The odds for Saturday night’s trilogy fight between Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez and Gennady Golovkin have moved in the direction of the favorite after opening at an already-wide price back in May. The day before the bout, FanDuel‘s line on Canelo is -550, an adjustment from a -410 opener. DraftKings is dealing GGG at +350, lengthening from +320 when betting began.
Alvarez vs. GGG Trilogy Odds
Here are the best lines on both fighters we’re seeing at US sportsbooks as of this Friday morning update.
BOXING · Sat (9/17) @ 11:00 pm ET
|T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV|
Canelo Bet to Larger Favorite
The odds on this bout represent a far wider split than what bettors saw at sportsbooks in the first two fights between these combatants, and it marks the first time Canelo has been priced as the favorite.
In their second fight, in September 2018, Golokvin closed as the chalk, ranging from -175 to -210, before losing a majority decision to Alvarez (+145 to +188), per ProBoxingOdds.com. In their first go-round, in September 2017, Golovkin (-200) and Canelo (+175) fought to a split-decision draw.
Canelo (57-2-2) is coming off a loss – just the second of his career – but it came as he stepped up in weight class to face light heavyweight Dmitrii Bivol earlier this month.
The loss to Alvarez is the only one on Golovkin’s resume (42-1-1), and the age difference between these fighters (Canelo is 32, GGG is 40) is another big factor in how the trilogy is priced.
Typically with big prize fights, public interest on the underdog tightens the odds during early wagering. Sharps wait for that action to drive down the price on the favorite before laying the wood.
That hasn’t been the case for Canelo-GGG 3, as the early money has been on the Mexican pugilist.
Where Will Canelo vs. Golovkin 3 Take Place?
The trilogy match takes placed at T-Mobile Arena, the site of the first two in this series, each of which generated over $20 million in gate receipts, per ESPN.
Canelo’s Choice Of Rematches
Rather than go back after Bivol, Alvarez chose to give GGG another crack at him. Alvarez, though, also sees a rematch with the Russian on the horizon.
Alvarez was dominated by Bivol and lost a unanimous decision that many boxing observers didn’t see as close as the judges scored it.
“We already had that contract (with Golovkin), that agreement, so we have to continue what we started, and I think those are the two biggest fights in boxing, the fight with Golovkin and the rematch with Bivol,” Alvarez said Monday at his golf invitational in Naucalpan, Mexico, per ESPN. “Unfortunately, we lost, but that doesn’t mean I’m not going to try again.”
Alvarez closed as high as a -625 favorite against Bivol, but it’s unlikely bettors will have the opportunity to buy Bivol at +450 again.