With the fantasy playoff push in full swing, we offer one piece of advice to heed over the coming weeks: When in doubt, start your studs.
Remember, you spent a first or second round pick on receivers like Calvin Johnson for a reason. Don’t get caught over-thinking the matchups.
Eli Manning QB, Giants: Looks like the bye week cured what was ailing Big Blue, as Manning rolled up 249 yards and three scores in a 38-10 blowout win over the Packers on Sunday night. Expect another big effort in Week 13 against a Redskins defense that ranks 31 against the pass while surrendering an average of 23.4 fantasy ppg to opposing QB’s (second-most in NFL).
C.J. Spiller RB, Bills: Spiller hasn’t found the end zone in weeks, but the former top-10 draft pick has amassed 233 total yards on 40 touches over his last two starts. Needless to say we’re feeling great about his current workload. Consider Spiller a solid RB2 in Week 13 when he and the Bills host a Jaguars team ranking 29 against the run while giving up an average of 23.0 fantasy ppg opposing RB’s (fourth-most in NFL).
Eric Decker WR Broncos: The former Minnesota standout has found the end zone eight times over his last eight games, but we like Decker in Week 13 because he’s got one of the best possible matchups on the board. Tampa Bay currently ranks dead last in the NFL in pass defense and is surrendering an average of 28.4 fantasy ppg to opposing wideouts (second-most in NFL). Peyton Manning and company should roll up some silly numbers Sunday against this secondary.
Sit ’em down
Josh Freeman QB, Bucs: Freeman had thrown at least one touchdown pass in 13 consecutive games before getting blanked in Sunday’s heartbreaking loss to Atlanta. Life won’t get any easier in Week 13, as the Bucs travel across the country for a nonconference game against a Denver Broncos team that ranks fifth in the NFL against the pass while surrendering an average of just 17.7 fantasy ppg to opposing QB’s in 2012 (tenth-fewest in NFL).
Marshawn Lynch RB, Seahawks: Lynch has been handling a gargantuan workload this season, ranking second in the league in rushing attempts through 12 weeks (21.0 carries/game). But we advise owners to exercise caution this Sunday when Seattle travels to Chicago to face a Bears defense that ranks eighth against the run while giving up an average of just 12.9 fantasy ppg to opposing running backs (third-fewest in NFL). Seattle is scoring an average of just 16 ppg on the road.
Torrey Smith WR, Ravens: Smith comes off a big effort against the Chargers, but he’s at the mercy of inconsistent QB Joe Flacco, who has to contend with the league’s top-ranked pass defense in the Pittsburgh Steelers this Sunday. Remember, Pittsburgh is allowing fewer fantasy points to opposing WR’s than any other team in the league (15.5 pts/gm).
Joe Fortenbaugh, worked as an NFL Agent from 2003-2006 at JB Sports, Inc. Follow Joe on Twitter @joefortenbaugh, and check out his website at NationalFootballPost.com. You can reach him at [email protected].