NFL Week 7 Betting Results: Upsets Spark Moneyline Magic

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Is nothing sacred?

Gamblers greet an NFL world turned upside down.

Tom Brady’s and Aaron Rodgers’ teams have lost five straight combined games, stunning everyone but the contrarian betting market.

The setbacks by their respective Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Green Bay Packers squads, along with losses by the favored Jacksonville Jaguars and Los Angeles Chargers, sparked moneyline magic for sports bettors in Week 7.

Although the spread-betting favorites hold a 7-6 lead before Monday’s battle between the New England Patriots and Chicago Bears, moneyline dogs produced big cash.

Also read: Bears vs. Patriots Odds and Prediction | MNF props and TD scorer bets

Tampa Bay’s 21-3 setback to the Carolina Panthers, coupled with Green Bay’ 23-21 loss to the Washington Commanders, reveals trouble for these perennial NFL powers.

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Bucs Busting Bankrolls

Brady‘s Bucs lost as double-digit favorites for the second straight week. The Week 7 betting line had drifted up to Tampa Bay -13 by Sunday morning. And the Bucs didn’t even score a touchdown.

Carolina bettors thus obtained a whopping +510 at DraftKings, which was backed by a mere 12% of the betting handle.

That marks the biggest moneyline loss by a favorite this year. It eclipsed what the Bucs suffered one week earlier. That’s when they were toppled 20-18 by the Pittsburgh Steelers at -10.5, and Pittsburgh moneyline bettors racked up on a +350 payout.

For Tampa Bay’s last two games, it’s David 2, Goliath 0.

And the Bucs haven’t covered the spread since Week 2, when they toppled the New Orleans Saints, 20-10. Some bettors have been all over that, feasting upon the heavy points Tampa Bay has been laying as a popular favorite.

Tampa Bay is 2-5 against the spread on the season.

The Bucs opened -2 at the Westgate SuperBook for their Week 8 Thursday night home game against the Ravens, but by Monday morning, the line had flipped to Baltimore -1. Tampa Bay, in fact, is available for +1.5 at BetMGM and FanDuel.

Packers Also Burning Bettors

Green Bay’s loss at -4.5 lost to the Commanders, marks their third straight. The Packers were also recently dumped by the New York Giants and New York Jets.

nfl week 7 betting results, packers commanders
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers lost to the Commanders in NFL Week 7 and continue to be unprofitable for sports bettors  (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)

This was another big win for the dog bettors, as only 16% of the DraftKings moneyline handle backed Washington at +180. Green Bay also had 76% of the spread handle, the second highest in popularity at the book. (The Kansas City Chiefs had 81% handle in toppling the San Francisco 49ers, 44-23).

As for Green Bay’s last three games, it’s David 3, Goliath 0.

And the Packers have not covered the spread since Week 3, when they beat Tampa Bay, 14-12. They are also 2-5 ATS.

That’s the last thing they want before visiting the red-hot Buffalo Bills in the Week 8 Sunday Night game. Green Bay is a 10.5-point underdog in that spot, an unheard or number for Packer backers. An Aaron Rodgers-led Green Bay team has never been spotted double digits.

New York Market Recharged

The changing of the guard extends beyond the Bucs and Packers.

The New York betting market is electrified with the success of the Jets and Giants.

The Jets own their first four-game win streak since 2015 after putting away the Broncos, 16-9. And the Giants are 6-1 after toppling the Jaguars, 23-17.

Not only were the Jets (85% handle) and Giants (79% handle) heavily supported in moneyline percentage in Week 7, they also were the two most highly-bet teams on the DraftKings moneyline, in terms of volume.

While DraftKings paid out the Giants at +130 and the Jets at -120, it pocketed Tampa Bay at -720 and Green Bay-215.

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Giants Part of NFC East Sweep

Giants bettors sweated until the final play but were rewarded at +130 at DraftKings. The GMen preserved their 23-17 triumph over the Jacksonville Jaguars with a gang-tackle at their 1 on the final play.

And as Washington was beating Green Bay, the Dallas Cowboys overcame a sluggish start and a 6-3 halftime deficit to defeat the Detroit Lions 24-6 in Dak Prescott’s return.

Gamblers who took Detroit to win the first half and Dallas to win the game pocketed a nice bet.

The NFC East was the weakest division in the NFL two years ago. Now it is perhaps the strongest, with the 6-0 Philadelphia Eagles, 5-1 Giants, and 5-2 Cowboys.

Even the last-place Commanders are 3-4 and have won two straight.

Running the Table? Eagles’ odds to go undefeated

One Last Underdog Bark

The Seahawks (+6.5) returned +245 to DraftKings bettors upon Seattle’s 37-23 thumping of the Los Angeles Chargers, who remain a weak home favorite.

The Chargers are 1-3 against the spread and 2-2 at home on the moneyline this year.

Caesars Sportsbook Report

The Giants were 3-point underdogs in Jacksonville this week despite boasting a 5-1 record while the Jaguars were 2-4.

It is the first time that a 5-1 club has been an underdog to a team with a losing record since Week 8 of 2008, when Buffalo (5-1) was a 1-point dog at Miami (2-4), per Caesars Sportsbook. The Dolphins won that game, 25-16.

The Jets opened as 3.5-point underdogs against the Broncos, but moved to 1.5-point favorites after the Broncos announced Brett Rypien would make his second career start in place of the injured Russell Wilson.

This is the first time the Jets were road favorites since Week 4 of 2020, when they lost 37-28 at Denver as 1-point chalk. Rypien made his only other NFL start in that contest.

New York seized 71% of the spread tickets, while Denver secured 57% of the handle for this game. The Jets have won and covered four straight games. They haven’t turned the trick in more than three straight contests since 2010 (five).

PointsBet Insights

PointsBet dodged its biggest liability, which was Tampa Bay to cover the spread.

The sportsbook also avoided its biggest exposure on the prop market, which was Derrick Henry of the Tennessee Titans to score.

Not only was he kept out of the end zone, but the Titans offense did not tally a touchdown at all. Yet a defensive score helped propel the Titans’ 19-10 victory over the Indianapolis Colts.

The book did pay out on its second-biggest liability, which was Kansas City -115 on the moneyline.

Unique wagering type explained: What is PointsBetting?

The Bad Things That Happen to Bad Teams

A montage of low moments by the one-win Houston Texans illustrates what often separates strong and weak teams.

They led the Las Vegas Raiders 20-17 in the fourth quarter.

And they had 4th-and-1 from their own 33. The defense had given up three straight touchdowns and the offense hoped to keep the ball.

But the Texans got fancy with their formations and were called for a false start. They had to punt.

On the next possession, the Raiders had 3rd-and-11 from the Houston 30. They picked up 10 to make it 4th-and-1 and went for it. The Texans could have kept it a one-score game by making a stop. But they jumped offside, allowing the first down.

Las Vegas scored a rushing touchdown on the next play. And after that came a Pick 6.

When weak teams hit a pothole, they sink quickly.

Big Turning Point

The Packers coaxed a fumble and a recovery from Washington quarterback Taylor Heinicke with the score 14-10. But a penalty wiped it out and kept Washington in the game long enough to grab it.

The Drop

Bettors who took Tampa Bay’s Mike Evans to score and to tally first got a bad break early in the game. He was open by a full zip code but dropped a pass from Brady that would have produced a 64-yard walk-in touchdown.

It happens, even to elite receivers.

Injury Report

The Jets are about to get a stiff test.

Star running back Breece Hall, who scored the Jets’ only touchdown in their win over the Broncos, likely suffered an ACL injury, according to post-game reports. He could be gone for the rest of the season.

Hall, who notched a highlight-reel 62-yard scoring run early in the game, was ruled out after being helped off the field late in the second quarter with a knee injury.

The Jets won this game without him, but what about going forward?

Amon-Ra St. Brown, a sparkplug of the Detroit Lions offense, was sorely missed after suffering a first-quarter concussion against the Cowboys.

The Lions were outscored 21-0 in the second half,  and their offense is sputtering.

Three weeks ago, the Lions were the NFL’s top-scoring team. In their last two games, they have not reached the end zone.

The Cowboys and Lions also reached bizarre milestones on the same play.

Dallas had scored on every red-zone possession until a late first-half fumble turned the ball over to Detroit. The Lions, conversely, had not stopped a team from scoring on a single red-zone possession until that play.

Initial X-rays were negative for Seahawks receiver DK Metcalf, who nonetheless missed the second half of Seattle’s victory over the Los Angeles Chargers.

Falcons’ ATS Perfection Ends, Bengals Keep Cashing

The Atlanta Falcons (+6.5) suffered their first loss against the spread in the 35-17 setback against the Bengals. Atlanta had been the only perfect team against the number.

Cincinnati, meanwhile, has quietly covered in five straight weeks and is over .500 at 4-3 for the first time this year. The team has begun to find its downfield explosiveness. Joe Burrow’s 481-yard passing game Sunday has been long awaited.

The Bengals are starting to look like the team that won the AFC last season.

Second Guess

The Miami Dolphins led the Pittsburgh Steelers 16-10 early in the third quarter. They had an easy field goal lined up. They passed it up to go for it at the Pittsburgh 14.

Rather than make it a two-score game, the Dolphins went for it and failed.

It nearly burned them in what became a nail-biting 16-10 squeaker Sunday night.

Returnees Report Card

Grading three high-profile quarterbacks who either came back from injury or gained a starting role:

Tua Tagovailoa B+

He threw the ball well, especially to the left side. Could have gotten an ‘A’ if he hadn’t thrown four passes that could have been picked off. Would have gotten a ‘D’ if they all had been.

Nonetheless, Miami snapped a three-game losing streak with him in.

Taylor Heinicke B

Had a solid second half in leading the Commanders over the Packers. Put too much air under the ball for the Pick 6 that put the Packers up 14-3 in the second quarter. Heinicke was later stripped and lost a fumble, but was bailed out by a penalty.
Rebounded in the second half. Showed mobility to avoid a sack before throwing a go-ahead score. Showed leadership with a clutch late conversion to Terry McLaurin.

Dak Prescott B-

He was rusty early, overshooting targets. But he was allowed to manage the game and conducted three touchdown drives in the second half. Prescott threw his first TD to put the game away. Good enough.

Where does your team stand? Updated Super Bowl 57 odds

NFL Week 8 Betting Lines

Here are current point spreads, totals, and moneylines for Week 8 of the 2022 NFL season,

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (10/27) @ 8:14pm ET BAL Ravens -120 0 -10000 -5000 0 0
TB Buccaneers +100 +2500 +3300 +2000 0 +25000
Sun (10/30) @ 9:30am ET DEN Broncos +180 -5000 -10000 -5000 +115 +116 -10000
JAX Jaguars -227 +1300 +1250 +1600 -132 -135 +3500
Sun (10/30) @ 1:00pm ET CAR Panthers +225 +1200 +280 +1000 +180 +900 0
ATL Falcons -278 -3333 -400 -2000 -208 -2500 0
Sun (10/30) @ 1:01pm ET CHI Bears +375 +1500 +3300 +4000 +10000 +10000
DAL Cowboys -500 -5000 -10000 0 0 0
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET MIA Dolphins -175 -5000 -3333 -2500 0 -1667
DET Lions +145 +1400 +950 +1100 +8000 +1000
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET PIT Steelers +400 +2200 +3300 +2000 +10000 +2800
PHI Eagles -556 -10000 -10000 -5000 0 -10000
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET LV Raiders -120 +1300 +1900 +4000 +10000 +10000
NO Saints +100 -5000 -10000 0 0 0
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots -125 -10000 -10000 -2500 -2000 0
NY Jets +105 +2000 +1250 +1100 +870 0
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET ARI Cardinals +165 +1600 +425 +1600 +3500 +2800
MIN Vikings -200 -10000 -714 -5000 0 -10000
Sun (10/30) @ 4:04pm ET TEN Titans -200 -3333 -10000 0 -118 0 0
HOU Texans +165 +1200 +3300 +5000 +102 +3500 0
Sun (10/30) @ 4:25pm ET WAS Commanders +165 -10000 -400 +180 +130 -5000 -500
IND Colts -200 +1800 +280 -222 -147 +1400 +375
Sun (10/30) @ 4:25pm ET SF 49ers -125 -1111 -10000 -667 -103 0 0
LA Rams +105 +675 +3300 +450 -112 +10000 +15000
Sun (10/30) @ 4:25pm ET NY Giants +120 +1300 +3300 +6000 +151 +10000 +4500
SEA Seahawks -145 -5000 -10000 0 -175 0 0
Sun (10/30) @ 8:22pm ET GB Packers +375 +2500 +1700 +1400 +10000 +7000
BUF Bills -500 0 -10000 -5000 0 0
Mon (10/31) @ 8:15pm ET CIN Bengals -164 +2200 +3300 +2500 +10000 +9000
CLE Browns +135 -10000 -10000 -10000 0 0
Thu (10/27) @ 8:14pm ET BAL Ravens -1.5 -105 -10.5 -164 -1.5 -10000 -6.0 +6000 -6.5 -1250 -8.0 +150
TB Buccaneers +1.5 -115 +10.5 +135 +1.5 +3300 +6.0 0 +6.5 +630 +8.0 -179
Sun (10/30) @ 9:30am ET DEN Broncos +4.5 -115 +2.5 -110 +2.5 -110 -6.5 -149 +2.0 -109 +2.5 -115 +2.5 +110
JAX Jaguars -4.5 -105 -2.5 -120 -2.5 -120 +6.5 +120 -2.0 -112 -2.5 -105 -2.5 -130
Sun (10/30) @ 1:00pm ET CAR Panthers +6.5 -110 +2.5 +180 +1.5 +250 +2.5 +185 +4.0 -108 +2.5 +680 +3.0 -238
ATL Falcons -6.5 -110 -2.5 -222 -1.5 -345 -2.5 -233 -4.0 -114 -2.5 -1429 -3.0 +190
Sun (10/30) @ 1:01pm ET CHI Bears +10.0 -110 +19.5 +125 +19.5 +280 +20.0 +115 +20.5 -588 +20.0 0
DAL Cowboys -10.0 -110 -19.5 -154 -19.5 -400 -20.0 -145 -20.5 +375 -20.0 0
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET MIA Dolphins -3.0 -115 -4.5 +255 -4.5 +450 -4.5 +210 -4.5 +980 -4.0 -179
DET Lions +3.0 -105 +4.5 -323 +4.5 -769 +4.5 -263 +4.5 -3333 +4.0 +150
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET PIT Steelers +11.0 -110 +19.5 -135 +21.5 +400 +22.5 -250 +22.5 0 +22.0 -108
PHI Eagles -11.0 -110 -19.5 +105 -21.5 -667 -22.5 +200 -22.5 +7000 -22.0 -108
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET LV Raiders -1.5 -110 +23.5 +150 +23.5 +600 +23.5 +290 +23.5 +560 +23.5 +105
NO Saints +1.5 -110 -23.5 -185 -23.5 -1111 -23.5 -385 -23.5 -1000 -23.5 -120
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots -1.5 -110 -6.5 -500 -5.5 +800 -11.5 -169 -5.5 +980 -11.5 -161
NY Jets +1.5 -110 +6.5 +370 +5.5 -2000 +11.5 +140 +5.5 -3333 +11.5 +135
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET ARI Cardinals +4.5 -115 +6.5 -120 +7.5 +100 +7.5 +100 +6.5 +670 +7.5 -110
MIN Vikings -4.5 -105 -6.5 -110 -7.5 -130 -7.5 -130 -6.5 -1429 -7.5 -105
Sun (10/30) @ 4:04pm ET TEN Titans -3.5 -115 -13.5 -175 -5.5 -10000 -13.5 -345 -1.0 -109 -13.5 -294 -14.0 -135
HOU Texans +3.5 -105 +13.5 +140 +5.5 +3300 +13.5 +270 +1.0 -112 +13.5 +215 +14.0 +115
Sun (10/30) @ 4:25pm ET WAS Commanders +4.0 -110 +5.5 +295 +5.5 +220 +6.5 -110 +2.5 -105 +1.5 0 +6.0 +115
IND Colts -4.0 -110 -5.5 -385 -5.5 -303 -6.5 -120 -2.5 -118 -1.5 +2200 -6.0 -135
Sun (10/30) @ 4:25pm ET SF 49ers -1.5 -110 -16.5 -909 -16.5 -1250 -17.0 +270 +1.0 -112 -16.5 -10000 -17.0 +230
LA Rams +1.5 -110 +16.5 +600 +16.5 +600 +17.0 -345 -1.0 -109 +16.5 +1400 +17.0 -278
Sun (10/30) @ 4:25pm ET NY Giants +2.5 -105 +13.5 +1400 +14.5 -250 +13.5 +475 +3.5 -118 +13.5 +1400 +13.5 +160
SEA Seahawks -2.5 -115 -13.5 -5000 -14.5 +180 -13.5 -714 -3.5 -103 -13.5 -10000 -13.5 -189
Sun (10/30) @ 8:22pm ET GB Packers +10.5 -110 +9.5 -120 +9.5 -135 +11.0 0 +10.5 +140 +9.5 +210
BUF Bills -10.5 -110 -9.5 -110 -9.5 +100 -11.0 +5000 -10.5 -189 -9.5 -250
Mon (10/31) @ 8:15pm ET CIN Bengals -3.0 -115 +15.5 +100 +21.5 -10000 +19.0 +450 +19.5 0 +19.5 -400
CLE Browns +3.0 -105 -15.5 -130 -21.5 +3300 -19.0 -667 -19.5 +7500 -19.5 +310
Thu (10/27) @ 8:14pm ET BAL Ravens o43.5 -110 o39.5 -115 o42.5 -115 o49.5 +2200 o40.5 +125
TB Buccaneers u43.5 -110 u39.5 -115 u42.5 -105 u49.5 0 u40.5 -145
Sun (10/30) @ 9:30am ET DEN Broncos o39.5 -110 o30.5 -125 o37.5 +130 o39.5 -110 o39.5 -110 o39.5 -115 o37.5 +105
JAX Jaguars u39.5 -110 u30.5 -105 u37.5 -161 u39.5 -110 u39.5 -110 u39.5 -105 u37.5 -120
Sun (10/30) @ 1:00pm ET CAR Panthers u41.5 -115 u49.5 -125 u59.5 -135 u41 -110 u41.0 -110 u71.5 -3333 u59.5 -141
ATL Falcons o41.5 -105 o49.5 -105 o59.5 +110 o41 -110 o41.0 -110 o71.5 +980 o59.5 +120
Sun (10/30) @ 1:01pm ET CHI Bears o42.5 -110 o85.5 +145 o78.5 +145 o78.5 +260 o78.5 +135
DAL Cowboys u42.5 -110 u85.5 -179 u78.5 -175 u78.5 -370 u78.5 -161
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET MIA Dolphins u49.5 -110 u58.5 -164 u58.5 -455 u58.5 -2500 u58.5 -323
DET Lions o49.5 -110 o58.5 +135 o58.5 +300 o58.5 +900 o58.5 +250
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET PIT Steelers u43.5 -110 u55.5 -125 u48.5 -345 u48.5 0 u50.5 +100
PHI Eagles o43.5 -110 o55.5 -105 o48.5 +260 o48.5 +7000 o50.5 -115
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET LV Raiders o47.5 -110 o26.5 -125 o24.5 +525 o24.5 +470 o25.5 -105
NO Saints u47.5 -110 u26.5 -105 u24.5 -909 u24.5 -833 u25.5 -110
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots o41 -110 o32.5 +370 o38.5 -115 o39.5 +450 o38.5 -108
NY Jets u41 -110 u32.5 -500 u38.5 -105 u39.5 -769 u38.5 -108
Sun (10/30) @ 1:02pm ET ARI Cardinals o48.5 -105 o66.5 -120 o67.5 +105 o60.5 +670 o67 -108
MIN Vikings u48.5 -115 u66.5 -110 u67.5 -141 u60.5 -1429 u67 -108
Sun (10/30) @ 4:04pm ET TEN Titans u41.5 -115 u26.5 +100 u27.5 -10000 u39.5 -109 u27.5 0 u21.5 -278
HOU Texans o41.5 -105 o26.5 -130 o27.5 +3300 o39.5 -112 o27.5 +7500 o21.5 +230
Sun (10/30) @ 4:25pm ET WAS Commanders u42 -110 u30.5 -135 u29.5 +120 u40.0 -112 u33.5 -10000 u27.5 -175
IND Colts o42 -110 o30.5 +105 o29.5 -154 o40.0 -109 o33.5 +1350 o27.5 +145
Sun (10/30) @ 4:25pm ET SF 49ers u41 -110 u45.5 -115 u45.5 -125 u42.0 -112 u45.5 -5000 u45.5 -455
LA Rams o41 -110 o45.5 -115 o45.5 -105 o42.0 -109 o45.5 +1020 o45.5 +350
Sun (10/30) @ 4:25pm ET NY Giants o46.5 -110 o40.5 +135 o40.5 -110 o44.5 -108 o40.5 +560 o40.5 +130
SEA Seahawks u46.5 -110 u40.5 -164 u40.5 -120 u44.5 -114 u40.5 -1000 u40.5 -149
Sun (10/30) @ 8:22pm ET GB Packers u47.5 -110 u46.5 -105 u46.5 +115 u44.5 0 u44.5 -323
BUF Bills o47.5 -110 o46.5 -125 o46.5 -149 o44.5 +7500 o44.5 +260
Mon (10/31) @ 8:15pm ET CIN Bengals o47 -110 o45.5 -110 o45.5 +425 o45.5 +460 o45.5 +300
CLE Browns u47 -110 u45.5 -120 u45.5 -667 u45.5 -769 u45.5 -370
About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo is a multiple award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970’s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. He has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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