NFL Week 6 Betting Trends: Bengals, Bucs, Panthers, Jets Draw Early Money

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The lightly-favored Cincinnati Bengals are projected to right themselves against the host New Orleans Saints.

The heavy-chalk Tampa Bay Buccaneers are expected to bludgeon the host Pittsburgh Steelers.

The week’s biggest underdog, the Carolina Panthers, are anticipated to perform well for a new field boss against the host Los Angeles Rams.

And the visiting New York Jets are backed to cover the number against the host Green Bay Packers as a one-touchdown underdog.

These are some of the early conclusions reached by nationwide DraftKings bettors for NFL Week 6, according to betting trends spotted at the sportsbook.

DraftKings Sportsbook

Bet on NFL Week 6 at DraftKings

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Early NFL Week 6 Betting Action

The Bengals, who lost a 19-17 heartbreaker to the Baltimore Ravens Sunday night, received a book-high 94% of the handle at -2 for their game in New Orleans.

The Jets, who thumped the Miami Dolphins 40-17 last week, nailed 69% of the early handle for their trip to Lambeau.

nfl week 6 betting trends, jets packers
Early NFL Week 6 bettors are backing the New York Jets as underdogs at the Packers (AP Photo/Adam Hunger)

Tampa Bay, despite its offensive struggles, obtained 79% of the initial handle at a substantial -8.5. Bettors also backed the Over 43.5 at 64%, partly based on gamblers’ expectation for the Tampa Bay offense to break out. The Steelers, behind rookie QB Kenny Pickett, were humbled 38-3 by the Buffalo Bills last week.

The Panthers, who fired Matt Rhule on Monday and replaced him with interim coach Steve Wilks, have 70% of the handle at +10.5 at the Rams.

 

Public Bettors Split on Bills-Chiefs, Cowboys-Eagles

Two consecutive Sunday games in isolated spots will likely produce the largest Week 5 handle.

In the late-afternoon Sunday window, the Buffalo Bills hover between -3 and -2.5 against the host Kansas City Chiefs, with public sentiment split.

The line opened at Buffalo -3 at DraftKings, before Buffalo support pushed the number down. Buffalo held 59% handle and the Over 54 seized 78% of the handle. Bettors may be divided on the outcome, but they are united in the expectation of high scoring.

The Philadelphia Eagles opened at -5.5 against the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday night, but that line had been curbed to -4.5 early Wednesday. The Eagles have 61% of the handle.

On the rise: Cowboys on their way up Super Bowl oddsboards

NFL Week 6 Totals

Biggest Week 6 Over: Gamblers put 90% handle on Giants vs. Ravens to exceed 45 points.

Biggest Under: The Los Angeles Chargers and offensively-challenged Denver Broncos show 94% handle on Under 45.5 ahead of their Monday night clash.

Underdogs Helping the Sportsbooks

Two factors working together create a nice formula for sportsbooks early in the season.

One, the underdogs are 46-31-3 against the spread. That has worked out for them because the public likes to bet favorites.

Second, dog bettors take a stab at significant moneyline prices.

Some do win, like the New York Giants at +300 at DraftKings for Sunday’s 27-22 upset against the Green Bay Packers.

But the book was happy to pay the smaller percentage of players who took that and pocket the substantial Green Bay moneyline bets, which anchored numerous multi-legged parlays.

In Week 5, DraftKings got a good sample of its ideal double-dip: six dogs who covered the spread without winning outright.

  • The Raiders (-6.5) lost to the Chiefs 30-29.
  • The Cleveland Browns (+2.5) were dropped by the Chargers 30-28.
  • The Bengals (+3) covered against the Ravens, but fell 19-17.
  • The Arizona Cardinals (+5.5) paid off against the Eagles in a 20-17 defeat.
  • The Chicago Bears (+7.5) squeezed home against the Minnesota Vikings, losing 29-22.
  • The Atlanta Falcons (+10.5) paid their spread bettors, but lost to the Buccaneers, 21-15.

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Division Betting Breakdown

Gamblers have a fertile target in division races. Teams obtain attractive value after a loss, and bettors who pull the trigger in those situations may be handsomely rewarded.

Week 5 action brought updates to the futures odds at DraftKings within several divisions.

The Justin Tucker game-winning field goal for the Ravens made them a solid AFC North favorite and opened a buy-on-the-dip opportunity for Bengals backers.

The Ravens are the -125 chalk with 55% of the betting handle. The Bengals are second at +250 with 31% of the handle. Had Tucker’s field goal missed, the teams would likely have flip-flopped positions with the bettors.

Cleveland is +400 for third with only 3% of the handle.

In the AFC East, the Buffalo Bills are a prohibitive -650 chalk.

The AFC South looks like a betting dogfight. The Colts at +160 have 45% of the handle. The Jaguars are +250 with 36% of the handle and the Titans are the slight chalk at +150 with 14% handle.

The Chiefs are the -225 chalk in the AFC West and commandeer of 54% of the handle. Second is the Chargers at +250 and 26%.

The NFC East has an intriguing before-after proposition regarding the Eagles and Cowboys.

Philadelphia holds down the -330 chalk position with 75% of the handle before hosting Dallas in Week 6. Cowboys bettors observe an excellent buying opportunity if they think this is the team to win Sunday night.

The Cowboys are +310 with 12% of the handle.

Odds will plummet dramatically if the Cowboys upset the Eagles on Sunday night.

Should the Cowboys prevail, any bettors who took them at +1000 division odds after Dak Prescott’s Week 1 injury will be sitting on an excellent price.

The Giants remain a good value at +1200 with 10% of the handle.

In the NFC North, the Packers, in a site rarely seen, are no longer the chalk.

The Vikings at -135 command 48% of the handle while The Pack stands at +130 with 33% of the handle. Green Bay’s upset loss to the Giants make the team appear far less formidable than in recent years.

Tampa Bay rules the NFC South roost with 54% of the handle at a price of -650.

New Orleans has 34% of the money at +900.

The NFC West figures to have price fluctuations all year.

San Francisco now stands at -180 with 20% of the handle, as its league-leading defense and methodical offense remind people of their late regular-season and playoff run last year.

The Rams, beaten by the Cowboys, are +200 and have 69% of the handle. For backers of the Rams, this team is on sale for division honors. And based on this handle, the public is buying into them.

Bet NFL Divisional Futures at FanDuel: $1,000 No Sweat First Bet

Other Numbers for Bettors to Look at

The Steelers notched seven sacks in their season-opening 23-20 triumph over the Bengals. They only have three since.

What happened?

Attribute that to the loss of T.J. Watt, who left the Week 1 game late with a pectoral injury and hasn’t played since.

This is why one would suspect that the Steelers games would be going Over. But the Steelers offense has been poor, and no Steelers game has finished above 46 points this year.

Irony: the Steelers don’t have a touchdown reception from a wide receiver. But the New York Jets have one from their quarterback.

Zach Wilson hauled in a pass via the Philly Special route when the Jets played the Steelers in Week 4.

Can Philly run the table: Odds for Eagles to go undefeated

Bettors Hitting the Winner’s Circle at DraftKings

Here’s a look at a couple of nice scores on two different betting levels.

$100 Bet, Big Win on Same Game Parlay

A bettor placed a $100 SGP that paid out $35,100. Below are the winning legs from the Bills-Steelers game.

• Gabriel Davis – Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards – Over 84.5
• Stefon Diggs – Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Josh Allen Passing Yards – Over 279.5
• Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards – Over 69.5
• Total Points – Under 46.5
• BUF Bills Total Points – Over 34.5

Talk about walking a tightrope.

The bettor needed to get all of this offense and stuff it inside of 46.5 points, but that’s what happened.

Davis had his yardage and a score on the game’s third play from scrimmage, a 98-yard hookup with Bills quarterback Josh Allen.

The bettor received a break in that Allen had more than 300 yards and Buffalo held a 31-3 lead by halftime, because the Bills took their foot off the pedal in the second half.

The Steelers contributed with an end zone pick that would have made this bet a loser.

The Economy Package

This parlay turned a $5 bet into a $7,219.70 payout by combining team totals with spreads/moneylines across 9 different games:

• NY Giants +8.5
• GB Packers Over 20.5 Total Points
• NY Jets +3.5
• NY Jets Over 17.5 Total Points
• NE Patriots -3.5
• NE Patriots Over 20.5 Total Points
• TB Buccaneers Moneyline
• ATL Falcons Over 14.5 Total Points
• TEN Titans Moneyline
• TEN Titans Over 17.5 Total Points
• CLE Browns +2.5
• CLE Browns Over 17.5 Total Points
• NO Saints Moneyline
• NO Saints Over 20.5 Total Points
• MIN Vikings Moneyline
• CHI Bears Over 16.5 Total Points
• Stefon Diggs Anytime TD Scorer
• PIT Steelers @ BUF Bills Over 39.5

No sweat … except for Tennessee having to stop Washington from the 2-yard line on the next-to-final play to preserve a 21-17 victory.
One snap of the ball, seven grand on the line. That’s pressure.

Find one for yourself: Best sports betting apps for NFL parlays

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (10/13) @ 8:15pm ET WAS Commanders +100 -263 -185 -200 -263 -175
CHI Bears -120 +210 +150 +165 +200 +140
Sun (10/16) @ 1:00pm ET MIN Vikings -154 -213 -10000 0 -167 0 -1429
MIA Dolphins +130 +175 +3300 +3000 +146 +6500 +850
Sun (10/16) @ 1:01pm ET TB Buccaneers -370 +1300 -161 +700 +330 +240
PIT Steelers +300 -5000 +125 -1250 -476 -303
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET JAX Jaguars +100 +2500 +180 +6000 +4000 -175
IND Colts -120 0 -250 0 0 +145
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET NY Jets +275 -5000 -10000 -1667 0 -5000
GB Packers -345 +1300 +3300 +900 +4000 +1500
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET BAL Ravens -250 +1300 +300 +2500 +1700 +1700
NY Giants +200 -5000 -455 0 -10000 -5000
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET CIN Bengals -120 -417 -278 -1667 0 0
NO Saints +100 +320 +210 +850 +10000 0
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots +135 -10000 -5000 -2500 0 0
CLE Browns -161 +2000 +1050 +1100 +10000 0
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET SF 49ers -278 +1700 +3300 +1100 +10000 +12500
ATL Falcons +220 -10000 -10000 -2500 0 0
Sun (10/16) @ 4:04pm ET CAR Panthers +340 +1400 +1250 +900 +370 +10000 0
LA Rams -455 -10000 -10000 -1667 -455 0 0
Sun (10/16) @ 4:05pm ET ARI Cardinals -145 +1800 +3300 +2000 -133 +10000 +10000
SEA Seahawks +120 -10000 -10000 -5000 +118 0 0
Sun (10/16) @ 4:25pm ET BUF Bills -125 -233 -278 -667 -147 0 0
KC Chiefs +105 +190 +200 +450 +130 +5500 0
Sun (10/16) @ 8:23pm ET DAL Cowboys +200 +1000 +1300 +750 +10000 +6000
PHI Eagles -250 -2000 -5000 -1250 0 0
Mon (10/17) @ 8:16pm ET DEN Broncos +220 +575 +550 +625 +1700 +1400
LA Chargers -278 -909 -833 -1000 -10000 -3333
Thu (10/13) @ 8:15pm ET WAS Commanders +1.5 -115 -1.5 -105 -4.5 -149 -4.5 -149 -4.5 -10000 -4.5 -115
CHI Bears -1.5 -105 +1.5 -125 +4.5 +115 +4.5 +120 +4.5 +1600 +4.5 +100
Sun (10/16) @ 1:00pm ET MIN Vikings -3.0 -115 -7.5 -10000 -7.5 +170 -8.5 +210 -3.0 -118 -8.5 +680 -6.0 -238
MIA Dolphins +3.0 -105 +7.5 +1800 +7.5 -227 +8.5 -263 +3.0 -104 +8.5 -1429 +6.0 +190
Sun (10/16) @ 1:01pm ET TB Buccaneers -7.5 -115 +1.5 +135 +1.5 -164 +1.5 -110 +2.5 -556 +1.5 +230
PIT Steelers +7.5 -105 -1.5 -164 -1.5 +125 -1.5 -120 -2.5 +360 -1.5 -278
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET JAX Jaguars +1.5 -115 +5.5 -120 +1.5 +120 +4.5 -110 +5.5 -114 -0.5 -175
IND Colts -1.5 -105 -5.5 -110 -1.5 -154 -4.5 -120 -5.5 -114 +0.5 +145
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET NY Jets +7.5 -115 -16.5 -154 -14.5 +125 -13.5 +105 -16.5 -256 -16.5 0
GB Packers -7.5 -105 +16.5 +125 +14.5 -161 +13.5 -135 +16.5 +188 +16.5 0
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET BAL Ravens -5.5 -110 -3.5 +185 -8.5 -115 -3.5 +170 +6.5 +225 +6.5 +150
NY Giants +5.5 -110 +3.5 -233 +8.5 -115 +3.5 -208 -6.5 -313 -6.5 -179
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET CIN Bengals -1.0 -110 +2.5 -141 +2.5 -141 +1.5 +105 -10.5 +7500 +2.0 -278
NO Saints +1.0 -110 -2.5 +110 -2.5 +105 -1.5 -135 +10.5 +1160 -2.0 +220
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots +3.0 -110 -22.5 -323 -8.5 -189 -23.0 +340 -24.5 -625 -22.5 0
CLE Browns -3.0 -110 +22.5 +250 +8.5 +145 +23.0 -455 +24.5 +390 +22.5 0
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET SF 49ers -6.0 -110 +13.5 +510 +11.5 +300 +14.0 -2000 +11.5 +1100 +10.5 -108
ATL Falcons +6.0 -110 -13.5 -769 -11.5 -455 -14.0 +1000 -11.5 -5000 -10.5 -108
Sun (10/16) @ 4:04pm ET CAR Panthers +9.5 -105 +13.5 +230 +14.5 -370 +14.0 +240 +10.0 -114 +13.5 +2200 +7.5 0
LA Rams -9.5 -115 -13.5 -294 -14.5 +270 -14.0 -303 -10.0 -108 -13.5 0 -7.5 0
Sun (10/16) @ 4:05pm ET ARI Cardinals -2.5 -110 +10.5 -769 +7.5 +200 +9.5 +800 -2.0 -114 +10.5 -556 +9.5 0
SEA Seahawks +2.5 -110 -10.5 +520 -7.5 -278 -9.5 -1429 +2.0 -108 -10.5 +360 -9.5 0
Sun (10/16) @ 4:25pm ET BUF Bills -1.5 -110 +2.5 +100 -4.5 +100 +2.5 +100 -3.0 +102 -5.5 +7000 +2.5 +105
KC Chiefs +1.5 -110 -2.5 -130 +4.5 -130 -2.5 -130 +3.0 -122 +5.5 0 -2.5 -120
Sun (10/16) @ 8:23pm ET DAL Cowboys +5.5 -115 +8.5 +215 +8.5 +120 +9.0 +290 +9.5 +390 +8.5 +105
PHI Eagles -5.5 -105 -8.5 -270 -8.5 -154 -9.0 -385 -9.5 -625 -8.5 -120
Mon (10/17) @ 8:16pm ET DEN Broncos +5.5 -115 -2.5 -110 -1.5 -105 -2.5 -115 -89.5 +750 -2.5 0
LA Chargers -5.5 -105 +2.5 -120 +1.5 -125 +2.5 -115 +89.5 -1667 +2.5 0
Thu (10/13) @ 8:15pm ET WAS Commanders u39.5 -110 u20.5 -130 u19.5 +100 u19.5 0 u22.5 -115
CHI Bears o39.5 -110 o20.5 +100 o19.5 -120 o19.5 +7000 o22.5 +100
Sun (10/16) @ 1:00pm ET MIN Vikings u45.5 -110 u32.5 +140 u40.5 +190 u45 -110 u45.5 -112 u40.5 -1250 u27.5 -135
MIA Dolphins o45.5 -110 o32.5 -175 o40.5 -250 o45 -110 o45.5 -109 o40.5 +600 o27.5 +115
Sun (10/16) @ 1:01pm ET TB Buccaneers u43.5 -115 u41.5 -135 u42.5 -161 u38.5 -263 u38.5 -179
PIT Steelers o43.5 -105 o41.5 +105 o42.5 +130 o38.5 +192 o38.5 +150
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET JAX Jaguars u41.5 -110 u53.5 -145 u53.5 -110 u59.5 -110 u53.5 -110
IND Colts o41.5 -110 o53.5 +115 o53.5 -120 o59.5 -120 o53.5 -105
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET NY Jets u45.5 -115 u41.5 -175 u38.5 -149 u37.5 -189 u37.5 0
GB Packers o45.5 -105 o41.5 +140 o38.5 +120 o37.5 +142 o37.5 0
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET BAL Ravens o44 -110 o42.5 -120 o41.5 +110 o47.5 +198 o47 -115
NY Giants u44 -110 u42.5 -110 u41.5 -145 u47.5 -270 u47 +100
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET CIN Bengals o44.5 -110 o56.5 +100 o55.5 -120 o56.5 +7500 o50.5 +130
NO Saints u44.5 -110 u56.5 -130 u55.5 -105 u56.5 -2500 u50.5 -149
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots u42.5 -110 u53.5 -233 u42.5 -149 u53.5 0 u53.5 0
CLE Browns o42.5 -110 o53.5 +185 o42.5 +115 o53.5 +2200 o53.5 0
Sun (10/16) @ 1:02pm ET SF 49ers u42.5 -110 u48.5 +110 u46.5 -400 u42.5 -5000 u49 -115
ATL Falcons o42.5 -110 o48.5 -141 o46.5 +275 o42.5 +1020 o49 +100
Sun (10/16) @ 4:04pm ET CAR Panthers o40.5 -115 o34.5 +130 o36.5 -105 o41.0 -114 o34.5 +1350 o40.5 0
LA Rams u40.5 -105 u34.5 -161 u36.5 -125 u41.0 -108 u34.5 -10000 u40.5 0
Sun (10/16) @ 4:05pm ET ARI Cardinals o51.5 -105 o28.5 +230 o29.5 +110 o50.5 -109 o28.5 +192 o30.5 0
SEA Seahawks u51.5 -115 u28.5 -294 u29.5 -135 u50.5 -112 u28.5 -263 u30.5 0
Sun (10/16) @ 4:25pm ET BUF Bills o54.5 -105 o44.5 +160 o46.5 -130 o54.5 -110 o44.5 +1400 o44 +100
KC Chiefs u54.5 -115 u44.5 -196 u46.5 +100 u54.5 -110 u44.5 -10000 u44 -115
Sun (10/16) @ 8:23pm ET DAL Cowboys o42.5 -115 o48.5 -120 o47.5 -115 o43.5 +2800 o49 -105
PHI Eagles u42.5 -105 u48.5 -110 u47.5 -110 u43.5 0 u49 -110
Mon (10/17) @ 8:16pm ET DEN Broncos o46.5 -105 o36.5 -115 o36.5 +125 o35.5 +2500 o35.5 +135
LA Chargers u46.5 -115 u36.5 -115 u36.5 -164 u35.5 0 u35.5 -161
About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo is a multiple award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970’s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. He has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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