MVP candidates other than QB
January 30, 2018 3:08 AM
by Alan Berg
Before I get into my Most Valuable Player breakdown let’s take a look at what I wrote last season:
“For the Patriots give me Dion Lewis 25-1, he has such game breaking speed and can also catch the ball out of the backfield. It would take a ridiculous game from a Patriot other than Brady to win this, but he would be a capable guy.”
Well, I had the right idea as it turned out to be James White, not Lewis, who gave the ridiculous performance, rushing six times for 29 yards and two touchdowns, one of them the Super Bowl winning play in OT, but also adding 14 catches! With the 14 catches he racked up 110 yards receiving and one touchdown. So 139 total yards, a Super Bowl record 14 receptions as a RUNNING BACK, and three touchdowns.
And yet Tom Brady won MVP, because he again crushed the record books. Most passing yards in a game, 466, most completions, 43, most attempts, 62. Earlier, I italicized the Brady fact for a reason, if a “James White” has that type of game again, you can believe Tom Brady is still winning MVP for the Patriots unless… one other Pats star steps up.
Rob Gronkowski 12-1 (Westgate odds): Looking at you Gronk. Part of the Super Bowl lore is giving awards to the star of the show. James White had the best “game” of any Patriot, but since Brady threw for 466 yards in a legendary Super Bowl comeback victory he won the award. There is a reason Brady is -125 to -200 MVP favorite. IF Gronk can catch say 8-10 passes, for 150 or more yards and catch all three or four of Tom Brady’s touchdowns, Gronk will win MVP.
The focus of the value on the Super Bowl props is for those who believe it is the Eagles’ time. Thanks to the lack of star power on the Eagles side, the winner here is wide open should Philadelphia win the first Super Bowl in team history.
Alshon Jeffery 30-1 (WG): Jeffery has in a short time seemingly gained Nick Foles trust; he had a great game in the NFC Championship, going 5-85-2, MVP like numbers, provided Foles does have a couple turnovers.
Torrey Smith 75-1 (Caesars odds): In the same breath we can mention the other guy across the field. This would be a huge shock due do a long line of Smith’s inconsistency, but he has plenty of wheels to make big memorable plays that could be the catalyst to an Eagles win. He also had a great game in the NFC title game, going 5-69-1 and tied a team high eight targets with Zach Ertz.
Definitely check out the prop I came up with for Caesars: Which Player Will Make the First 20-Yard Play. Taking a look at last year, I went 5-3 with my prop selections, with one actually still in action, Devonta Freeman rushing yards +20.5 vs. Vegas Golden Knights 2017-18 points. Amazingly that prop is actually in jeopardy even though I have 95.5 points!
Picks I would take this year: Russell Westbrook +2.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists against Lakers vs. Longest Made FG of Super Bowl LII; Jersey # of Player to Score first TD OVER 32.5 -110; Player to Score First TD: Brandon Cooks -120 over Ertz; Will the Patriots get a rushing TD, NO +140; Will Rob Gronkowski score a TD in the 1st half, YES +230; Tom Brady Passing Yards UNDER 295.5 -110; First turnover of SB LII FUMBLE +125.