2022 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds: Top of Oddsboards Dominated By Wide Receivers

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Gren Bay's Christian Watson is among the WRs in the mix to win OROY. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)

Every team hopes it drafts a player that performs well enough to earn Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY) honors. While odds shifted some throughout the preseason, the top of most Offensive Rookie of the Year odds boards saw few changes. Like other NFL awards, the subjectivity of the award allows for a wide range of opinions and for betting odds to vary among sportsbooks.

So, be sure to do some line shopping before placing a bet.

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Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

The following table contains a list of the 10 players with the best odds at DraftKings and their corresponding odds at BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel.

Odds are current as of September 9:

Offensive Rookie of the Year-- 2022/23POSDraftKingsBetMGM: Promo Code TODAYCaesars:
Promo Code Today15
Kenny PickettQB+850+900+900+900
Dameon PierceRB+900+1100+1000+1100
George PickensWR+900+900+1000+900
Breece HallRB+1000+1000+1200+1200
Chris OlaveWR+1100+1100+1400+1100
Romeo DoubsWR+1100+1200+1400+1400
Skyy MooreWR+1200+1400+1400+1200
Drake LondonWR+1400+1200+1400+1600
Brian Robinson Jr.RB+1600+3500+1600
Garrett WilsonWR+1600+2000+1800+2000

There is something unique about the early Offensive Rookie of the Year odds this year. With quite a few rookies expected to contribute to their teams this season, you’d think someone listed as a starter— or at least expected to play every week – would be the betting favorite. Instead, a reserve QB enters the season with the shortest odds.

Pittsburgh Steelers rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett opened as the betting favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY) this season. When the Steelers kick-off against the Bengals in Week 1, he’ll still be the favorite—and he’ll be on the bench.

It would not have been shocking with the preseason he had if Mike Tomlin named him the Week 1 starter. But Mitchell Trubisky had a solid preseason, too, and ended up getting the nod (making him a good Comeback Player of the Year candidate).

Bettors are likely banking on Trubisky struggling and Pickett getting the nod sooner rather than later.

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Top Quarterbacks

Odds are current as of September 9:

Offensive Rookie of the Year-- 2022/23DraftKingsBetMGM: Promo Code TODAYCaesars:
Promo Code Today15
Kenny Pickett+850+900+900+900
Desmond Ridder+2000+2200+2500+2500
Malik Willis+5000+5000+4000+4000
Sam Howell+7500+8000+10000+7500
Kaleb Eleby+10000+20000+12500-
Jack Coan+20000+20000+12500+20000
Bailey Zappe+20000+20000+12500+20000
Carson Strong+20000+15000+20000

The QB class this season is not a highly regarded one, though. Pickett had the best chance to start and still has the best chance of playing. But with no one else expected to see much time this year (barring a season-ending injury to the starter), it is unlikely a quarterback wins OROY this season.

Pickett may be the favorite entering the season, but if Trubisky plays well Sunday, he will not be the favorite for long.

Top Wide Receivers, Running Backs, And Tight Ends

Odds are current as of September 9:

Offensive Rookie of the Year-- 2022/23POSDraftKingsBetMGM: Promo Code TODAYCaesars:
Promo Code Today15
Dameon PierceRB+900+1100+1000+1100
George PickensWR+900+900+1000+900
Breece HallRB+1000+1000+1200+1200
Chris OlaveWR+1000+1000+1400+1000
Romeo DoubsWR+1100+1200+1400+1400
Skyy MooreWR+1200+1400+1400+1200
Drake LondonWR+1400+1200+1400+1600
Brian Robinson Jr.RB+1500+3500+1600
Christian WatsonWR+16001600+1600+1600
Garrett WilsonWR+1600+2000+1800+2000
Jalen Tolbert WR+1600+2000+1600+2000
Treylon BurksWR+1800+1400+2000+1400
James CookRB+1800+2000+1600+3000
Kenneth Walker IIIRB+2000+2500+2000+3000
Jahan DotsonWR+2000+2000+2500+2500
David BellWR+2500+2000+3000+2000
Jameson WilliamsWR+3000+4000+2200+4000
Alec PierceWR+3000+4000+5000+5000
Rachaad WhiteRB+4000+4000+5000+7500
Kyren WilliamsRB+4000+5000+8000+6000
Isaiah SpillerRB+4500+5000+4000+5000
Tyler AllgeierRB+5000+6600+6000+7500
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR+5000+5000+5000+5000
Isaiah LikelyTE+5000+5000+8000+6000
Zamir WhiteRB+6000+5000+8000+5000
Trey McBrideTE+7500+8000+6000+7500
Tyquan ThorntonWR+7500+12500+6000+7500
Hassan HaskinsRB+10000+20000+12500+20000
Cade OttonTE+10000+20000+12500+20000
Jalen WydermyerTE+10000+20000+12500+20000

The last running back to win was Saquan Barkley (2018); Ja’Marr Chase was the last wide receiver (2021). A tight end has never won.

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What About Offensive Linemen and Kickers?

Odds are current as of September 9:

Offensive Rookie of the Year-- 2022/23DraftKingsCaesars:
Promo Code Today15
Ikem Ekwonu+10000+15000
Evan Neal+10000+15000
Charles Cross+10000+15000

It would take an incredible year while the rest of the rookie class struggled for an offensive lineman or kicker to win. It is not unheard of for linemen to have odds; there are three with odds at most sportsbooks this year. A few have gotten votes over the years, but a lineman has never come close to winning.

As for kickers—no kicker has ever been named OROY of the year by the Associated Press. However, the Pro Football Writers of America did name Lions placekicker Jason Hanson OROY in 1992. The AP named Bengals wide receiver Carl Pickens OROY that year.

Betting Analysis and Sleeper Picks

It does not look good for Kenny Pickett, but if Trubisky struggles, the narrative around Pickett’s season becomes even more enticing to voters. For now, it may be best to wait before betting on him. If Trubisky does well on Sunday, Pickett’s odds will probably become longer.

It can be easy to justify betting on a preseason standout like George Pickens, Dameon Pierce, Romeo Doubs, Skyy Moore, etc. But you must remember that they did not play anyone’s best defense. That is not to say they are not as good as they appeared, but don’t place a bet based on what you saw during preseason games.

The stage is certainly set for a running back or wide receiver to win. Pierce will get the opportunities he needs in Houston, but can he produce well enough to win on such a lackluster team? You can say the same for Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson.

Brian Robinson Jr. earned the RB1 job in Washington before getting shot; when he comes off the IR, he’ll be someone worth watching. If Jameis Winston can pick up where he left off before getting hurt last year, Chris Olave could be in a great position to have an award-worthy season.

Our Preseason Pick: Chris Olave

Offensive Rookie of the Year Sleeper Picks

A lot of things will need to go right for these guys, but if you don’t mind the risk…

Isaiah Spiller, RB, Los Angeles Chargers +5000 (DraftKings)

Austin Ekeler is a solid dual-threat running back, but a better running game could be what the Chargers need to become contenders. If he can run as he did at Texas A&M, Spiller could provide it.

Tyler Allgeier, RB, Atlanta Falcons +7500 (FanDuel)

He’s probably the most productive running back coming out of college that most fans have never heard of. Should he replicate that success in Atlanta, he could have an award-worthy season.

Brian Robinson Jr., RB, Washington Commanders  +3500 (Caesars)

Starting the season as RB1 would have been great, but starting in four weeks after he comes off the IR because of a gunshot wound is even better. It will make his production appear even more award-worthy, considering what he had to go through before the season started.

Sam Howell, QB, Washington Commanders +10000 (Caesars)

Yes, the Commanders traded for Carson Wentz in the offseason, but let’s be real– Went’s 15 minutes ended a long time ago. It would not be shocking if Ron Rivera were to grow weary of Wentz’s mistakes coming at the worst possible moments within the first few weeks of the season. If Howell can play as well as he did during the preseason, he could have a shot at OROY.

At his current odds, the possibility is worth skipping your morning latte for a couple of days.

Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds History

Odds via SportsOddsHistory.com:

YearWinnerTeamPosPreseason Odds
2021Ja'Marr ChaseCincinnati BengalsWR+1800
2020Justin HerbertLos Angeles ChargersQB+3000
2019Kyler MurrayArizona CardinalsQB+150
2018Saquon BarkleyNew York GiantsRB+155
2017Alvin KamaraNew Orleans SaintsRB+5000
2016Dak PrescottDallas CowboysQB+900
2015Todd GurleySt. Louis RamsRB+5000
2014Odell Beckham Jr.New York GiantsWR+900
2013Eddie LacyGreen Bay PackersRB+1350
2012Robert Griffin IIIWashington RedskinsQB+2500
2011Cam NewtonCarolina PanthersQB+800
2010Sam BradfordSt. Louis RamsQB+400
2009Percy HarvinMinnesota VikingsWR+400
2008Matt RyanAtlanta FalconsQB+500
2007Adrian PetersonMinnesota VikingsRB+1200
2006Vince YoungTennessee TitansQBNA
2005Cadillac WilliamsTampa Bay BuccaneersRBNA
2004Ben RoethlisbergerPittsburgh SteelersQBNA
2003Anquan BoldinArizona CardinalsWRNA
2002Clinton PortisDenver BroncosRBNA
2001Anthony ThomasChicago BearsRBNA
2000Mike AndersonDenver BroncosRBNA
1999Edgerrin JamesIndianapolis ColtsRBNA
1998Randy MossMinnesota VikingsWRNA

Running backs have dominated OROY voting since the award’s inception in 1967, winning it 35 times, next to 10 each for wide receivers and quarterbacks. But two of the last three were QBs, Justin Herbert in 2020 and Kyler Murray in 2019. Murray was the preseason betting favorite (+150), but Herbert was a longshot (+3000).

But when doctors accidentally punctured the lung of Chargers starting QB Tyrod Taylor before their game in Week 2, the door opened for Herbert, and he never looked back.

Focus on First Round Picks—But Not Exclusively

Playing time is a crucial component of any OROY campaign. The sooner a player can get in the lineup, the better. Since teams usually take a player with a first-round pick they expect to play right away, it may be wise to lean towards first-rounders. But don’t overlook the other rounds; 15 of 55 winners have come from rounds 2-6.

Here is a breakdown of winners by draft position:

  • 40 winners, including 15 of the last 20, were selected in the first round.
  • Five were second-round picks; the last was Anquan Boldin (2003).
  • Three were third-round picks; the last was Alvin Kamara (2017).
  • Three were fourth-round picks; the last was Dak Prescott (2016).
  • Mike Thomas was the only fifth-round pick (1975).
  • Two sixth-rounders have won; Mike Anderson (2000) and Don Woods (1974).
  • No seventh-round selection has ever won.
  • An undrafted free agent has never won.

OROY Winners Not Exclusive to Winning Teams

It’s natural to want to gravitate toward players on better teams. But losing teams pick first in the draft giving them access to better players. That does not mean those guys will thrive, but they are more likely to start in Week 1, giving them the whole season to make a case for OROY honors.

As it turns out, five of the last 10 OROY winners played for teams with sub .500 records. But if you go factor in another decade, 12 of the last 20 winners came from teams with records above .500.

What does this tell us? Easy—don’t overlook someone just because they play for a cellar dweller.

Additional Betting Markets Involving Rookies

Confident in your favorite rookie? Then you may want to consider betting on one of the following markets:

Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds — FAQs

Who is the current favorite to win the NFL's Offensive Rookie of the Year award?

Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett is the betting favorite to win OROY in 2022.

Who won Offensive Rookie of the Year last season?

Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase won OROY for the 2021 NFL season.

Has an offensive lineman ever won OROY?

An offensive lineman has never won OROY. Three votes did go to linemen last year, and six have gotten votes since 2010.

Has a kicker ever won OROY?

The AP has never awarded OROY to a kicker, but the PFWA awarded the honor to Lions kicker Jason Hanson in 1992.

Can I bet on the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

If you are in a state where sports betting is legal then you can bet on OROY at your favorite sportsbook. For a list of the states where sports betting is legal, check out a section on our Super Bowl 57 page.

About the Author
Travis Pulver

Travis Pulver

Writer and Contributor
Travis Pulver is a Senior Writer for Gaming Today and a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, his love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.

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