With the Fourth of July holiday right around the corner, the sports betting calendar is anything but quiet. From one of the WNBA’s most exciting young teams to an American tradition unlike any other on Coney Island, this weekend’s action offers value everywhere.
We’ve also got a key Gold Cup match for the U.S. Men’s National Team and a plus-money PGA prop on a John Deere Classic horse-for-course.
Each of these picks has been sourced from the best US online sportsbooks and comes with the context and reasoning we look for in value plays. Let’s jump in.
WNBA Futures – Indiana Fever to Win WNBA Championship (+500)
Sportsbook: DraftKings
The Indiana Fever entered the 2025 WNBA season with sky-high expectations thanks to Caitlin Clark — and they’re finally starting to live up to the hype. After some early growing pains, the Fever have caught fire, and they now sit with strong playoff momentum and improving championship odds.
Why we’re backing Indiana:
- Caitlin Clark’s Development: While her debut last season featured turnovers and inconsistency, Clark’s shot selection, vision, and confidence have leveled up significantly in her second year. She’s averaging nearly a double-double across her last 10 games and has clearly become the leader of the offense.
- Aliyah Boston’s Dominance Inside: Boston has quietly returned to All-Star form, offering elite rebounding and rim protection — the kind of interior presence that translates in the playoffs.
- Favorable Playoff Path: If Indiana keeps climbing the standings, they could lock in home-court advantage early. With teams like Las Vegas and New York looking a bit more beatable this season, there’s a real opening for an underdog run.
At +500 on DraftKings, we think this is the last weekend you’ll find value on Indiana at this price — they’ve got the stars and the structure to win now.
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Competitive Eating – Patrick Bertoletti to Win 2025 Nathan’s Hot Dog Contest (Without Joey Chestnut) (-110)
Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
With Joey Chestnut banned from last year’s Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest due to a sponsorship conflict, a new champ was guaranteed to be crowned — and Patrick Bertoletti took the chance to win his first mustard belt, and even with Chestnut back, he is not looking relinquish his title.
Why Bertoletti makes sense:
- Experience and Resume: Bertoletti isn’t new to the game. He has been a top-ranked competitive eater for over a decade and has even finished second behind Chestnut multiple times. Without Joey in the field, Bertoletti won it last year, giving him confidence. He has both the experience and the pace to handle the spotlight.
- Recent Form: Bertoletti has logged impressive numbers in recent contests, including deep-fried asparagus and ribs events, demonstrating that he still possesses top-tier eating stamina.
- Field Comparison: While there are hungry newcomers in the mix, most don’t have Bertoletti’s endurance or major-stage composure. FanDuel pricing him at -110 (to win without Chestnut) reflects that reality.
This is a rare opportunity to bet on a high-profile, low-variance event. Bertoletti is the logical pick and a sharp play at near even-money.
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Gold Cup Futures – USA to Win the 2025 Gold Cup (+215)
Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
The U.S. Men’s National Team’s Gold Cup campaign is heating up — and while Mexico remains the betting favorite, the value lies with the USA at +215 on Caesars.
Why USA is worth the wager:
- Tournament Experience: Unlike several CONCACAF nations, which rotate younger squads, the U.S. is leaning on a blend of youth and experience, especially in the midfield and on the wings. That depth will matter in the knockout rounds.
- Favorable Bracket Draw: The Americans have a winnable path to the final, likely avoiding both Mexico and Canada until a potential title match.
- In-Form Attackers: Players like Malik Tillman and Diego Luna have looked sharp, and Max Arfsten has fully embraced his role, making great passes and leading the team in assists this tournament.
Team USA is battle-tested, tactically versatile, and motivated to reclaim the trophy.
With a few key players hitting peak form and Mexico showing vulnerability in the group stage, this +215 ticket could prove to be one of the better tournament futures on the board.
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PGA Tour – John Deere Classic: JT Poston Top 20 Finish (+170)
Sportsbook: BetMGM sportsbook
JT Poston has become one of the most consistent performers at the John Deere Classic, and his profile fits the TPC Deere Run course like a glove.
A top-20 bet at +170 on BetMGM gives us exposure to his course history without requiring him to contend for the outright title.
Why we’re riding with Poston:
- Course Horse: Poston has logged multiple top-10 finishes at this event and ranks inside the top 15 in strokes gained on similar mid-length par 70 layouts.
- Recent Form: He’s made 15 of his last 16 cuts, with strong showings at the RBC Heritage and the PGA Championship. His iron play and putting are trending in the right direction — a key combo at a birdie-fest like the Deere.
- Field Depth: This year’s John Deere field is light on star power, which further elevates Poston’s top-20 chances. He has more experience and confidence on this track than most of his peers this week.
At plus-money, this is a great way to bet on consistency and track familiarity without needing a full-on sweat at the top of the leaderboard.
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Weekend Wrap Up
From a rising WNBA contender to a familiar face in a legendary eating contest, this week’s betting opportunities are as diverse as they are valuable.
The Indiana Fever’s playoff momentum, Patrick Bertoletti’s shot at history, Team USA’s balanced squad, and JT Poston’s course comfort all stand out as smart, sharp plays across various sports markets.
All odds referenced are current as of publication from DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars, and BetMGM. Be sure to shop lines across books, and if you’re betting, always do so responsibly. We’ll be back next week with more value picks across the sports world.
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