The Warriors closed out the Celtics in six games to win the 2022 NBA Finals, and the betting markets are already active around the 2022-23 championship landscape, providing odds to win next season’s title for all 30 teams.
FanDuel has established Golden State as the team to beat at +460 as of June 17, while Boston is the +650 second choice and the Brooklyn Nets are the +700.
The Bucks (+750), L.A. Clippers (+850), and Suns (+950) are next up, all listed in the single-digit odds range.
Register & Bet: $50 Free Bet & $1,000 Bonus at DraftKings
The Rockets, Magic, Thunder, and Pistons have the longest odds at 500-1, so oddsmakers don’t expect teams with top picks in the June 23 NBA Draft to make a significant climb despite adding talented young pieces to their rosters.
Odds to Win 2023 NBA Finals
|Teams||FanDuel||BetMGM (bonus code TODAY)||DraftKings|
|Golden State Warriors||+460||+500||+600|
|Los Angeles Clippers||+850||+800||+600|
|Los Angeles Lakers||+2600||+2200||+2000|
|New Orleans Pelicans||+4500||+6000||+4000|
|Portland Trail Blazers||+13000||+12500||+10000|
|New York Knicks||+14000||+15000||+20000|
|San Antonio Spurs||+21000||+25000||+30000|
|Oklahoma City Thunder||+50000||+100000||+100000|
Scrolling Through The Top Of The Oddsboard
(Odds via FanDuel)
Although key frontcourt pieces Kevon Looney and Otto Porter Jr. and guard Gary Payton II enter free agency this summer, the Warriors will return with most of their team intact. Andrew Wiggins will begin the final year of his lucrative deal signed while with Minnesota, and future Hall of Famers Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green are all under contract for multiple seasons.
The Celtics should be just as loaded as they are this season when the team reports for training camp in October. Among their rotation regulars, only veteran Al Horford hits free agency, and the 36-year-old has expressed his desire to remain part of the equation.
Kyrie Irving and Patty Mills have player options they’ll need to exercise in order to return to Brooklyn, but the expectations they’ll be back and that Ben Simmons will finally join the fray has the Kevin Durant-led Nets in the mix of championship frontrunners. Despite being swept by the eventual Eastern Conference champion Celtics in the first round of the 2022 playoffs, Brooklyn remains highly regarded. Retaining key glue guy Bruce Brown, who undoubtedly has earned himself a raise and will have other suitors, is an offseason priority.
The Bucks are a great value play since one reason they were eliminated in their quest to repeat as NBA champs was All-Star Khris Middleton being sidelined by a knee issue. They should return with a vengeance and have Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday locked up through the middle of the decade. Two key decisions to monitor involve forwards Bobby Portis and Pat Connaughton, who are both likely to decline player options as they seek well-earned pay increases.
Phoenix’s work in the Pacific Division is almost certainly going to be tougher since the L.A. Clippers will join the Warriors as formidable foes. Kawhi Leonard will return from an ACL tear to lead a loaded group alongside fellow All-Star Paul George. Key cogs Marcus Morris, Reggie Jackson, Robert Covington, Norman Powell, Ivica Zubac, and Luke Kennard are all back. Nicolas Batum has a player option to exercise and would probably command a larger salary elsewhere, but even if he’s not in the mix, the Clippers figure to be L.A.’s most formidable team.
The Suns are one of the more intriguing teams to watch this summer since it’s no secret that 2018 No. 1 overall pick Deandre Ayton is unhappy. Phoenix’s center and head coach Monty Williams had a public falling out in the second half of the team’s shocking Game 7 blowout home loss to the Mavericks in the Western Conference semifinals. Since the team declined to give him a rookie contract extension prior to the start of this past season, he’ll be a free agent after 2022-23 and could ultimately be on the move via sign-and-trade.
Chris Paul will return but is now 37 years old and has a few years left on his deal paying him over $30 million until he turns 40. The Suns, in fact, bring back everyone in their rotation with the possible exception of Ayton and JaVale McGee, who again is a free agent. Despite their unceremonious exit, the Suns looked like the best team in the NBA for most of the season, racking up a league-high 64 regular-season wins and appearing destined for the Finals before the wheels fell off.
Still, it’s hard to invest in any futures involving the Suns without knowing how the Ayton situation gets resolved.
Wither The Lakers?
At +2600, the Lakers have the 12th-shortest odds of winning an NBA title at FanDuel, coming in behind the Nuggets (+1700), Mavericks (+1900), and Grizzlies (+1900), in the Western Conference, in addition to the aforementioned Warriors, Suns, and Clippers.
It doesn’t appear that they’ll find a taker for Russell Westbrook, so the Lakers will be counting on improvement from him after a dreadful season where he was plagued by turnovers and poor shooting. L.A. will also be breaking in a rookie head coach in Darvin Ham while hoping LeBron James and Anthony Davis have better luck with injuries. Beyond their big three, only forwards Talen Horton-Tucker and Stanley Johnson and guards Kendrick Nunn and Austin Reaves are sure to be back.
Contenders For A Price
Memphis should be able to build off its unexpected success in 2021-22 since most of the rotation returns intact. Only reserve forward Kyle Anderson and backup point guard Tyus Jones are free agents, so while they’ll catch nobody by surprise, the rise of Ja Morant and his crew should continue, making 19-to-1 odds attractive.
Dallas will make another run behind Luka Doncic but could face a huge loss with Jalen Brunson likely to command a large payday elsewhere, so the Mavs at 19-to-1 odds do not inspire enthusiasm.
MVP Nikola Jokic should have Jamal Murray and Michael Porter, Jr. back as running mates, and Denver has everyone back under contract with the exception of veterans DeMarcus Cousins and Austin Rivers, so the Nuggets are a solid sleeper play at 17-to-1.
In the East, the Heat are likely to lose Victor Oladipo and Dewayne Dedmon from their mix, so depth could take a hit. However, the big domino in South Florida is P.J. Tucker, whose defense and experience are invaluable. The hope is he’ll exercise his player option to return, but that may take some convincing given how highly regarded he is for the intangibles he brings.
The 76ers have the fourth-shortest odds among East teams and will have James Harden back alongside MVP runner-up Joel Embiid. It appears Doc Rivers will be back at the helm after initial rumors he might be let go, and he has a challenge in fostering an improved relationship between the stars. Most of the team’s core will also return, although Danny Green is expected to miss most if not all the coming season after tearing his ACL and LCL in May’s playoffs.
Longshots To Consider
Among the longshots, Chicago (+6500) looks interesting so long as it can keep Zach LaVine, the top free agent in the class of 2022. The Bulls could still be a factor even if he asks for a move, provided they can get a solid haul from a sign-and-trade.
Minnesota (+6500) is the West’s most likely longshot given the expected continued improvement of Karl-Anthony Towns, Anthony Edwards, and D’Angelo Russell.