
Here’s your Weekly Betting Primer for June 13–16, highlighting four value-driven picks across a packed weekend of sports. This week’s lineup spans the NBA Finals, UFC Fight Night, the Stanley Cup Final, and perhaps the biggest golf event of the year, the US Open.
We’ve identified one wager per event from top regulated sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars, and BetMGM — along with the rationale behind each selection and where you can watch the action unfold.
NBA Finals – Total Games Over 6.5 (+105)
Sportsbook: DraftKings
Where to Watch: ABC, Game 4 Saturday, June 15 at 8:30 PM ET
The NBA Finals have delivered a highly competitive back-and-forth series, and DraftKings is offering +105 on the Finals going the full seven games. That means both teams would need to win at least three games apiece.
Why we like it:
The Indiana Pacers have shown remarkable resilience throughout the entire postseason, especially on their home floor, and their fast-paced offense continues to create matchup problems even for elite defenses. Meanwhile, the Thunder have thrived on depth and disciplined execution. We’ve already seen a 2-1 series through three games, and the margins have been razor-thin.
Even if Oklahoma City eventually pulls out the series, Indiana’s offensive scheme and home-court advantage make it likely that this won’t be over in five or six games. Getting plus money on a Game 7 scenario is a smart way to bet on competitiveness without choosing a side.
DraftKings remains one of the top options for series props and alternative totals. Their app offers early lines, in-series hedging options, and competitive odds boosts for Finals bets throughout the week.
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UFC Fight Night – Kamaru Usman to Win (+210)
Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Where to Watch: ESPN+, Saturday Night
Former welterweight champion Kamaru Usman returns for a high-profile bout at UFC Fight Night, and FanDuel is listing him at +210 in what might be the most intriguing underdog value of the weekend.
Why we like it:
Despite back-to-back losses to Leon Edwards and a late-notice move up to middleweight against Khamzat Chimaev, Usman remains one of the most durable, well-rounded fighters in the UFC. He’s had a full camp this time around, which changes the equation significantly.
Usman still possesses elite wrestling and cardio, and if he’s facing an opponent who can’t keep up the pace or defend against takedowns for five rounds, this price is misaligned. He may not be in his title-winning prime, but +210 is a rare number for someone with his experience, skill set, and ability to control fights on the mat.
FanDuel consistently offers competitive prices on MMA underdogs and props, such as the method of victory and total rounds. It’s also one of the easiest platforms to use for building same-fight parlays or betting live once the action starts.
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NHL Stanley Cup – Edmonton Oilers to Win (+220)
Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Where to Watch: ABC, ESPN, Stanley Cup Final Game 3 on Thursday, June 13 at 8:00 PM ET
The Stanley Cup Final is in full swing, and Caesars is giving +220 on the Edmonton Oilers to win the Cup. While they’re currently trailing in the series, there’s good reason to consider this bounce-back price as solid value.
Why we like it:
Edmonton may be down early, but they’ve been generating higher shot quality than the scoreboard reflects. The Connor McDavid-Leon Draisaitl combo hasn’t fully broken out yet, and this team is too offensively potent to stay quiet much longer. If they can steal Game 4 at Florida and even the series, the momentum will swing fast, and that +220 line may drop sharply.
Their power play, when clicking, is the best in the league, and Stuart Skinner has shown the ability to bounce back strong after losses. If you believe in offensive upside and home-ice advantage, this is the buy-low moment.
Caesars Sportsbook excels with NHL futures and game-specific specials. Their odds on outright winners are often a half-step better than those of competitors, especially mid-series when the public overreacts to the outcomes of Games 1 through 3.
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US Open – Scottie Scheffler to Win (+275)
Sportsbook: BetMGM
Where to Watch: NBC, Peacock, Golf Channel (Thursday–Sunday Coverage)
The third major of the golf season tees off Thursday from the challenging Oakmont Country Club, one of the most demanding tests in all of championship golf. Scottie Scheffler enters as the clear favorite at +275 via BetMGM, and while that’s a short price, the form and context make it warranted.
Why we like it:
Scheffler is in the midst of one of the most dominant stretches of ball-striking the PGA Tour has seen in years. He leads the field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green by a wide margin and already owns multiple wins this season, including the PGA Championship.
Oakmont rewards control and patience more than raw power — and that’s exactly where Scheffler excels. Even if the putter cools off, he gives himself more birdie chances than anyone in the field. His ability to hit greens under pressure makes him the safest pick and a realistic winner, even at sub-3-to-1.
BetMGM offers one of the deepest golf betting menus in the market, including finishing position props, group betting, and player vs. player matchups. Their outright winner odds tend to hold strong value early in the week before the market adjusts.
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