Time to pay up on season win totals

Nov 29, 2019 3:00 AM

More than 15 college football team win totals from Power 5 conference teams will be decided in the final games of the regular season this holiday weekend.

A few of those teams, despite lofty expectations for the season and current national title contender status, are seeing their win totals decided in high-profile contests.

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Those holding Over tickets on ranked teams are in a pretty good position heading into the final game. While it may have been a sweat to get to this point, those teams aren’t expected to encounter tremendous difficulty in the finale. In reality, those bettors have easily beaten the line despite the bet coming down to the finish.

The 11-0 Clemson Tigers will still need to clear the final hurdle as a four-touchdown favorite at rival South Carolina on Saturday, while the fourth-ranked Georgia Bulldogs (10-1) shouldn’t have a problem getting the necessary win against Georgia Tech (3-8) — also as four-touchdown favorites on Saturday — in order to surpass the posted win total of 10.5 before the season.

The Yellow Jackets are the only Power 5 team with their season win-total decision in the balance (3.5) that is playing another team with its win-total also yet to be decided.

However, the fifth-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1) can only equal their sure consensus posted win total of 11 when they travel to face 15th-ranked Auburn (8-3) on Saturday. The Tigers have already surpassed their expected win total of 7.5.

The 13th-ranked Michigan Wolverines (9-2) surely have the most intriguing of the win-total deciding matchups. The game at the Big House may have more storylines than a daytime soap opera but ticket holders have, at least, currently earned a push with books on the preseason posting of nine wins for the Wolverines, who are +8.5 underdogs to the second-ranked Buckeyes.

The ninth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners (10-1) will have their win total come down to the wire, although they are -13.5 at Oklahoma State on Saturday.

Iowa State (7-4), currently ranked 22nd, will have a closer call than all of the previously mentioned teams but all the Cyclones can do is equal its expectation of eight wins if they can win as five-point favorites at Kansas State.

Independent Notre Dame (9-2), ranked 16th, has equaled its predicted number already and is expected to get reach the Over with a win at Stanford on Saturday as a -16.5 choice, according to oddsmakers.

20th-ranked Boise State (10-1) also has equaled the total established by books in the preseason but will need a win as -13.5 favorites at Colorado State on Friday.

 The Virginia Tech Hokies (8-3), who had a preseason win-total line of 8, will have one of the closest decisions, according to oddsmakers, as -2.5 favorites at Virginia (8-3) on Friday. The Cavaliers went Over their total last week beating Liberty.


Virginia Tech -3 at Virginia: The Hokies have moved to a favorite after opening a one-point ‘dog. Virginia Tech has dominated this series straight-up but this one certainly is expected to be close. Since this should come down to the wire, getting a field goal at home should be enough. VIRGINIA


Alabama -3.5 at Auburn: The Tigers are a solid 8-3 ATS this season and have covered five of the last seven meetings at home. These programs seem to be in their usual form entering the Iron Bowl and with the Tide certainly the public side, we’re willing to consider the far healthier Tigers as a home ‘dog. AUBURN

Texas A&M +17 at LSU: There were 148 points scored in that incredible seven-overtime game last season won by A&M. The Tigers will make a statement this time, especially with the Aggies coming off a strong road effort at Georgia last week. LSU has covered five in a row and eight of the last nine in the series. LSU

Notre Dame -16.5 at Stanford: Not many are going to want to consider the Cardinal as a ‘dog here to the Irish but Notre Dame has lost five straight trips to Palo Alto. Notre Dame will get the win here but this number is inflated. STANFORD

Last week: 0-4

Season: 25-27-1

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