient with 1,723 passing yards and 17 touchdown throws and running back Damarea Crockett has gained 481 yards on 80 carries.

The Sun Belt’s Vandals have lost four of their first six games SU and they have gone 4-2 ATS. Stepping up in class on the road makes it a much taller task covering this Saturday behind an offense that has had trouble moving the ball both through the air and on the ground. Idaho is averaging just 359 yards of total offense a game and it is ranked 106th in the nation in scoring with just 22.8 PPG. MISSOURI

Take UNLV (-3) over Utah State: We have gone with the Rebels this season and we have gone against them, but after breaking down this week’s matchup, laying the three points at home offers some solid value to college football bettors. UNLV is just 2-4 SU on the year, but it has now covered in four of its last five games after hanging tough against Air Force on the road this past Saturday in a tight 34-30 loss as a nine-point underdog. The big plus has been a Rebels’ ground game that is ranked 12th in the nation with an average of 265.7 rushing yards a game.

Utah State dropped to 3-4 on the year both SU and ATS after losing to Wyoming 28-23 on Saturday as a two-point underdog at home. This is another team that has struggled all season long to consistently move the ball down the field with an average of 374 total yards a game. While the Aggies have still put an average of 29.9 PPG on the board, their defense has allowed the same amount of points (29.6) to its opponents. UNLV

Last week: 2-1

Season: 11-9-1