Biggest Vegas Trends for NFL Football Week 13
(EDITOR’S NOTE: Top NFL Week 13 trends and factoids courtesy of RJ Bell, founder of Pregame.com)
Green Bay Last Second Win and Cover
Consensus spread: Green Bay between -2.5 and -3 with a total 46; Spread winner went from Detroit to Green Bay. Over/Under winner went from Under to Over; 79% spread bets on Green Bay; Biggest bets from professionals on Detroit.
Straight Bets: Slightly more net cash on Lions
Parlay Bets: More Packers action. In net, not a big swing for sportsbooks or bettors (though obviously many individuals suffered a horrible beat, while others enjoyed a unexpected win)
Bears at home have covered only 5 of their last 23.
Bengals: road team in Cincinnati games has covered only 16 of last 46; Bengals (-9.5 at Cleveland): first time Cincinnati is a road favorite by 9 points or more (database extends back to 1989).
Bills after losing on the road are 25-7 ATS the next game.
Broncos (-3.5 at San Diego): Denver’s last 59 games, favored 54 times; playing division opponent on road have won NFL record 14 straight (13-1 ATS).
Browns (league-wide) NFL home underdogs by 8 points or more are 34-15 ATS. Browns vs. Bengals: Favorite has covered only 3 of last 17 in this series.
Bucs at home are 17-39 ATS.
Chiefs have covered 5 straight (beating the spread by an average of over 17 points per game); Chiefs last 23 road games, lost only 7 times against the spread; favored against division opponent are 5-15 ATS.
Cowboys (+4.5 at Washington): Dallas as dog by more than a field goal: 18-4 ATS; on Monday Night Football are 1-9 ATS.
Dolphins as a home favorite are 13-40 ATS; after playing Jets are 1-14 straight-up (4-11 ATS) their next game.
Giants (+2 hosting Jets): Last 25 times Giants a home underdog, won the game outright only 4 times; Giants vs. a team with a winning record: 3-16 straight-up (6-13 ATS).
Jaguars (+2.5 at Tennessee): 50th time out of last 54 games Jacksonville has been an underdog.
Panthers have covered 11 of 14 in New Orleans.
Patriots off a loss are 31-11 ATS; vs. opponent that’s lost 2 or more straight games are 34-16 ATS (in Tom Brady era).
Raiders at home are 35-63-1 ATS.
Redskins at home vs. team with fewer wins are 2-17 ATS; Redskins 15-5 ATS against Dallas.
Saints (+7 hosting Carolina): only third time since 1999 as a home underdog by 6 points or more; off a road loss are 24-7 ATS their next game.
Seahawks in December are 14-2-1 ATS.
Steelers (-7 hosting Indy): Pittsburgh when favored week before playing Bengals are 2-15 ATS.
Titans: Last 20 home games, covered only 3 times.
Vikings in December are 11-2 ATS.
RJ Bell of Pregame.com is the only sports bettor on Forbes’ list of Gambling Gurus and has been called “a true insider” by ESPN and a “point-spread maven” by USA Today. Pregame.com is the largest sports betting news website compliant with US Law. Follow on twitter: @RJinVegas. Contact RJ at [email protected]