College football gets off to successful start
September 05, 2018 3:00 AM
by Joe D'Amico
The opening week of college football gave us fans exactly what we have been craving for and then some. Including Monday’s Virginia Tech victory over Florida State, five ranked teams went down, consisting of two Top-10 teams, in Washington and Miami.
If Week 1 is any hint as to what the rest of the season will be like, we are in store for one of the most exciting NCAAF campaigns in years. Just as exhilarating were my plays last week as my two top releases both got us paid, in Vanderbilt and UNLV covering. My Best Bet picks went 3-2.
If you are serious about making money betting on college football, you have got to be disciplined. The contradiction is at times, you have to be patient and at times, aggressive. I can’t stress enough that you must shop around for the absolute best number. Remember, the difference between being able to dine in luxury and having to snack on fast food is separated by a just a point or so.
Having said that, here are this week’s Best Bets.
Central Michigan -6.5 over Kansas: Saying that Kansas’ OT loss to Nicholls State last week wasn’t as bad as it seems is just early season propaganda coming out of Lawrence. The Jayhawks are a deplorable, 3-37 SU the L40 overall and haven’t won a road game since early 2009. The 1-2 punch of QB Poljan and RB Ward, will light up the scoreboard. But it will be the Chippewas defense that will shine here. With another four takeaways last week, the stop-unit has over 35 the last year and change. Kansas is 7-18-1 ATS the L26 non-conference games, while Central Michigan is 6-1 ATS the L7 overall. C. MICHIGAN
Fresno State +2.5 over Minnesota: The line here is floating around a +2.5. I would prefer a +3, so either shop it, or for the extra 20 cents, buy it. That’s just to be smart, but trust me, you aren’t going to need it. Minnesota threw up 48 points last week on a New Mexico State squad that was without almost half of their defensive starters. They now face a Fresno State “D” that (outside of powerhouses Alabama and Washington), allowed 21 or less points vs. every regular season foe a season ago. The Bulldogs are 11-0 ATS the L11 vs. teams with a winning record, 6-0 ATS the L6 in September, 9-1-1 ATS the L11 on the road, 6-1 ATS the L7 non-conference, and 20-6-1 ATS the L27 overall. FRESNO ST.
Stanford -3.5 over USC: Revenge is a dish best served cold. Stanford comes in here motivated, having dropped the L2 vs. USC. Southern Cal had their hands full with UNLV last week. Despite the win, it made it five straight outings the Trojans have failed to cover. The USC defense has more holes than the Titanic. They face a Stanford team needing vengeance from the L2 meetings and come in here with a confidant QB and a RB looking to make a statement after rushing for a career-low 29 yards last week. The Trojans are 1-4 ATS the L5 meetings, 0-4 ATS the L4 in September, and 3-12-1 ATS the L16 overall. The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS the L4 vs. teams with a winning record, 4-1 ATS the L5 at home, and 4-0 ATS the L4 overall. STANFORD
Air Force +10 over Florida Atlantic: Don’t think for a minute stepping down from a 63-14 thumping at the hands of Oklahoma gives FAU any “street cred” against Air Force. Say what you want about HC Lane Kiffin, but his Owls are 0-4 SU the L4 in regular season play vs. non-conference USA BCS teams. Not only can the Falcons run, and run, and run… but Air Force can cover too, as they are 7-2 ATS the L9 as a visiting ‘dog, 9-3 ATS the L12 in September, and 16-5 ATS the L21 non-conference games. AIR FORCE
S. Carolina +9.5 over Georgia: A triple-revenge-minded USC team was without some of their best playmakers in last year’s loss. They face a Georgia team whose two best players graduated to the NFL, and only return four starters to the defense. The Bulldogs are 3-7-1 ATS the L11 meetings in this series. Way too many points to give a very complete, and underrated, Gamecocks team. S. CAROLINA
Note: For all you football fans out there, “Joe D’Amico’s Football Forecast” begins its 3rd smash season on CBS Sports Radio 1140 this Saturday at 7 a.m. PT and every week through the Super Bowl. Tune in for winners, information, entertainment, and laughs.
Good Luck and have a winning day.