2022 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds: Top of Oddsboards Dominated By Wide Receivers

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Gren Bay's Christian Watson is among the WRs in the mix to win OROY. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)

As NFL training camps get underway, Kenny Pickett sits atop Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY) oddsboards with odds ranging from +500 to +700, giving him an implied probability from 12-17% (depending on the sportsbook). However, wide receivers dominate the top 10 on most betting boards.

Like other NFL awards, the subjectivity of the award allows for a wide range of opinions and for betting odds to vary among sportsbooks. So, be sure to do some line shopping before placing a bet.

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Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

The following table contains a list of the 10 players with the best odds at DraftKings and their corresponding odds at BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel.

Odds are current as of July 29:

Offensive Rookie of the Year-- 2022/23POSDraftKingsBetMGM: Promo Code TODAYCaesars:
Promo Code Today15
FanDuel
Kenny PickettQB+600+500+600+700
Breece HallRB+750+800+800+900
Drake LondonWR+800+700+700+1000
Treylon BurksWR+800+750+800+1000
Christian WatsonWR+900+850+1000+1000
Garrett WilsonWR+1000+1000+800+1600
Skyy MooreWR+1000+1100+1500+1200
Kenneth Walker IIIRB+1200+1100+1000+1300
Chris OlaveWR+1200+1000+1200+1000
Desmond RidderQB+1400+1200+1600+2000

Production is crucial to any OROY candidate’s campaign. But the narrative the media can craft around a player’s season is almost as important. So—what makes people (and especially voters) pay attention?

For quarterbacks, all eyes are on a guy starting for a team that just said goodbye to a superstar quarterback. If a rookie QB in such a situation can play well enough to keep his team competitive, he’ll be at the forefront of any OROY conversations throughout the season.

That may be why sportsbooks installed Pickett as the opening favorite. Pickett, who was drafted as the heir apparent to Ben Roethlisberger, has a strong supporting cast on offense and one of the league’s better defenses. If his game can translate to the NFL as a rookie, he is on a team that can help him have a solid season. However, he is far from guaranteed to start this season.

For the skill position guys, playing time and production are key. But just having a nice season is not enough; players need to produce above common expectations for rookies. Last season’s winner, Ja’Marr Chase, ranked fourth in the league in receiving yards (1,455) and third in touchdowns (13).

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Top Quarterbacks

Odds are current as of July 29:

Offensive Rookie of the Year-- 2022/23DraftKingsBetMGM: Promo Code TODAYCaesars:
Promo Code Today15
FanDuel
Carson Strong+4000+5000+6000+20000
Desmond Ridder+1400+1200+1600+2000
Kenny Pickett+600+500+600+700
Malik Willis+4000+4000+1200+5000
Matt Corrall+2500+2000+2000+7500
Sam Howell+4000+5000+2500+7500
Kaleb Eleby+10000+15000+12500-
Jack Coan+10000+15000+12500+20000
Bailey Zappe+10000+12500+12500+10000

The QB class this season is not a highly regarded one, though. Pickett is the only one many believe has a shot to start in Week 1. But if Ryan Tannehill struggles, it would not be shocking to see Malik Willis get a shot.

Top Wide Receivers, Running Backs, And Tight Ends

Odds are current as of July 29:

Offensive Rookie of the Year-- 2022/23POSDraftKingsBetMGM: Promo Code TODAYCaesars:
Promo Code Today15
FanDuel
Breece HallRB+750+800+800+900
Drake LondonWR+800+700+700+1000
Treylon BurksWR+800+750+800+1000
Christian WatsonWR+900+850+1000+1000
Garrett WilsonWR+1000+1000+800+1600
Skyy MooreWR+1000+1100+1500+1200
Kenneth Walker IIIRB+1200+1100+1000+1300
Chris OlaveWR+1200+1000+1200+1000
James CookRB+1400+1600+1500+1600
Jameson WilliamsWR+1600+1000+1000+2000
Dameon PierceRB+2000+2000+2800+4000
Jalen Tolbert WR+2000+1600+2800+1600
Jahan DotsonWR+2500+1800+2000+2500
Rachaad WhiteRB+3000+4000+5000+4000
Alec PierceWR+3000+3500+8000+4000
David BellWR+3000+2500+4000+4000
Isaiah SpillerRB+4000+4000+3000+4100
Kyren WilliamsRB+4000+5000+4000+5000
George PickensWR+4000+5000+2500+5000
Trey McBrideTE+4000+4000+4000+6000
Tyler AllgeierRB+5000+5000+8000+6000
Tyquan ThorntonWR+5000+4000+6000+5000
Zamir WhiteRB+6000+6600+8000+6000
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR+7000+5000+6000+7500
Hassan HaskinsRB+10000+10000+12500+10000
Brian Robinson Jr.RB+10000+12500+10000+10000
Romeo DoubsWR+10000+10000+10000+6000
Cade OttonTE+10000+15000+12500+10000
Isaiah LikelyTE+10000+15000+12500+20000
Jalen WydermyerTE+10000+12500+12500+20000

The last running back to win was Saquan Barkley (2018); Ja’Marr Chase was the last wide receiver (2021). A tight end has never won.

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What About Offensive Linemen and Kickers?

Odds are current as of July 29:

Offensive Rookie of the Year-- 2022/23DraftKingsBetMGM: Promo Code TODAYCaesars:
Promo Code Today15
Ikem Ekwonu+10000+15000+15000
Evan Neal+10000+15000+15000
Charles Cross+10000+15000+15000

It would take an incredible year while the rest of the rookie class struggled for an offensive lineman or kicker to win. It is not unheard of for linemen to have odds; there are three with odds at most sportsbooks this year. A few have gotten votes over the years, but a lineman has never come close to winning.

As for kickers—no kicker has ever been named OROY of the year by the Associated Press. However, the Pro Football Writers of America did name Lions placekicker Jason Hanson OROY in 1992. The AP named Bengals wide receiver Carl Pickens OROY that year.

Betting Analysis and Sleeper Picks

Pickett was considered by many to be the most pro-ready QB in the draft. If that perception becomes a reality, the roster around him is strong enough for him to have an award-worthy season. But he is not a lock to start in Week 1.

Christian Watson may be in the best position among wide receivers. He’s got arguably the best quarterback in the NFL throwing him the ball, and Aaron Rodgers will be looking for a new No. 1 option now that Davante Adams is in Las Vegas.

Skyy Moore is in a great position, too, with Patrick Mahomes as his quarterback. Andy Reid will be looking for someone to emerge as the new No. 1 wide receiver after trading Tyreek Hill, and Moore could factor in.

It will be more challenging for a running back since most will be in platoon situations. James Cook is probably in the best position since he’ll be a part of one of the best offenses in the NFL in Buffalo.

Our Preseason Pick: Kenny Pickett or James Cook.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Sleeper Picks

A lot of things will need to go right for these guys, but if you don’t mind the risk…

Isaiah Spiller, RB, Los Angeles Chargers +4100 (FanDuel)

Austin Ekeler is a solid dual-threat running back, but a better running game could be what the Chargers need to become contenders. If he can run as he did at Texas A&M, Spiller could provide it.

Tyler Allgeier, RB, Atlanta Falcons +8000 (Caesars)

He’s probably the most productive running back coming out of college that most fans have never heard of. Should he replicate that success in Atlanta, he could have an award-worthy season.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds History

Odds via SportsOddsHistory.com:

YearWinnerTeamPosPreseason Odds
2021Ja'Marr ChaseCincinnati BengalsWR+1800
2020Justin HerbertLos Angeles ChargersQB+3000
2019Kyler MurrayArizona CardinalsQB+150
2018Saquon BarkleyNew York GiantsRB+155
2017Alvin KamaraNew Orleans SaintsRB+5000
2016Dak PrescottDallas CowboysQB+900
2015Todd GurleySt. Louis RamsRB+5000
2014Odell Beckham Jr.New York GiantsWR+900
2013Eddie LacyGreen Bay PackersRB+1350
2012Robert Griffin IIIWashington RedskinsQB+2500
2011Cam NewtonCarolina PanthersQB+800
2010Sam BradfordSt. Louis RamsQB+400
2009Percy HarvinMinnesota VikingsWR+400
2008Matt RyanAtlanta FalconsQB+500
2007Adrian PetersonMinnesota VikingsRB+1200
2006Vince YoungTennessee TitansQBNA
2005Cadillac WilliamsTampa Bay BuccaneersRBNA
2004Ben RoethlisbergerPittsburgh SteelersQBNA
2003Anquan BoldinArizona CardinalsWRNA
2002Clinton PortisDenver BroncosRBNA
2001Anthony ThomasChicago BearsRBNA
2000Mike AndersonDenver BroncosRBNA
1999Edgerrin JamesIndianapolis ColtsRBNA
1998Randy MossMinnesota VikingsWRNA

Running backs have dominated OROY voting since the award’s inception in 1967, winning it 35 times, next to 10 each for wide receivers and quarterbacks. But two of the last three were QBs, Justin Herbert in 2020 and Kyler Murray in 2019. Murray was the preseason betting favorite (+150), but Herbert was a longshot (+3000).

But when doctors accidentally punctured the lung of Chargers starting QB Tyrod Taylor before their game in Week 2, the door opened for Herbert, and he never looked back.

Focus on First Round Picks—But Not Exclusively

Playing time is a crucial component of any OROY campaign. The sooner a player can get in the lineup, the better. Since teams usually take a player with a first-round pick they expect to play right away, it may be wise to lean towards first-rounders. But don’t overlook the other rounds; 15 of 55 winners have come from rounds 2-6.

Here is a breakdown of winners by draft position:

  • 40 winners, including 15 of the last 20, were selected in the first round.
  • Five were second-round picks; the last was Anquan Boldin (2003).
  • Three were third-round picks; the last was Alvin Kamara (2017).
  • Three were fourth-round picks; the last was Dak Prescott (2016).
  • Mike Thomas was the only fifth-round pick (1975).
  • Two sixth-rounders have won; Mike Anderson (2000) and Don Woods (1974).
  • No seventh-round selection has ever won.
  • An undrafted free agent has never won.

OROY Winners Not Exclusive to Winning Teams

It’s natural to want to gravitate toward players on better teams. But losing teams pick first in the draft giving them access to better players. That does not mean those guys will thrive, but they are more likely to start in Week 1, giving them the whole season to make a case for OROY honors.

As it turns out, five of the last 10 OROY winners played for teams with sub .500 records. But if you go factor in another decade, 12 of the last 20 winners came from teams with records above .500.

What does this tell us? Easy—don’t overlook someone just because they play for a cellar dweller.

Additional Betting Markets Involving Rookies

Confident in your favorite rookie? Then you may want to consider betting on one of the following markets:

Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds — FAQs

Who is the current favorite to win the NFL's Offensive Rookie of the Year award?

Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett is the betting favorite to win OROY in 2022.

Who won Offensive Rookie of the Year last season?

Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase won OROY for the 2021 NFL season.

Has an offensive lineman ever won OROY?

An offensive lineman has never won OROY. Three votes did go to linemen last year, and six have gotten votes since 2010.

Has a kicker ever won OROY?

The AP has never awarded OROY to a kicker, but the PFWA awarded the honor to Lions kicker Jason Hanson in 1992.

Can I bet on the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

If you are in a state where sports betting is legal then you can bet on OROY at your favorite sportsbook. For a list of the states where sports betting is legal, check out a section on our Super Bowl 57 page.

About the Author
Travis Pulver

Travis Pulver

Writer and Contributor
Travis Pulver is a Senior Writer for Gaming Today and a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, his love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.

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