The 2024 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament Final Four is set following 1-seed Iowa’s 94-87 win over LSU and 3-seed UConn’s 80-73 victory over USC on Monday night.
The Hawkeyes’ Caitlin Clark will lead her team against Huskies star Paige Bueckers in one NCAAW semifinal matchup on Friday, April 5, while tournament favorite South Carolina will meet 3-seed NC State in Friday’s other Women’s Final Four game.
Get ready with our 2024 March Madness schedule for the Women’s Final Four, culminating with the National Championship Game in Cleveland on Sunday, April 7, at 3 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+.
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Friday’s Women’s Final Four Games and Current Odds
- (1) South Carolina vs (3) NC State | 7:00 p.m. ET | ESPN/ESPN+
- (1) Iowa vs (3) UConn | 9:00 p.m. ET | ESPN/ESPN+
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2024 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament Futures Odds
Oddsmakers expect the national title game to pit the best player in the sport, Caitlin Clark, against the juggernaut that is unbeaten South Carolina.
The Huskies and the Wolfpack are 7-to-1 or longer to win it all, with the Pack a massive longshot at 14-to-1. This wouldn’t be the first time that an undefeated — and seemingly invincible — Gamecocks team lost a shocker in the Final Four, though. Just last year, South Carolina and Iowa met in the national semis. The Hawkeyes pulled off a 77-73 upset as 11.5-point underdogs (which is the same number South Carolina is currently laying against NCSU) as Clark poured in 41 points.
South Carolina Women’s National Championship Odds Analysis
Dawn Staley’s team (36-0, 16-0 SEC) entered the tournament as heavy favorites. So far, the Gamecocks have looked the part in every matchup. Indiana gave Carolina a scare with a late run in the Sweet 16, and Oregon State kept Sunday’s Elite 8 matchup interesting. However, South Carolina remains the team to beat even after another spectacular showing by Clark and Iowa on Monday. Iowa’s star exploded for 41 points, seven rebounds, and 12 assists against Kim Mulkey, Angel Reese, and LSU in Monday’s rematch of last year’s national title game.
The Cocks’ opponent on Friday, 3-seed NC State, is a double-digit underdog despite winning by 10 points in upsets of 2-seed Stanford in the Sweet 16 and 1-seed Texas in the Elite Eight.
Iowa Women’s National Championship Odds Analysis
Iowa (33-4, 15-3 Big Ten) showed last year that with Clark at her best, it can beat anyone, including South Carolina. Clark is coming off a dominant performance against LSU in the Elite 8, including 9 made 3-pointers. Iowa is not a one-woman team, though. Clark’s passing makes Iowa dangerous even when she’s not scoring: she averages nine assists per game on the year, with 27 dimes total in Iowa’s Sweet 16 and Elite 8 wins over Colorado and LSU.
UConn Women’s National Championship Odds Analysis
While casual fans are hoping for — and expecting — Iowa-South Carolina in Sunday’s title game, the Hawkeyes have to get through Bueckers and the Huskies (33-5, 18-0 Big East) first.
Geno Auriemma’s team showed last weekend that it can win in various ways. In Saturday’s Sweet 16 clash with 7-seed Duke, UConn won a gritty battle thanks to its defense, limiting Duke to 33% shooting from the floor. That allowed the Huskies to advance despite their poor shooting (40% overall, including 19% from 3). Two days later, Connecticut scored 80 points against Southern Cal to overcome a big night from Trojans star JuJu Watkins (29 points in a losing effort).
NC State Women’s National Championship Odds Analysis
The Wolfpack (31-6, 13-5 ACC) has the most losses of any team still playing but has beaten several elite teams this year, including Connecticut and Colorado. State — No. 11 in the final AP poll of the regular season — has gone 7-3 against opponents that finished the year in the top 25, including 4-1 vs. the top 10. Below are the results of the Pack’s five meetings against AP top 10 teams:
- 92-81 win vs. No. 10 UConn (Nov. 12, 2023)
- 59-43 win vs. No. 9 Notre Dame (Feb. 15)
- 55-51 loss vs No. 9 Notre Dame (ACC Tournament Championship, March 10)
- 77-67 win vs. No. 5 Stanford in the Sweet 16 (March 29)
- 76-66 win vs. No. 4 Texas in the Elite 8 (March 31)