Here are the latest prediction market trends. Stay on top of regulation, events, companies, data, platform updates, and the business of prediction markets.
Kalshi removed markets over whether NFL players would play in week one, following Polymarket's decision to do the same.
New Jersey has asked the U.S. Supreme Court to decide whether federal commodities law prevents states from enforcing their gambling…
Robinhood projects market-making revenue from prediction markets will top revenue from equities and crypto for the first time
IG Group agreed to acquire Underdog for up to $1.3 billion, a deal aimed at sharply expanding its US prediction…
New York officials has sued Kalshi, alleging the prediction market operates as an unlicensed gambling platform in the state
Nevada Reps. Steven Horsford and Mark Amodei filed HR 9856 to classify sports prediction contracts as gambling. Here's what the…
A federal judge temporarily blocked Minnesota’s new law banning prediction markets, siding for now with Kalshi, Polymarket and the CFTC
Prediction market winnings are taxable, but the IRS has not said whether they are gambling income, capital gains, or Section…
Prediction markets sit at the center of an unsettled regulatory fight, and this is where we track it. Follow CFTC decisions, state attorney-general actions, court rulings, and insider-trading enforcement as officials weigh whether event contracts are federal derivatives or state-regulated gambling.
Kalshi removed markets over whether NFL players would play in week one, following Polymarket's decision to do the same.
The NFL asked the CFTC to set a 21-plus age limit and ban certain sports prediction market contracts it says…
From a crypto bill's comeback to LeBron's surprise Sixers deal, see how five major prediction markets shifted this week on…
Players' Lounge users can now trade federally regulated sports event contracts through ProphetX's integrated prediction market platform.
Sports event contracts are the fastest-growing and most contested corner of the industry. We cover the CFTC-versus-state tug-of-war over sports markets, record volume around events like the FIFA World Cup, and how traditional sportsbooks are reacting to prediction market platforms.
Disgraced former US Rep. George Santos agreed to pay $35,000 and accept a three-year trading ban related to a State of the Union prediction market contract.
From a crypto bill's comeback to LeBron's surprise Sixers deal, see how five major prediction markets shifted this week on…
A prediction market on the 2026 Texas Senate race prices Ken Paxton at about 57%, with James Talarico in the…
Kalshi has launched a Midterms Hub showing live prediction market odds for the 2026 Senate and House races
Political prediction markets are drawing record money and fresh scrutiny. This section follows election and control-of-Congress odds, government-employee trading bans, and the ethics rules reshaping how politics gets traded.
A report says Kalshi is allowing bets on flight cancellations at JFK as travel disruption and air traffic staffing concerns draw attention
A report highlights how prediction markets are extending into music, with contracts tied to artist rankings, awards, and live appearances
From a crypto bill's comeback to LeBron's surprise Sixers deal, see how five major prediction markets shifted this week on…
Kalshi says Love Island markets have surpassed $50M in trades while reshaping its user base with younger, predominantly female participants.
Prediction markets now stretch well beyond politics and sports into entertainment and pop culture. Track contracts on awards shows, music releases, reality TV, and viral moments, plus the numbers behind which cultural bets are drawing the biggest crowds.
Investment broker Charles Schwab has announced an interest in prediction markets to serve its retail trade customers
From Federal Reserve moves to commodities, IPOs, and single-stock bets, economic event contracts are pulling in both retail traders and Wall Street. We cover Fed and inflation markets, company-linked contracts, and the brokerages pushing into the space.
Prediction markets have gone from a niche curiosity to one of the most closely watched stories in both gaming and finance. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket now handle billions in monthly volume, Wall Street and major brokerages are moving in, and regulators at the federal and state level are still deciding how the whole category should be governed. It’s a story that changes by the day, which is exactly why we built a dedicated hub for it.
This page pulls together the latest prediction markets news in one place, organized so you can go straight to what matters to you.
Every story is reported and fact-checked by our editorial team, and the hub is refreshed throughout the day so “today” actually means today.
Whether you’re new to event contracts or you trade them daily, our goal is the same: clear, independent coverage of where prediction markets are heading and what the headlines actually mean.
