It’s official. This NFL season, the Offensive Rookie of the Year (ROY) award is CJ Stroud’s to lose. At FanDuel, Houston’s starting quarterback’s odds to win the award are an incredibly short -9000 (Best Live Odds: ).
A $10 bet on Stroud at -9000 to win ROY would win you a total of — wait for it — 11 cents.
But Stroud wasn’t always a sure bet to win Rookie of the Year.
Check out our CJ Stroud Rookie of the Year odds.
Stroud’s draft stock infamously took a hit after rumors spread that he scored poorly on the Wonderlic test — the test the NFL uses to assess players’ cognitive abilities. Days before the NFL Draft, his odds to go No. 1 overall got as long as +650 at some sportsbooks.
The 6-foot-3 quarterback out of Ohio State ended up getting selected second overall in the 2023 Draft. And Alabama QB Bryce Young ended up hearing his name called first on draft night as the Carolina Panthers took him as the top overall pick.
Exceeding Expectations, Defying the Odds
With a new rookie QB at the helm and a new season on the horizon, the expectations for the Texans weren’t particularly high. At BetMGM before Week 1, the Texans’ Over/Under win total was 6.5.
In Week 5, he broke the record for most pass attempts (186) to start a career without an interception. In Week 9, his 470 yards broke the single-game passing record for a rookie. Heading into Week 14, his 3,540 passing yards are an NFL-best and his 20 touchdowns are tied for eighth.
The Texans’ current straight-up record is 7-5. At FanDuel, their win total O/U is now 10.5 (Best Live Odds: ),
Thanks to the head coach-QB tandem of DeMeco Ryans and CJ Stroud, Houston at 7-5 so far in 2023 is already leaps and bounds better than it was last year. In 2022, the Texans went 3-13.
And as the team’s stock has risen, Stroud’s odds to win Rookie of the Year have shortened.
After the draft, Stroud’s ROY odds were +700, behind the likes of Bijan Robinson, whose odds at the beginning of May were +325. By Week 3, Stroud’s +1400 odds were longer than both Bijan and Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua. However, by the time Houston went on a three-week winning streak in Weeks 9, 10, and 11, Stroud’s odds to win Rookie of the Year had gotten as short as -3250.
Houston’s Home Stretch
Stroud & Co. have five more games on their regular season schedule, and while they’re currently on the outside looking into the playoff picture — including the Wild Card hunt — on any given Sunday, lots of chips could fall in their favor and push them into the postseason.
One thing’s for certain, at -9000, Stroud will be the league’s next Rookie of the Year. So regardless of how the rest of the year plays out on the field for Houston, bettors can be generally confident that they have a winning ticket in Stroud.