NCAA Football Free Pick
Saturday, November 9 at 12:30 p.m. PT
Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan State Spartans
Illinois +15 at Michigan State: The oddsmakers are giving Michigan State way too much credit here as I feel this line should be single digits.
Under Lovie Smith, Illinois has improved by leaps and bounds this season, as they have won three straight, while covering four in a row against such notables as Michigan, Wisconsin, and Purdue.
Granted, MSU steps down in class a bit after consecutive losses to Ohio State, Wisconsin, and Penn State, but the Spartans have become point spread poison, riding a four-game no- cover streak. Without much of a running game, the offense is left in the hands of erratic quarterback Brian Lewerke.
The potent rushing attack of Reggie Corbin and Dre Brown (1,019 yards rushing, nine TD’s combined) will keep the Michigan State “D” honest and keep this game very close.
The Fighting Illini are money in conference play, going 4-0 ATS the last four vs. Big Ten opponents. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS the last four vs. the Big Ten, 1-6 ATS the last seven at home, and 2-5 ATS the last seven following a bye week. ILLINOIS