Florida -7.5 vs. Miami (FL), Total 47: The Florida offense certainly improved last season as did the play of QB Feleipe Franks (who had a 24-6 TD-INT ratio last season and cut way down on turnovers) and seeing gradual improvement from his starting QB’s has been a consistent staple of head coach Dan Mullen’s career.
There is some concern for the opener though as the Gators must replace four offensive line starters from last season and will have to face a very stout Miami defensive front here.
On the other side of the football, Miami has a new head coach in Manny Diaz after the abrupt retirement of Mark Richt and defense will be the unit that will carry the Hurricanes this season. The QB position is still the single biggest question mark for Miami. Redshirt freshman Jarren Williams won the starting QB job in spring and fall camp over Ohio State transfer Tate Martell and N’Kosi Perry who got some playing time last season.
Williams has a solid arm and is a dual threat with good mobility but the fact remains he is a first time starter up against a very tough Florida defense that brings back eight starters and got much better late in the season a year ago and should be even better in 2019.
I think this line is in a pretty good spot right now with Florida favored by a TD. In terms of the total, the Under has taken some money and I agree with that move. The value is diminished a bit but looking at this game going Under the total would be my preferred stance in this matchup. UNDER