Lord Nelson draws out the old folks
May 16, 2018 8:50 AM
by Mark Mayer
(EDITOR’S NOTE: This is the seventh tee shot in our 2018 PGA edition of the Dirty Dozen, which emphasizes the very worst in golf over the past week from a betting perspective. Friday, major league baseball).
This week’s PGA Tour stop is Dallas for the Byron Nelson but forgive us if we think this looks like a Seniors event.
Check out the lineup drawing the high-priced spread – Padraig Harrington, Ernie Els, Angel Cabrera and out of the Golf Channel’s set, David Duval. You can get Duval at 1000-1, which would be good odds for Twin D to just make the cut. He could become the first golfer to earn a pay check both playing golf and analyzing in the same week.
Most of the top players are skipping the Nelson including new world’s No. 1 Justin Thomas, but that’s often the case the next tourney after a big one and competitively none are deeper than the PLAYERS Championship and that famed Island Hole at 17.
The favorite by a sizable margin at Westgate is Jordan Spieth, but his 5-1 odds are more representative of his past play. His present game was a four-putt on the final hole of the PLAYERS. But he is a Texan and forever loyal to his roots.
Other players to watch are Sergio Garcia and Matt Kuchar (both 14-1), Adam Scott (20-1) and Hideki Matsuyama (18-1). Our pick to click this week is Jimmy Walker, second choice at 10-1. Walker was one of the large group at the top of Flight B last week at TCP Sawgrass as Webb Simpson (also resting up) headed the A Flight.
Bettors may want to take a shot with Charles Howell III, who we affectionately call Thurston from his Gilligan Island’s days on TV. At 30-1, his game is solid right now though not resulting in wins. He is a cash cow and would be highly recommended in any matchup props.
And now for our Dirty Dozen list of the 12 most likely not to walk away with Lord Byron’s trophy.
12. Charles Howell III (30-1) – Ginger might be in the gallery.
11. Ryan Palmer (50-1) – Fitting for a Palmer to be in the Byron Nelson.
10. Bill Haas (80-1) – These odds show Son of Jay not in top form.
9. Aaron Baddeley (125-1) – Bad to the Bone for one round maybe.
8. Kevin Tway (125-1) – Son of Bob got some air time at 17 last week.
7. C.T. Pan (125-1) – Check Wikipedia on this dude.
6. Hunter Mahan (125-1) – Still hunting for his game.
5. Padraig Harrington (150-1) – Long time between wins and leaderboards.
4. Geoff Ogilvy (250-1) – Ditto.
3. Ernie Els (200-1) – Waiting to strike it rich on Senior Tour.
2. Angel Cabrera (500-1) – Always fun to watch.
1. David Duval (1000-1) – Do you believe in miracles?
Encore: Garcia and Scott would also be good prospects in any early matchups. They just can’t put 72 good holes together.