Sportsbooks have their win totals markets open for the 2022 MLB season, which begins with a healthy slate of games on Thursday, April 7. The baseball season is the longest in sports, with games from April through early October, and 162 contests on the schedule. Bettors can wager ‘over’ or ‘under’ the number of games a team will win, as set by oddsmaker, and these long-term bets can help keep fans engaged through the spring, dog days of summer, and into the fall as the playoff races heat up.
Here’s a rundown of the MLB season win totals market, with updates after the Dodgers signed Freddie Freeman, the Yankees acquired Josh Donaldson and signed Anthony Rizzo, and Kris Bryant chose the Rockies.
MLB 2022 Season Win Totals
The win totals listed below are from Caesars Sportsbook as of Thursday, March 17.
Also be aware that Caesars requires at least 159 games to be played for your wager to count, and be sure to check the rules at the sportsbook at which you play MLB win totals.
The standard -110 juice applies to all of the win totals below, meaning you’ll need to bet $110 to win $100 on your over/under wager.
1. Los Angeles Dodgers, 98.5 Wins (adjusted from 96.5 after Freeman signing)
The Dodgers won 106 games last season but still finished in second place in the NL West. Few expect that to happen again, and L.A. is favored not only to win their division, but also capture the pennant and World Series. If they make it to the Fall Classic, it would be their fourth trip in six seasons.
2. Houston Astros, 92.5 Wins
Hate ’em or love ’em, you can’t ignore the Astros, who last season became just the fourth team to advance to five straight League Championship Series. Even if they lose free agent shortstop Carlos Correa, the Astros will remain the favorites to win the AL West.
2. Toronto Blue Jays, 92.5 Wins↑
A few things are in the favor of the emerging Blue Jays. They have some of the game’s best young talent, including Vlad Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette. Second, they may have an advantage against teams playing in Toronto because Canada has decreed visiting athletes must be vaccinated from COVID-19 to play on their soil.
4. Chicago White Sox, 91.5 Wins
The White Sox improved by 21 wins in 2021 from their previous full season win mark. They’ve lost a few good pitching arms, and the AL Central will be tougher, so I’d expect this team to perform below this 91.5 win expectation.
4. New York Yankees, 91.5 Wins
The Yanks won 92 games last year, but for them it was a disappointing season because they failed to get to the Fall Classic. It’s now been 13 years since the team has been to the World Series, their longest drought since 1981 to 1996.
4. Atlanta Braves, 91.5 Wins
7. Tampa Bay Rays, 89.5 Wins
Won 100 games in 2021 to exceed wins expectations, but it won’t be as easy this season in the AL East.
8. Milwaukee Brewers, 88.5 Wins
Pitching is the key to the Brewers success. Guess what? Pitching is unpredictable. I don’t think Milwaukee gets the top-to-bottom contributions from their staff they received in 2021.
9. San Diego Padres, 88.5 Wins
The Pads were at 90.5 before the Tatis injury. Things are gloomy in sunny San Diego.
10. New York Mets, 87.5 Wins↓
The experts expect the Mets to soar in ’22 with the addition of Max Scherzer, pairing him with baseball’s best pitcher Jacob deGrom. But both hurlers suffered arm problems last season, and Mad Max is now 37… (I proved prescient here, as both starters are shelved currently with injuries ahead of the season).
11. Philadelphia Phillies, 86.5 Wins↑
The Phillies are like that friend who can keep his car right on the speed limit mile after mile. In 2021 they won 82, in 2019 it was 81, and in 2018 the team won 80. This is a .500 franchise, even if they have the game’s best catcher (J.T. Realmuto) and reigning MVP Bryce Harper.
12. Boston Red Sox, 85.5 Wins
The market had the Sox pegged for 80.5 wins in 2021, but they won 92. The Blue Jays are better, the Yankees are still very good, and Tampa is the defending AL East champ. Boston could win 95 games and finish second in the division.
13. San Francisco Giants, 85.5 Wins
Experts expect a steep decline for the G-Men from their 107 wins in 2021. That’s reasonable, but how far will they fall? I wouldn’t bet ‘under’ on this team, which still has excellent pitching.
14. St. Louis Cardinals, 84.5 Wins
The Cardinals set expectations high with a strong finish last season, when they won 90 games. They play in what might be baseball’s weakest division, so I’d expect them to be near that mark again.
15. Los Angeles Angels, 84.5 Wins
When thinking about the ‘over’ on the Angels, consider this: This team hasn’t won as many as 85 games since 2015, the last time the Halos had a winning record.
16. Seattle Mariners, 84.5 Wins
A lot of folks are high on the Mariners, who will have no fewer than six players under 27 in their lineup. But those 90 wins last season might have been a bit premature: Seattle is a year away from being a division contender.
17. Minnesota Twins, 82.5 Wins↑
The Twins’ win total for the ’21 season was 88.5, according to SportsOddsHistory. They limped in for 73 wins and a last-place finish. The roster is too good to be down again, especially with Carlos Correa in uniform.
18. Detroit Tigers, 78.5 Wins
The young pitching is coming! The young pitching is coming! The young pitching is coming! Is it, really? Won’t matter much if they can pitch only 4-5 innings and are supported by a middling lineup.
19. Cincinnati Reds, 77.5 Wins
Last year the Reds fell right on their wins total with 83. This is a franchise that still hasn’t won a playoff game since 2012, and without the departing Nick Castellanos, the offense will struggle.
20. Oakland A’s, 76.5 Wins
The A’s will probably trade every good pitcher they have by next week. It’s amazing that Caesars has them this high.
21. Cleveland Guardians, 75.5 Wins
Another team that seems like a “maybe they can, maybe they can’t” proposition. If many things go right, the newly minted Guardians could surprise and win the AL Central, which is ripe for the taking. I wouldn’t count out Tito Francona, who usually squeezes everything out of his roster.
21. Miami Marlins, 75.5 Wins
The Marlins are a mess, which is why Derek Jeter recently jumped ship. When a talented baseball man leaves, that’s usually an indication something bad is coming.
23. Chicago Cubs, 74.5 Wins
Last season the betting market had the Cubs at 80.5 wins, but they won just 71 to finish fourth in the NL Central. I don’t see any reason to think the Northsiders will be better in 2022.
23. Kansas City Royals, 74.5 Wins
K.C. finished almost right on their win total in 2021 (74 versus 74.5). Caesars has them at +1000 to win the AL Central, which is probably not going to happen, but there’s no reason they won’t leapfrog the Tigers and maybe even the Guardians and exceed the 74.5 wins total.
25. Texas Rangers, 73.5 Wins
Signed superstar infielders Corey Seager and Marcus Semien in the offseason, but how much will this new double-play duo help a team that lost 102 games last year?
26. Washington Nationals, 70.5 Wins
You need to know only one word: rebuild. That means the Nats will fall well below their 70.5 wins total.
27. Colorado Rockies, 69.5 Wins (Up after Bryant FA Signing)
Kudos to the Rox for doing better than expected in 2021, when they won 74 games. But they were 10-28 against the Giants and Dodgers, and don’t expect them to fair much better against their division rivals this season.
28. Arizona Diamondbacks, 66.5 Wins↑
It’s difficult to lose 110 games two straight years, but you get the feeling oddsmakers are trying to lure folks in to take a chance on the Diamondbacks. On paper this looks like at least a 100-loss team.
29. Pittsburgh Pirates, 64.5 Wins
The Pirates have four winning seasons since 1993. Four. But they may improve by the four wins it will take to exceed this 2022 wins total from Caesars Sportsbook.
30. Baltimore Orioles, 62.5 Wins
Of the two 110-loss teams from a year ago (the D-Backs being the other), the Orioles are the most hopeless. Actually, they would have to improve to be hopeless. Being hopeless would be an improvement.