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The Super Bowl MVP market has finally settled down now that Super Bowl 60 is between the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots. The early chaos is over, the matchup is set, and online sportsbooks have made the odds more realistic for a few possible paths to the award.
This MVP board isn’t very open, but it gives players who think about how the game might actually play out better odds than those who just pick the biggest name.
Quarterbacks Set the Market’s Baseline
In the Super Bowl LX MVP race, it’s not hard to find the favorites. Quarterbacks will always have an edge.
Sam Darnold, the Seahawks’ quarterback, is at the top of the DraftKings sportsbook board at +130.
That number shows two things: that Seattle is the favorite to win the Super Bowl and that Darnold has played well in the playoffs. This ticket is more likely to cash if the Seahawks win by a lot and Darnold doesn’t make any mistakes.
Drake Maye has longer odds. DraftKings has the Patriots quarterback at +235, and Caesars has him at +240. The price difference between Darnold and Maye is clear but not huge. This suggests that sportsbooks think this game is competitive enough for either quarterback to tell the story.
For people who like to bet directly, the MVP market is still very close to the moneyline. For me, the safest way to attack this board is still to pick the right quarterback.
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Seattle’s Playmakers Make the Best Pivot
Seattle’s skill players are the best in the next tier after quarterbacks. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the best choice for everyone who isn’t a quarterback. BetMGM lists him at +575, which is a little longer than DraftKings’ price of +550.
The odds show how most MVP voters think. A wide receiver needs to stand out from the rest of the players on the field, usually by scoring a lot of touchdowns, gaining a lot of yards, and catching a lot of passes. If Seattle focuses on the passing game or Smith-Njigba makes one or two memorable scoring plays, he fits that profile.
Kenneth Walker III is very close behind. BetMGM has Walker at +600, which will draw attention from people who think Seattle will run the ball well in the red zone.
Running backs have a harder time winning MVP, but in a close game, a lot of touchdowns can still be more important than a good quarterback performance.
Patriots MVP tickets have more risk and more reward
The MVP market in New England goes quickly beyond Drake Maye. At Caesars, Rhamondre Stevenson is in the middle tier at +2500. That number shows how specific the game script needs to be for a running back to win the award.
Stevenson would probably need to work hard and score at least two touchdowns, maybe with Maye throwing for fewer yards than normal. That situation is unlikely, but it could happen in a close game with few points separating the teams.
Stefon Diggs is the real longshot. FanDuel has Diggs at +5000, which is a little shorter than DraftKings’ +6000. Those odds are high, but history can help us figure out what to do. Wide receivers who win the Super Bowl MVP usually do so by getting a lot of touches in a game where no quarterback stands out statistically.
Defensive MVPs Are Still Lottery Tickets
Defensive players always come in last on the MVP board, and Super Bowl 60 is no different. Most sportsbooks have defensive candidates listed between +7000 and +8000. Caesars has a number of names in that range.
There is a reason for those prices. Defensive MVPs need something special, like a touchdown with constant pressure or a lot of turnovers. It’s hard to predict that moment in advance, but it can be a big winner if you have a good hunch.
Live MVP Betting Changes the Numbers
One reason bettors keep going back to the MVP market is that it changes a lot as the game progresses. A quarterback who throws an early interception can quickly lose his or her way, while a receiver who scores twice before halftime can suddenly become the favorite.
Both DraftKings and FanDuel sportsbook are expected to offer live MVP betting, which lets bettors change their bets based on how the game is going instead of locking in on one outcome before the game starts. In this market, being patient is often better than making a guess.
Where to Bet on the Super Bowl 60 MVP Award Winner
Here are our top picks from the most trusted Super Bowl betting apps in the US. Choose one and get in on the action!
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Best Ways to Bet on Super Bowl 60 MVP
Many people who bet see MVP bets as an extension of their main bets. If you have a Seahawks moneyline or spread bet, you can also buy Darnold, Smith-Njigba, or Walker MVP tickets. It makes sense to bet on the Patriots if Maye or Diggs are at longer odds.
Another common way to do this is to split exposure between one quarterback and one skill player. That plan protects against losses while keeping the chance of gains if the game takes an unexpected turn.
Pay close attention to odds movements and check how the prediction markets are moving to see what the public is considering to make a good choice!
