Betting on the winner of the NFL’s NFC Conference this year? Us, too. Look beyond the favored Buccaneers and down the FanDuel NFC oddsboard to find more value on the Rams and Eagles. And not necessarily in that order.
Here are FanDuel’s futures odds on the 2022-23 NFC champion as of Friday, July 22.
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FanDuel NFC Championship Odds
| Team | FanDuel | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bucs | +320 | 23.81% |
| Packers | +500 | 16.67% |
| Rams | +500 | 16.67% |
| 49ers | +750 | 11.76% |
| Cowboys | +850 | 10.53% |
| Eagles | +1400 | 6.67% |
| Cardinals | +1400 | 6.67% |
| Saints | +1700 | 5.56% |
| Vikings | +2000 | 4.76% |
| Commanders | +3100 | 3.13% |
| Giants | +4400 | 2.22% |
| Panthers | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Lions | +5500 | 1.79% |
| Bears | +5500 | 1.79% |
| Seahawks | +7000 | 1.41% |
| Falcons | +10000 | 0.99% |
Fading the Deserving Favorite
Per FanDuel‘s odds, Tampa Bay (+320) has the best chance to win the NFC with an implied probability of 23.81%. The Bucs are deserving favorites, but what’s the fun in betting chalk when you’ve got more attractive odds on teams that appear to be just as good or better?
And there has to be an expiration date on Tom Brady’s excellence, right? It’d be nice to see some regression on that front for the purposes of this piece. He’ll be without BFF Rob Gronkowski unless Gronk decides to do an about-face and come back out of retirement, too. That’s got to count for something.
WR Chris Godwin might not be available to start the year as he’s recovering from an ACL tear. That’s another potential chink in the Bucs’ armor.
It’s hard to forget that Tampa Bay and Green Bay led the NFL with 13-4 records last season, however. Yet, neither team ended up winning the NFC Championship, So, contrarian bettors have that going for them.
We’re fading both of the Bays. Let’s shake it up in this new season. Take some chances, right. Here we go…
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Betting the Eagles to Win the NFC Title
The Eagles pulled off one of the biggest offseason moves not involving a QB with the acquisition of WR AJ Brown from Tennessee. Brown joins DeVonta Smith and gives Jalen Hurts a second elite target to throw to in 2022.
That was a splashy move that may pay off big. There’s nothing splashy or flashy about offensive lines, but Pro Football Focus ranks Philadelphia’s O-Line as the best in the NFL heading into this season. Factor that in with a dual-threat QB in Hurts, and you’ve got a recipe for success.
Philadelphia upgraded its run defense in the NFL Draft by selecting two standout studs from Georgia, which had the NCAA’s best overall defense last year: DT Jordan Davis and LB Nakobe Dean. The Eagles also improved their secondary with the addition of CB James Bradberry. That could go a long way toward helping Philadelphia on a potential run to the NFC Championship.
Betting Analysis
Philly was a pedestrian 9-8 last year, but fairly recent history suggests a one-year turnaround is possible. We’re quite sure not many were backing the Birds to win the Super Bowl in 2017 after they went 7-9 the previous season. That’s just what they did.
Need more? Per NFL rankings, Philadelphia has the third-easiest schedule in the league this year. At +1400 to win the NFC this year? Yes, please.
Rams Have the Firepower and Defense to Repeat
What if we told you the defending Super Bowl champions return largely intact and are still available at +500 to win the NFC again? Consider yourself informed.
Yes, Odell Beckham is a free agent, but LA did acquire Allen Robinson II from the Bears in a three-year deal worth $46.5 million, prompting this memorable tweet from Beckham.
As if I needed more motivation. Ima make my son proud asf when I’m done wit all this, from what I did on the field, to the way I handled all the other Shxt that came wit it. Zydn…son I love u… and daddy gone make u proud. I mean tht.
— Odell Beckham Jr (@obj) March 17, 2022
As it stands now, Robinson joins reigning Super Bowl MVP Cooper Kupp (who led the NFL in every meaningful receiving stat last year) and Van Jefferson to give LA one of the league’s best receiving corps. The Rams traded Robert Woods to Tennessee after acquiring Robinson.
Matthew Stafford has an embarrassment of riches to target, and you can expect plenty of points to be scored again in 2022. After coming back to help the Rams win a Super Bowl seven months after an ACL injury, Cam Akers is expected to be LA’s workhorse at RB.
LA’s defense still features the league’s scariest trio in DE Aaron Donald, NG A’Shawn Robinson, and DE Greg Gaines. Top CB Jalen Ramsey will again spearhead the secondary.
Betting Analysis
Given what it has returning, there’s no reason LA can’t win back-to-back NFC Championships. After languishing in Detroit for so many years, Stafford has all the weapons any NFL QB could hope for in LA. Maybe he even gets Beckham back, too, but no worries if not. Betting the Rams to repeat as NFC champs at +500 is an astute play, and don’t let anybody tell you otherwise.
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What Other NFL Futures Bets Can I Make?
How about picking the winner of Super Bowl 57? The Buffalo Bills (+600) are favored to win at DraftKings.
But what if you want to bet the Chicago Bears? DraftKings offered the Bears at +15000 (or 150-1), and FanDuel dealt Chicago at only +10000 (or 100-1). This happens regularly with futures odds at different sportsbooks. Always shop around the market for the best available odds before making your bet.
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You can also bet on NFL teams to make or miss the playoffs. At DraftKings, for example, the Bucs had -600 odds to make the NFL postseason. Tampa Bay had an 85.71% implied probability to make the playoffs at those odds.
Also read: 2022 NFC West Odds | What is Your NFL Team’s Chance of Making the Playoffs? | 2022 NFL Season Win Totals
Frequently Asked Questions
That would be Tampa Bay (+320) at FanDuel Sportsbook.
We recommend betting on the Rams (+500) to repeat as NFC champions. Philadelphia (+1400) is also a good option at longer odds.
Based on FanDuel’s odds, the Falcons (+10000) are a good team to avoid. They have an implied probability of .99% to win the NFC this year.
Take the respective team’s futures odds and plug them into Gaming Today’s implied probability calculator.
That depends on the team you want to bet. Your best bet is to compare futures odds at multiple sportsbooks before getting down on the action.
Shorter odds mean smaller payouts and vice versa. For example, a winning $100 bet on Tampa Bay at +320 odds returns $420 ($320 win and $100 original stake). A $100 wager on Philadelphia at +1400 odds pays out $1,500 ($1,400 win and $100 original bet).
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