Whether it’s the final NFL game of Week 10 tonight or an early look at Week 12 of the college football season, there’s plenty of excitement this week on the gridiron. Here are William Hill’s latest odds and trends.
Monday Night Pro Football: Minnesota vs. Chicago Preview
It’s not too often that you see an NFL team with a losing record favored by a field goal against a team with a winning record. It’s even more rare to see an NFL team with a losing record favored by a field goal against a team with a winning record… on the road.
That is the case for tonight’s NFC North affair, as the Vikings (3-5) are 3-point road favorites at William Hill over the Bears (5-4) in Chicago.
“This line is just based off current form,” said Nick Bogdanovich, Director of Trading for William Hill US. “The Vikings have two impressive wins in a row, including one in Green Bay. Chicago is Chicago: not great, not bad, vanilla on offense, good defense.”
Minnesota opened as a 1.5-point road favorite before the line shot up 1.5 points in its favor. The Vikings moneyline now sits at -175, while the Bears are +155 to win the game outright.
“It’s a big game, especially with the extra playoff spot this year,” said Bogdanovich. “Chicago can further entrench themselves in the playoff talk, and Minny can get back into it. What this game will come down to I think is simple, can Dalvin Cook run on the Bears defense? The Bears hang their hat on their defense and Minny likes to pound the ball with Cook and [Alexander] Mattison. So we’ll see what gives.”
With such a tight spread, William Hill bettors are divided on who will come out on top in Chicago. The Vikings are bringing in 60% of the total number of tickets and 65% of the total dollars wagered for all spread bets vs. the Bears. Yet, Chicago is receiving 56% of the total number of tickets and 62% of the total dollars wagered for all moneyline bets tonight.
The biggest bet in this contest is on the road favorite. A Nevada bettor placed $50,000 on Vikings -3 (EVEN) for a total potential payout of $100,000. Meanwhile, another Nevada bettor placed $24,000 on Bears +3 (EVEN) for a total potential payout of $48,000.
After this total opened at 44.5 and got to as high as 45, it’s now down to 44. Despite the low number, most William Hill bettors are expecting points in the final NFL Week 10 game. The over is attracting 69% of the total number of tickets and 63% of the total dollars wagered.
Check out William Hill’s latest odds and trends for Vikings vs. Bears above.
College Football Week 12: Early Odds Report
Two undefeated Big Ten showdowns. One of the best rivalry games in the country. The defending national champion as a mere 1-point favorite to a team that finished last season winless in conference. These are just a few of the highlights of an exciting Week 12 college football schedule.
In a top-10 battle this Saturday, No. 10 Indiana heads to Columbus in a clash with No. 3 Ohio State. The Buckeyes are 20.5-point favorites in this one at William Hill, however the Hoosiers have won and covered each of their first four games this season.
“It’s rare when ranked teams are getting nearly three touchdowns,” said Nick Bogdanovich, Director of Trading for William Hill US. “Indiana has been really good to bettors, so I think it will slow down Ohio State money. I would assume we’ll need Indiana, but I don’t think it’ll be a big decision.”
The other ranked matchup between undefeated Big Ten squads is No. 13 Wisconsin as a 7.5-point road favorite over No. 23 Northwestern. Wisconsin crushed Michigan 49-11 as 7-point road favorites this past weekend in what Bogdanovich said was “one of the biggest college football decisions this season for us. We couldn’t write a bet for Michigan on Saturday.”
“Wisconsin may be a monster, they’ve played two games with this new quarterback who is supposedly the best thing they’ve had there in forever,” Bogdanovich said. “Wisconsin is back strong. Northwestern is still super vanilla, though [head coach Pat] Fitzgerald has done a phenomenal job there. I’d love to take him in a dog role because of how he coaches and how tough his teams are, but Wisconsin may just be on another level.”
The third and final top-25 head-to-head is between two in-state rivals vying for bragging rights and better Big 12 positioning. No. 18 Oklahoma has won five straight Bedlams, and is a 7-point home favorite in Norman over No. 14 Oklahoma State.
“I think we’ll need Oklahoma State,” Bogdanovich said. “It looks like Oklahoma has righted the ship and has looked pretty good. Oklahoma State blew that game against Texas and barely came away with a win over Kansas State. I would assume we’re going to need the dog, but it should be an incredible game. I think Oklahoma State can upset them if they play well.”
Possibly the most fascinating Week 12 college football spread at William Hill comes in the SEC. One year ago, LSU rode an unstoppable offense to an undefeated season and national championship. On the other end, Arkansas had a midseason coaching change and went 0-8 in SEC play.
Arkansas opened as a 2.5-point favorite at home over LSU, though that line has already moved 3.5 points to LSU -1. The Tigers didn’t play in their contest last weekend against Alabama due to COVID-19, while the Razorbacks failed to cover their first game of the season in a 63-35 defeat to No. 6 Florida.
“This might be the biggest one-year swing in the history of college football betting,” Bogdanovich said. “LSU was a 40-something-point favorite last year when these two teams met. This spot favors LSU, though. They were dealing with some injuries, and probably got to regroup and just focus on Arkansas. Arkansas just came off a tough game with Florida. So the spot definitely favors LSU, but Arkansas has been beat up in the SEC for so long that they’ll be amped for this game to get another notch on their belt.”