Let’s see if Michaels will say Vegas
January 30, 2018 3:01 AM
by Mark Mayer
The proposition wager basically took shape during the 1985 Super Bowl when odds were up as to whether Refrigerator Perry would score from scrimmage as an offensive lineman. He, of course, did and props evolved to what is today a more popular method of betting the Super Bowl than the side or total.
A two-hour radio show last Friday at the Westgate SuperBook was devoted to the release of this year’s crop but all the other major books in Las Vegas put many staff hours to producing pages of betting opportunities that range from the sublime to the ridiculous. It will start from the toss of the coin and end with the last word out of Al Michaels’ mouth.
This year’s additions include cross bets between the Patriots, Eagles and the Vegas Golden Knights, the first-year NHL expansion team like no other in sports in terms of immediate success. I view props the same way as fantasy football. My enamor for both has dwindled over the years because I am first and foremost a bettor who prefers laying my green on side and total. The other ways have become a distraction and quite often a threat to winning my game bet.
I am very much an old-fashioned type player, far preferring to make my bet at the ticket window instead of on a phone app. But I also realize props have now hit the 400-figure and will keep expanding. Though I won’t be wagering on them, here are a few I would recommend to the majority who don’t share my view and are looking for any way to beat the house. They are fun to look at.
1. Will Al Michaels say Vegas? (No -300, Yes +240): This came from an offshore book but one that may find its way somewhere in town. Take YES.
2. The color of Matt Patricia’s hoodie (red -120, blue +130, gray +500): I understand the Patriots have chosen to wear the white uniforms having never lost a Super Bowl in those colors. I will assume blue pants so the choice is a BLUE hoodie.
3. Jay Ajayi receiving yards (o/u 17.5) -110 each way: That’s not a lot of yards and I would think the Eagles’ game plan is short yardage throws. Take OVER 17.5.
4. Stephen Gostkowski FGs made or William Karlsson points? Gostkowski -.5 (-130), Karlsson (+110): I think Karlsson needs at least 3 points to win this bet. Take GOSTKOWSKI.
5. Jonathan Marchessault shots on goal or Danny Amendola receptions. Amendola -.5 (-150), Marchessault (+130): I will assume 5 for Marchessault and take AMENDOLA.
6. Jake Elliott FGs made vs. Golden Knights-Capitals first period goals PK (-110 each): I like to the 2-on-1 opportunity. Sorry, Jake. Take VGK/WASH.
7. Ohio State points -6.5 vs. Rob Gronkowski receiving yards (-110 each): This is one of the more ingenious props. Of course Gronk has to play for the bet to work. Assuming so normally I would side with Gronk, but he could be more of a decoy. The Buckeyes could be good for 70. Take OHIO STATE.
8. Longest FG made in SB LII -3.5 vs. Russell Westbrook points/assists/rebounds (-110 each): Westbrook is good for a triple-double which should put him near 60. Take WESTBROOK +3.5.
9. Wisconsin first half points -1.5 vs. Tom Brady first half completions (-110 each): The Badgers don’t score much, but the Eagles will want to control the football and limit Brady’s possessions. Take WISCONSIN.
10. Distance of 1st made FG -5.5 vs. James Harden total points (-110 each): We will assume a red zone stop and field goal try. Harden could exceed 35 easy. Take HARDEN.
11. Total number of Patriots to score (Over/Under 3.5): Brady like to work the ball around. Remember Gostkowski counts as the kicker. Take OVER.
12. Chris Hogan receptions (o/u 2.5): Eagles will be focusing on Gronk and Amedola. Take HOGAN OVER.
13. Total TD passes by Brady (o/u 2.5): Big difference between over 2.5 (+150) and 1.5 (-240). The GOAT is worth a shot at 3. Take OVER.
BEST BET: WESTBROOK +3.5