As I mentioned several times on the “Cash Considerations” podcast, this is the time of year in the NFL where the lines get very difficult to cap and caution is needed when choosing your game of the week.
Because of this I want to talk about the importance of having an online betting app in order to maximize potential winnings with minimal losses. A great example of this is the latest collapse by the Cleveland Browns.
Going back around three weeks ago, on the podcast I said the Browns were live to cover the -10.5 spread against the Detroit Lions. Cleveland jumped out to a 10-0 lead in the first quarter, giving a bettor +20.5 for the rest of the game. After the 10th point for the Browns, I tweeted out: “I hope everyone that has live betting took advantage of the Browns being up 10-0, buyback is a beautiful thing.” The Lions won 38-24, with a TD to cover in the last 4:28 of the game.
Fast forward to this past Sunday, the Browns trailed 7-0 but scored three straight touchdowns to take a 21-7 lead into the 4th quarter. Just like I did against the Lions, I ended up with Browns +3.5 and Packers ML +425, worst case was lose a little, best case was win both sides.
Unfortunately it was lose a little as the Packers won with an overtime TD instead of the FG, cashing my Packers money-line ticket but the Browns unable to cover the spread.
My point is use angles in the game. If we set ourselves up for plays like this, in the long run we will win over time if we can consistently get into low risk situations with solid returns on our cash. Make sure to leave some money in the account for those types of play. To my knowledge the best three live betting accounts going are William Hill, Station Casinos and CG Technology.
Before I get to the plays I would be remiss to not talk about the great UFC main event bout taking place this Saturday live on FOX. Top welterweights and both former UFC Champions, Robbie Lawler and Rafael Dos Anjos battle with the winner likely getting a UFC Welterweight Title shot with an impressive performance. This should be a great battle between two highly skilled MMA fighters.
The undercard features No. 3 ranked featherweight Ricardo Lamas vs. Josh Emmett. No. 10 Welterweight Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Mike Perry, and rounding out the FOX main card is No. 3 Light Heavyweight Glover Teixeira vs. No. 7 Misha Cirkunov.
Let’s turn back the page to the namesake of the column and find the overs of the week:
Suns at Kings (-4, 209): Both teams struggle defensively but both teams have guys capable of scoring in bunches; I think this is a game where both teams play fairly loose and give the Sacramento crowd a show. OVER
Bears at Lions (-6.5, 43.5): It seems no matter what defense Detroit goes up against they always seem to manage to get to 20-30 points. The Bears D has been good at times but too inconsistent for my taste. However, the Chicago offense seems to be turning the corner a little bit. OVER
Cardinals at Redskins (-4, 43.5): Call me crazy but I think these offenses will fly in this game. Seems like a dud game, Washington is out of the playoff hunt, the Cardinals are on life support. Sounds like a bad game. OVER
Patriots (-2.5, 54) at Steelers: The smartest thing New England could do would be to play ball control and keep the Pittsburgh offense on the sidelines. However, while this might work for awhile, I don’t think the Pats have the defense to stifle this unit for long and will eventually be forced into a fire fight. OVER
Falcons (-6.5, 47.5) at Buccaneers: With nothing to play for but pride why wouldn’t Tampa Bay look to play spoilers in prime time. The problem is the Bucs defense hasn’t been great and Atlanta’s offense has looked great lately each time they haven’t played a tough defense. OVER
Last Week: 1-2