NFL Week 10 Betting Trends: Gamblers Ride Cowboys, Fade Colts, Go Big on Seahawks Futures

GamingToday.com is an independent sports news and information service. GamingToday.com has partnerships with some of the top legal and licensed sportsbook companies in the US. Gaming Today may receive referral compensation from the sportsbook company when you claim a bonus offer or promotion through a link on this site. Although the relationships we have with sportsbook companies may influence the order in which we place companies on the site, all reviews, recommendations, and opinions are wholly our own. They are the recommendations from our authors and contributors who are avid sports fans themselves.

For more information, please read How We Rate Sportsbooks, Privacy Policy, or Contact Us with any concerns you may have.

Gaming Today is licensed and regulated to operate in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, ME, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, ON, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.

Early opportunities greet bettors welcoming the second half of the NFL season kicking off in Week 10.

Early in the week, the DraftKings gambling public bestowed its highest confidence in the Chicago Bears with 96% handle at -2.5 when they host the Detroit Lions.

The high percentage of Bears money helped push the line -3 (-105). To a Bears bettor, the early bird caught the favorable line. Lions backers now have the chance to take +3.

The Dallas Cowboys are the largest road favorite of the week, sitting at -5 against the host Green Bay Packers with 83% of the DraftKings betting handle.

Green Bay is reeling from five straight losses — most in the entire NFL — and has lengthened to a once unfathomable +15000 at DraftKings to win the Super Bowl. The Packers, the No. 1 seed in the NFC playoffs the two last seasons, have been as inept as their 3-6 record attests.

Aaron Rodgers getting almost a touchdown at Lambeau Field? What has the world come to?

DraftKings Sportsbook

Bet NFL Week 10 Here

Click to claim $50 free bet and up to a $1,000 deposit match, and also take advantage of DraftKings’ special ‘bet $5, win $200’ promotional offer.

Titans, Giants, Cowboys Trending Upward Ahead of Week 10

The Tennessee Titans have 85% support against the visiting Denver Broncos at DraftKings. The line moved from -2.5 to -3 at that sportsbook, although it sits -3 (-105) on most NFL oddsboards. The line suggests Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill is not ready to come back from an ankle injury that has shelved him the last two weeks. In his absence, backup quarterback Malik Willis has thrown for 135 yards and no touchdowns. That’s a low output for one game, let alone two.

Prop bettors will instead load up on Derrick Henry, the league’s top rushing workhorse. Over the last four games, Henry has an astonishing streak. He has tallied all of the Titans’ last five offensive touchdowns.

That makes him a betting magnet in this game.

The combo of Henry pounding the rock and a stout defense has led Tennessee to six consecutive covers.

The Titans, along with the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys, are a league-best 6-2 against the spread.

NFL Week 10 Totals Trends

The largest percentage of confidence in DraftKings totals for Week 10 is 90% handle for the Cleveland Browns-Miami Dolphins to exceed 48.5 points. The Dolphins rewarded Over 46 bettors for their 35-32 Week 10 shootout victory over the Bears.

They have looked explosive with the return of Tua Tagovailoa a few weeks back. Early bettors believe that outweighs an oddity: all four of the Dolphins’ home games in 2022 have gone Under.

The biggest confidence in the Under is the 91% handle on the New Orleans Saints and Pittsburgh Steelers to score fewer than 40.5 points.

Bettors back the Steelers Under nearly every week, and Pitt is 5-3 to the Under this season, with that bet cashing in three of its last four games.

Risers and Fallers: Dolphins move up in Super Bowl futures odds

TNF Betting Trends

The Atlanta Falcons launch the Week 10 slate Thursday night as road chalk for the first time this year. DraftKings opened with Atlanta at -1.5 and moved to -3 against the host Carolina Panthers amid heavy Falcons support.

This is a rematch from two weeks ago, when two missed Eddie Pineiro kicks prevented Carolina from completing a miracle comeback in Atlanta. The Panthers lost 37-34 in overtime.

P.J. Walker, who rallied the Panthers in that game, gets the quarterback start but may be on a short leash. He was lifted for Baker Mayfield in the second half of a 42-21 setback to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 9

Mayfield — on the heels of Walker going 3-for-10 with nine yards and two interceptions — directed two second-half touchdown drives for Carolina. That led to an expectation in the books that he would start on Thursday.

But Walker gets another chance.

The Falcons, although 6-3 against the spread, have lost their last two against the number.

Review an app and find welcome offers, including a BetMGM Bonus Code.

Bettors Fading Colts, Jeff Saturday

The Indianapolis Colts unveil Jeff Saturday in the coaching role this week after firing Frank Reich following a 26-3 blowout loss to the New England Patriots in Week 9. The Colts were the only NFL team not to reach the end zone last week and have slumped to 3-5-1 with three straight losses.

The move to a new coach often energizes a team for at least one game.

The DraftKings bettors are nonetheless backing the host Raiders at 85% handle and -6.5. Saturday has never coached an NFL game.

New York Jets Help Over Bettors Ring the Bell

The Jets, now 6-3, were the first team to exceed their win total (5.5) at major sportsbooks.

They vaulted the hurdle with a 20-17 upset over the Buffalo Bills, the +290 DraftKings chalk to win the Super Bowl, in Week 9. The Jets paid a sizable +420 on the moneyline on their home win and improved to 6-3 against the spread.

The team has molded under the passionate leadership of coach Robert Saleh. New York stole last-second victories over the Cleveland Browns and Steelers, notched a romp over the Packers and a triumph against the Broncos — all on the road.

At home, they thumped the Dolphins, lost a game they should have won against the New England Patriots, and seized a game few thought they should win against the Bills.

Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told Gaming Today the Jets have found a high level of confidence.

“The Jets know how to win now,” Avello said. “They have this feeling now like, ‘we are putting this together, we can compete against anybody.’”

Because of that, they can rise to any occasion, Avello believes.

“You have to catch Buffalo on a bad day, which they did, and you have to play a very good game, which they did,” Avello noted. “If the Jets play the Bills 10 times, the Bills are going to win eight of them.”

But last week was not one of the eight. That’s why the Jets blew up several million dollars of moneyline parlays nationwide, according to Avello.

Can they get the New England piano off their back in Week 11 (the look-head line has Pats -5.5 at home)? New England owns 13 consecutive triumphs over the Jets going back to 2015.

Not only are the current Jets thriving, but so is a former Jet …

Geno Smith Lights Up Caesars Board

Quarterback Geno Smith is having an excellent year leading the Seattle Seahawks to a 6-3 mark and into the first-ever NFL game in Germany versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday in Munich.

nfl week 10 betting trends
Big NFL futures bets are showing up Geno Smith and the Seahawks (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

Smith delivered his latest package of professionalism last week. After throwing a pick-6, which put the Seahawks behind against the Arizona Cardinals, he directed scoring drives of 75, 81, and 85 yards. Seattle prevailed 31-21 and leads the NFC West.

The Seahawks have won four straight. The next victory not only matches their 2021 total but will cash a ticket for their win total of Over 6 at Caesars.

Advice: NFL Week 10 Tips Include Seahawks vs. Bucs

Smith, a pro since 2013, enjoys his finest season. He has a career-high 15 touchdowns against only four picks and has thrown for 2,199 yards. He will set new personal bests in that category, too. Smith guides a team with receiving stalwarts Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf, along with star running back Kenneth Walker.

The Seahawks are playing solidly on both sides of the ball. Bettors are weighing in not only on them, but on Smith.

“In my mind, it’s far and away the most impressive and shocking performance this year,” said Adam Pullen, Assistant Director of Trading at Caesars Sportsbook. “Not much was expected from the Seahawks and Geno Smith, and people were waiting for them to come back to earth. Sometimes it takes a lot of time for someone to earn people’s respect, even us bookmakers.

“It’s easy to say now that we waited too long to add Geno for MVP, but I think it plays into the whole story about how nobody expected anything from Seattle this year, especially at the quarterback position. He’s definitely proven us and everyone else wrong this season.”

Smith was first posted at +1000 (100-to-1 odds) to win the NFL MVP on Oct. 23 at Caesars. He was moved down to +6000 on Nov. 4 and shifted even further to his current +2500 on Nov. 7.

He has the seventh-lowest odds behind Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs (+200), Josh Allen from the Bills (+225), Jalen Hurts of the Eagles (+250), Lamar Jackson of the Ravens (+900), Tagovailoa (+1500) and Joe Burrow of the Bengals (+2000).

Since Smith’s MVP odds were added on Oct. 23, he’s received more bets than anyone else to capture the award, Pullen said. Smith leads the way with 23.2% of the tickets, followed by Hurts at 14.8% and Allen at 14.3%.

See them all: Odds to win NFL MVP

The Seahawks are getting some Super Bowl love, too.

Seattle was as high as +50000 (500-1) during this season, positioned there from Sept. 25 to Oct. 2 and Oct. 9 to Oct. 16. On Oct. 23, they were +10000 (100-1) and now sit at +3500.

What a jump. Some big gamblers are taking stabs at them too.

A New York bettor laid $2,500 on the Seahawks at +30000 for a potential win of $750,000.

Caesars bettors have backed Seattle the strongest in division futures.

The Seahawks were +3000 to win the NFC West to start the season. That’s down to +140. Seattle is behind only the 49ers at -130 but way out in front of the Rams at +1200 and the Cardinals at +4000.

Since October, no team has drawn more tickets and money than the Seahawks to win their respective division at Caesars.

Pullen said there have been more tickets on the Seahawks to win the NFC West in that span than all bets placed on AFC North, AFC South, AFC West, and NFC North futures.

The Seattle NFC West action is highlighted by three noteworthy wagers.

One Michigan bettor put down $25,000 on the Seahawks at +1500 on Oct. 20 and another $50,000 on them +550 on Oct. 28 for a total potential win of $625,000.

An Arizona bettor got in even earlier, on Oct. 17, staking $10,000 on the Seahawks at +1800 for a potential win of $180,000.

Update: Odds to win NFC

Smith has also been attracting support in another futures market, Comeback Player of the Year. He was first added to this market at Caesars on Oct. 5 at +2500, while Saquon Barkley was the favorite then at +110. Heading into last weekend, he was at +150 compared to Barkley’s -140 price.

The two have now flipped, with Smith the favorite for the first time at -140 and Barkley close behind at +150.

Bettors who got in early on Smith feel like geniuses.

Since Smith was added to Comeback Player of the Year odds on Oct. 5, he ranks first in tickets at 49.1% and in handle at 79.6% to be given the award, Caesars reported.

NFL Week 10 Odds

Here are current point spreads, totals, and moneylines for top US sports betting apps.

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (11/9) @ 8:17pm ET CAR Panthers +135 +2500 +1700 +6000 +2000 0
CHI Bears -161 -10000 -10000 0 0 0
Sun (11/12) @ 9:32am ET IND Colts -125 -667 -1000 -909 -769 -769
NE Patriots +105 +420 +575 +550 +470 +450
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET GB Packers +140 +650 +3300 +550 +870 0
PIT Steelers -164 -1111 -10000 -909 -2000 0
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET SF 49ers -154 -10000 -10000 -5000 -10000 -10000
JAX Jaguars +130 +2500 +3300 +1400 +1500 +2500
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans +310 -2000 -455 0 -909 -2000
CIN Bengals -400 +900 +325 +3000 +540 +900
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET CLE Browns +185 -769 -769 -1250 +132 0
BAL Ravens -227 +500 +500 +670 -169 0
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints -145 +3500 +3300 +420 +560 0
MIN Vikings +120 0 -10000 -667 -1000 0
Sun (11/12) @ 1:03pm ET TEN Titans -105 +4000 +3300 +2500 +123 +1700 +3000
TB Buccaneers -115 0 -10000 -10000 -147 -10000 -10000
Sun (11/12) @ 4:05pm ET DET Lions -115 -1111 -3333 -1111 -137 -1667 -1000
LA Chargers -105 +650 +1000 +640 +114 +800 +550
Sun (11/12) @ 4:05pm ET ATL Falcons -135 +1800 +600 +1800 -130 +830 +110
ARI Cardinals +110 -5000 -1111 -5000 +104 -2000 -145
Sun (11/12) @ 4:26pm ET WAS Commanders +210 +850 +300 +550 +210 +320 +1200
SEA Seahawks -278 -1667 -400 -909 -263 -455 -2500
Sun (11/12) @ 4:26pm ET NY Giants +700 +4000 +3300 +6000 +950 +3000 +5000
DAL Cowboys -1111 0 -10000 0 -2000 0 0
Sun (11/12) @ 8:22pm ET NY Jets -125 +1600 +1400 +1200 -112 +1300 +1100
LV Raiders +105 -5000 -10000 -5000 -108 -5000 -5000
Mon (11/13) @ 8:16pm ET DEN Broncos +310 -909 -909 0 -909 -833
BUF Bills -400 +575 +550 +4000 +520 +375
Thu (11/9) @ 8:17pm ET CAR Panthers +3.0 -110 +2.5 +340 +2.5 +310 +3.5 -161 +3.5 -161 +3.5 -149
CHI Bears -3.0 -110 -2.5 -500 -2.5 -455 -3.5 +125 -3.5 +122 -3.5 +120
Sun (11/12) @ 9:32am ET IND Colts -1.5 -110 -3.5 -526 +1.5 -125 -4.0 +135 -3.5 -128 +2.0 -112
NE Patriots +1.5 -110 +3.5 +360 -1.5 -105 +4.0 -169 +3.5 -102 -2.0 -112
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET GB Packers +3.0 -105 +3.5 +105 +7.5 -10000 +3.5 +195 +3.5 +185 +4.0 -130
PIT Steelers -3.0 -115 -3.5 -135 -7.5 +3300 -3.5 -250 -3.5 -250 -4.0 +105
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET SF 49ers -3.0 -105 -31.5 +2500 -31.5 +600 -30.5 -714 -31.5 +325 -31.0 -130
JAX Jaguars +3.0 -115 +31.5 -10000 +31.5 -1111 +30.5 +450 +31.5 -500 +31.0 +105
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans +8.0 -110 -3.5 +100 +9.5 -110 -3.0 +195 +3.5 +148 -3.5 0
CIN Bengals -8.0 -110 +3.5 -130 -9.5 -120 +3.0 -250 -3.5 -196 +3.5 0
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET CLE Browns +5.5 -110 +6.5 +160 +6.5 +160 +6.5 +150 +7.5 -222 -2.0 0
BAL Ravens -5.5 -110 -6.5 -208 -6.5 -208 -6.5 -189 -7.5 +165 +2.0 0
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints -2.5 -110 +7.5 +1100 +7.5 +1050 +7.5 +160 +7.5 +130 +7.5 +140
MIN Vikings +2.5 -110 -7.5 -2500 -7.5 -5000 -7.5 -200 -7.5 -169 -7.5 -175
Sun (11/12) @ 1:03pm ET TEN Titans +1.5 -115 +13.5 +1000 +13.5 +950 +14.0 +655 +2.5 -106 +13.5 +490 +14.0 -323
TB Buccaneers -1.5 -105 -13.5 -2000 -13.5 -3333 -14.0 -2500 -2.5 -115 -13.5 -833 -14.0 +240
Sun (11/12) @ 4:05pm ET DET Lions -1.5 -105 -5.5 -120 -6.5 -110 -4.5 -115 -2.0 -109 -6.5 -102 -3.0 0
LA Chargers +1.5 -115 +5.5 -110 +6.5 -120 +4.5 -115 +2.0 -112 +6.5 -128 +3.0 0
Sun (11/12) @ 4:05pm ET ATL Falcons -2.5 -110 +4.5 +130 +4.5 +135 +4.5 +125 -2.0 -110 +4.5 +112 +4.5 +130
ARI Cardinals +2.5 -110 -4.5 -167 -4.5 -175 -4.5 -161 +2.0 -110 -4.5 -147 -4.5 -161
Sun (11/12) @ 4:26pm ET WAS Commanders +6.0 -110 +3.5 -149 +3.5 -161 +6.5 +110 +5.5 -106 +3.5 -114 +3.5 0
SEA Seahawks -6.0 -110 -3.5 +120 -3.5 +125 -6.5 -141 -5.5 -115 -3.5 -115 -3.5 0
Sun (11/12) @ 4:26pm ET NY Giants +15.5 -105 +35.5 -200 +38.5 +200 +32.0 +1200 +17.5 -112 +38.5 +360 +39.0 -769
DAL Cowboys -15.5 -115 -35.5 +154 -38.5 -278 -32.0 -5000 -17.5 -109 -38.5 -556 -39.0 +475
Sun (11/12) @ 8:22pm ET NY Jets -1.5 -110 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -105 +4.5 -250 -0.5 -112 +3.5 +142 +3.5 +125
LV Raiders +1.5 -110 +1.5 -120 +1.5 -120 -4.5 +195 +0.5 -109 -3.5 -189 -3.5 -154
Mon (11/13) @ 8:16pm ET DEN Broncos +8.0 -110 -2.5 -130 -2.5 -130 -2.5 -120 -1.5 -108 -3.0 0
BUF Bills -8.0 -110 +2.5 +100 +2.5 +100 +2.5 -110 +1.5 -120 +3.0 0
Thu (11/9) @ 8:17pm ET CAR Panthers o40.5 -110 o29.5 +140 o35.5 -141 o35.5 -135 o35.5 -125
CHI Bears u40.5 -110 u29.5 -179 u35.5 +105 u35.5 +104 u35.5 +100
Sun (11/12) @ 9:32am ET IND Colts o43.5 -110 o16.5 +325 o23.5 +140 o23.5 +118 o23 -145
NE Patriots u43.5 -110 u16.5 -476 u23.5 -185 u23.5 -154 u23 +115
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET GB Packers o37.5 -105 o47.5 -120 o43.5 -130 o44.5 -130 o44.5 -120
PIT Steelers u37.5 -115 u47.5 -110 u43.5 +100 u44.5 +100 u44.5 -105
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET SF 49ers u44.5 -110 u43.5 +130 u44.5 -145 u44.5 -139 u37.5 0
JAX Jaguars o44.5 -110 o43.5 -167 o44.5 +110 o44.5 +106 o37.5 0
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans u46.5 -110 u50.5 +170 u47.5 -130 u50.5 +116 u50.5 0
CIN Bengals o46.5 -110 o50.5 -222 o47.5 +100 o50.5 -152 o50.5 0
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET CLE Browns u38.5 -110 u60.5 -110 u61.5 -115 u60.5 +100 u61.5 -112
BAL Ravens o38.5 -110 o60.5 -120 o61.5 -115 o60.5 -130 o61.5 -112
Sun (11/12) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints u40.5 -110 u46.5 -250 u46.5 -3333 u53.5 -120 u49 -125
MIN Vikings o40.5 -110 o46.5 +190 o46.5 +950 o53.5 -108 o49 +100
Sun (11/12) @ 1:03pm ET TEN Titans u39.5 -115 u26.5 -125 u29.5 -175 u39 -110 u39.5 -112 u28.5 -106 u26.5 -769
TB Buccaneers o39.5 -105 o26.5 -105 o29.5 +135 o39 -110 o39.5 -108 o28.5 -122 o26.5 +475
Sun (11/12) @ 4:05pm ET DET Lions o48.5 -110 o78.5 -120 o78.5 -125 o48.0 -110 o78.5 -118 o77.5 -112
LA Chargers u48.5 -110 u78.5 -110 u78.5 -105 u48.0 -110 u78.5 -110 u77.5 -112
Sun (11/12) @ 4:05pm ET ATL Falcons u41.5 -110 u44.5 -110 u48.5 -105 u43.5 -110 u44.5 -106 u44.5 -112
ARI Cardinals o41.5 -110 o44.5 -120 o48.5 -125 o43.5 -110 o44.5 -120 o44.5 -112
Sun (11/12) @ 4:26pm ET WAS Commanders u44.5 -110 u44.5 +124 u40.5 +100 u44.0 -110 u45.5 -204 u45 0
SEA Seahawks o44.5 -110 o44.5 -161 o40.5 -130 o44.0 -110 o45.5 +154 o45 0
Sun (11/12) @ 4:26pm ET NY Giants u39.5 -110 u55.5 -145 u59.5 -400 u38.5 -109 u55.5 +126 u58.5 -112
DAL Cowboys o39.5 -110 o55.5 +114 o59.5 +275 o38.5 -112 o55.5 -164 o58.5 -112
Sun (11/12) @ 8:22pm ET NY Jets u36.5 -110 u34.5 +124 u31.5 -130 u35.5 -110 u34.5 -128 u34.5 -105
LV Raiders o36.5 -110 o34.5 -149 o31.5 +100 o35.5 -110 o34.5 -102 o34.5 -120
Mon (11/13) @ 8:16pm ET DEN Broncos u45.5 -110 u40.5 -149 u39.5 +115 u40.5 -130 u40.5 0
BUF Bills o45.5 -110 o40.5 +120 o39.5 -149 o40.5 +100 o40.5 0
About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Writer
Dave Bontempo is an award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. Bontempo has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

Get connected with us on Social Media