France vs Morocco Odds, Prediction & Picks — WC Quarter-Final

France vs Morocco kicks off the 2026 World Cup quarter-finals on Thursday, July 9 at 4:00 PM ET from Boston Stadium in Foxborough — and it is a rematch of the 2022 World Cup semi-final, which France won 2-0 en route to the final. Four years on, the stakes are just as high. France arrive as tournament favorites (+170 to win it all) having outscored opponents 14-2. Morocco, the first African nation to reach back-to-back World Cup quarter-finals, are the tournament’s great disruptor once again. Here is our complete France vs Morocco prediction, the latest odds, and the best bets for Thursday’s quarter-final.

For the full live outright board and the best places to bet this game, see our live World Cup odds and betting sites hub.

 

France vs Morocco — Match Info

Detail	Info
Round	Quarter-Final
Date	Thursday, July 9, 2026
Kickoff	4:00 PM ET / 1:00 PM PT
Venue	Boston Stadium (Gillette Stadium), Foxborough, MA
TV	FOX / FOX One
Last meeting	2022 World Cup semi-final — France 2-0 Morocco

France Morocco World Cup Odds

Market	FanDuel	DraftKings	BetMGM	bet365
France Win (90 min)	-175	-170	-175	-180
Draw	+290	+295	+290	+285
Morocco Win (90 min)	+475	+480	+470	+475
France to Advance	-320	-315	-320	-325
Morocco to Advance	+250	+255	+250	+250
Over 2.5 Goals	+115	+118	+115	+120
Under 2.5 Goals	-140	-142	-140	-145
Mbappé Anytime Scorer	-115	-110	-115	-120
Both Teams to Score	+130	+128	+130	+125

Odds correct as of July 6, 2026. Verify current lines before placing any bet.

France Team Analysis

France have looked like the team to beat throughout the 2026 World Cup. They opened with a 3-1 win over Senegal, followed with a 3-0 defeat of Iraq, and while they rested key players in a 4-1 loss to Norway in the group finale, they returned to form with a 3-0 dismantling of Sweden in the Round of 32 and a hard-fought 1-0 win over Paraguay in the Round of 16. Across the tournament, France are outscoring opponents 14-2.

 

The attacking trident is what sets them apart. Kylian Mbappé is tied for the Golden Boot lead with seven goals and remains the most feared forward in the tournament. Ousmane Dembélé provides relentless width and directness, and Michael Olise has emerged as a genuine third attacking threat. As FOX Sports noted, all three superstars have already made their marks this tournament. Behind them, France’s midfield controls games and their defensive line, marshalled by the experience of their veteran core, has conceded just twice in five matches.

The one caution: France’s 1-0 win over Paraguay was tighter than expected, a reminder that even the best team can be dragged into a grind by a disciplined, deep-defending opponent. Morocco are precisely that kind of opponent — and better.

France Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

Maignan (GK) — Koundé, Saliba, Upamecano, T. Hernández — Tchouaméni, Camavinga, Griezmann — Dembélé, Mbappé, Olise

Morocco Team Analysis

Morocco are writing another remarkable World Cup story. After their historic run to the 2022 semi-finals — the first ever by an African nation — they have now become the first African team to reach back-to-back World Cup quarter-finals. Their route to this stage: a group-stage campaign that included holding Brazil to a 1-1 draw, followed by a 2-2 (3-2 on penalties) Round of 32 win over the Netherlands, and a commanding 3-0 defeat of co-hosts Canada in the Round of 16.

Morocco’s identity under Walid Regragui is built on elite defensive organization and lethal transition play. They are ranked seventh in the world by FIFA — one of the tournament’s genuine top-eight sides, not a fairytale story. Achraf Hakimi drives the right flank with the quality of a top attacker, Hakim Ziyech creates from central and wide areas, and their defensive spine has proven capable of frustrating elite opposition for 90 minutes and beyond. Their penalty-shootout pedigree — beating the Netherlands and, in 2022, Spain and Portugal — makes them uniquely dangerous in a knockout format.

The +475 moneyline reflects a real gap in attacking quality, but Morocco’s ability to keep games tight and win on penalties means their +250 to-advance price carries genuine value for anyone who believes in their tournament resilience.

Morocco Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

Bono (GK) — Hakimi, Aguerd, Saïss, Mazraoui — Amrabat, Ounahi, Ziyech — Boufal, En-Nesyri, Sabiri

Key Betting Angles

Under 2.5 Goals at -140: The Morocco Blueprint

Morocco’s entire knockout approach is built on suppressing the game state — sit compact, deny space, frustrate, and pounce on transition or take it to penalties. In 2022, four of Morocco’s seven matches went under 2.5 goals. France, for their part, were held to a single goal by Paraguay in the last round. When a disciplined defensive side meets a favorite content to win 1-0 or 2-0, the Under is the structurally sound play. At -140, it aligns with how Morocco will try to script this game.

Mbappé Anytime Scorer at -115

Mbappé is tied for the Golden Boot lead with seven goals and scored from the penalty spot against Paraguay. He is the single most likely goalscorer in this fixture regardless of Morocco’s defensive quality. Against a side that will concede possession and territory, France’s chances will flow through Mbappé. At -115, he is the anchor player prop for this game.

Morocco to Advance at +250: The Value Play

Morocco have already beaten the Netherlands on penalties this tournament and famously eliminated Spain and Portugal in 2022. If this game is as tight as the odds and both teams’ recent form suggest, it could easily reach extra time and penalties — where Morocco’s shootout pedigree is among the best in world football. At +250 to advance, this is the contrarian value bet for anyone who believes Morocco can frustrate France over 120 minutes.

France vs Morocco Best Bets

Pick	Odds	Book	Confidence
Under 2.5 Goals – Top Pick	-140	FanDuel	High
Mbappé Anytime Scorer	-115	DraftKings	High
France to Advance	-320	FanDuel	High (poor value)
Morocco to Advance (value)	+250	DraftKings	Medium

Score Prediction: France 2-0 Morocco

France are the better team and the deserved favorites, and a repeat of the 2022 semi-final scoreline is the most likely outcome. Morocco will make it difficult — they always do — but France’s attacking trident eventually finds a way through. Mbappé scores, France control the second half, and Les Bleus reach the semi-finals. Primary bet: Under 2.5 goals at -140. Score prediction: France 2-0 Morocco. That said, do not be shocked if Morocco drag this to penalties — the +250 to-advance price exists for a reason.

Where to Bet France vs Morocco

For the full ranked list of the best World Cup betting sites, welcome bonuses, and the live outright winner board, see our World Cup odds and betting sites hub. The top three books for this quarter-final:

#	Betting Site	Welcome Offer	Code
1	FanDuel	Bet $5, Get $350 in Bonus Bets	No code
2	DraftKings	Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets	No code
3	BetMGM	Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win	TODAY

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