On the basis of the 49ers impressive win at New England Sunday night, the LVH Super Book has dropped the AFC Super Bowl line from -3 to -2. William Hill sports books currently have the AFC -2.5.
We just saw the NFL’s No. 1 offense (Patriots) against the No. 1 defense (49ers), at New England and even though it was a high scoring affair, the top defense prevailed, giving us something to think about in a possible rematch among conference favorites in the big game.
The 49ers are currently 3-to-1 at the LVH to win the Super Bowl and the Patriots 4-1. The Texans, who appear to have home field in the AFC, are 11-2, but also have that lingering game from two weeks ago when they were torched by the Pats.
While it seems logical the 49ers and Patriots would meet again if their current runs continue, the line gets a little clouded if discussing other teams in the game.
The Broncos would be favored against every team in the NFC other than the 49ers. But the Packers would be favored over every AFC team other than the Patriots or Broncos.
Denver is 4-1 to win the Super Bowl and looks like they’ll have to get through Houston or New England on the road to advance. It’s not improbable, especially after watching them destroy the Ravens in Baltimore last week, but they did lose to both the Patriots and Texans earlier in the season, before Peyton Manning got his groove going.
The Giants find themselves in a similar position with two weeks to go tied with the Redskins and Cowboys in the NFC East.
“The Giants are in a bad spot,” said Golden Nugget sports book director Tony Miller. “They close out against the Ravens and Eagles, but their loss to the Falcons now makes them not in control of their own destiny.”
The LVH has the Giants 25-1 to win the Super Bowl. Their situation is almost identical to what it was last season at this juncture, odds and standings, before they eventually won it all.
The Giants beat up on the Packers and Saints, but in between, have lost to the Steelers, Bengals, Redskins and Falcons over the last six weeks.
If the season were to end today, the Redskins would be in the playoffs, and they are sitting at 25-1 to win the Super Bowl. The Cowboys are 30-1.
The thing with the Giants is that we have seen them do this before. They seem to play well when their backs are up against a wall.
Miller says his Golden Nugget sports book will have some odds offered this week on who will win the NFC East. The LVH has been offering odds on the divisions all season and will have them reposted on Tuesday.
Micah Roberts is a former Las Vegas race and sports book director, and longtime motorsports columnist and sports analyst at GamingToday. Contact Micah at [email protected].