The biggest change in my 19 years of Super Bowls in Las Vegas is the explosion of proposition bets. What began in the mind of Jay Kornegay at the old Imperial Palace has become just as big, if not bigger than the side and total of the game.
A number of “sharks” showed up last Thursday at the Westgate SuperBook for the posting of Super Bowl 50 props on the new big boards that will be “officially” welcomed to the sports betting world in ceremonies this week.
When you add all the properties putting their best minds to the daunting dask, there must have been well over 500 different props bettors had an opportunity to wager on either in person or on mobile phones or by computer.
This particular writer took the easy route and didn’t list every prop, rather just reading them and choosing the top 25 that looked winnable or were simply intriguing.
I didn’t see any Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton props, but if any show up they wouldn’t surprise me. Messi was there in soccer, Alex Ovechkin in hockey (till ruled out of the All Star game with injury), DeAndre Jordan in basketball. I did use Jordan.
So here are the 25 with some comments.
1 thru 5
The largest lead: 13.5 (over -125, under +105): Judging by recent Carolina games, I can see it happening. OVER.
Team to score longest TD (Carolina -125, Denver +105): The Panthers live on the big play so we’ll side with them.
Both teams with 33-yard FG or longer no -135, yes +115): The defenses on each side are excellent to it’s likely to happen. YES.
Greg Olsen total receptions over/under 5.5 (-110): Olsen is Cam Newton’s safety blanket. OVER.
Newton rushing yards over/under 37.5 (-110): That was the yardage figure at Westgate. I am liking the OVER. (If you prefer UNDER, William Hill had it at 44.5).
6 thru 10
Devon Funchess receptions over/under 1.5 (-110): Without the injured Kelvin Benjamin, Funchess has been gradually worked into the offense. OVER.
Margin of victory: (a) Carolina 31 points or more. At 22-to-1 odds worth the shot with history of past Denver blowout defeats. (b) Denver by 1 to 6 points has a decent payout at 9-to-2 odds.
MVP award: Will take 3 players here. Cam Newton at -130 or Luke Kuechly at 25-1 for Carolina, Peyton Manning the sentimental nod at 3-1.
Which is more – DeAndre Jordan missed free throws or total sacks? (pick’em): I’ll say the Clippers center.
Which is more – Carolina Hurricanes goals or Carolina Panthers’ TD’s? (the TD’s -0.5): My number is at least, 4 which puts me on the Panthers.
11 thru 15
Which is more? Rory McIlroy fourth round birdies or Carolina punts -0.5: I can see Rory with 6 birdies which puts me on him.
Receiving yards: Corey Brown 33.5 (-110): Newton likes the long ball so worth a shot. OVER.
Longest punt return: Ted Ginn Jr. 10.5 yards: Can go yard at any time with that speed. If no flags, he should do it. OVER.
Passing yards: Peyton Manning 240.5 (-110): Always better to side with Peyton who will throw a lot of safe ones. OVER.
Will Newton have a rushing TD? (yes -165. No +145): Newton should get one, especially near the goal line and perhaps more. YES.
16 thru 20
Which will be longer? Made FG +140 or TD reception -160. Very clever prop and a tough choice. Just wanted to give it some publicity.
Receptions: C.J. Anderson 1.5 (over -160, under +140): Peyton will check down a lot, giving C.J. more than enough shots. OVER.
Longest Anderson catch (over/under 8.5 yards, -110 each): Can certainly see one of those going for a first down. OVER.
Anderson receiving yards 13.5 (over/under -110): As you’ve figured out, I feel C.J. will be an important part of the Broncos offense. OVER.
Carolina rushing yards 124.5 (over/under -110): The NFL’s top offense should get that at least. OVER.
21 thru 25
Panthers scoring in all four quarters (yes +240, no -280): Nice payoff if they do. YES.
Panthers get a rushing TD (yes -200, no +175): Might as well take the gift. YES.
Longest Newton rush 12.5 yards (-110): Another gift but at a much more reasonable price. YES.
Carolina first half points 13 (over even, under -120): Panthers have been a quick strike team in the playoffs. OVER.
Gano 1.5 field goals made (ov -160. Un +140): I respect the Broncos defense so can see a couple from Gano don’t you know. OVER.