NFL Week 7 Betting Results: Upsets Spark Moneyline Magic

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Is nothing sacred?

Gamblers greet an NFL world turned upside down.

Tom Brady’s and Aaron Rodgers’ teams have lost five straight combined games, stunning everyone but the contrarian betting market.

The setbacks by their respective Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Green Bay Packers squads, along with losses by the favored Jacksonville Jaguars and Los Angeles Chargers, sparked moneyline magic for sports bettors in Week 7.

Although the spread-betting favorites hold a 7-6 lead before Monday’s battle between the New England Patriots and Chicago Bears, moneyline dogs produced big cash.

Also read: Bears vs. Patriots Odds and Prediction | MNF props and TD scorer bets

Tampa Bay’s 21-3 setback to the Carolina Panthers, coupled with Green Bay’ 23-21 loss to the Washington Commanders, reveals trouble for these perennial NFL powers.

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Bucs Busting Bankrolls

Brady‘s Bucs lost as double-digit favorites for the second straight week. The Week 7 betting line had drifted up to Tampa Bay -13 by Sunday morning. And the Bucs didn’t even score a touchdown.

Carolina bettors thus obtained a whopping +510 at DraftKings, which was backed by a mere 12% of the betting handle.

That marks the biggest moneyline loss by a favorite this year. It eclipsed what the Bucs suffered one week earlier. That’s when they were toppled 20-18 by the Pittsburgh Steelers at -10.5, and Pittsburgh moneyline bettors racked up on a +350 payout.

For Tampa Bay’s last two games, it’s David 2, Goliath 0.

And the Bucs haven’t covered the spread since Week 2, when they toppled the New Orleans Saints, 20-10. Some bettors have been all over that, feasting upon the heavy points Tampa Bay has been laying as a popular favorite.

Tampa Bay is 2-5 against the spread on the season.

The Bucs opened -2 at the Westgate SuperBook for their Week 8 Thursday night home game against the Ravens, but by Monday morning, the line had flipped to Baltimore -1. Tampa Bay, in fact, is available for +1.5 at BetMGM and FanDuel.

Packers Also Burning Bettors

Green Bay’s loss at -4.5 lost to the Commanders, marks their third straight. The Packers were also recently dumped by the New York Giants and New York Jets.

nfl week 7 betting results, packers commanders
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers lost to the Commanders in NFL Week 7 and continue to be unprofitable for sports bettors  (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)

This was another big win for the dog bettors, as only 16% of the DraftKings moneyline handle backed Washington at +180. Green Bay also had 76% of the spread handle, the second highest in popularity at the book. (The Kansas City Chiefs had 81% handle in toppling the San Francisco 49ers, 44-23).

As for Green Bay’s last three games, it’s David 3, Goliath 0.

And the Packers have not covered the spread since Week 3, when they beat Tampa Bay, 14-12. They are also 2-5 ATS.

That’s the last thing they want before visiting the red-hot Buffalo Bills in the Week 8 Sunday Night game. Green Bay is a 10.5-point underdog in that spot, an unheard or number for Packer backers. An Aaron Rodgers-led Green Bay team has never been spotted double digits.

New York Market Recharged

The changing of the guard extends beyond the Bucs and Packers.

The New York betting market is electrified with the success of the Jets and Giants.

The Jets own their first four-game win streak since 2015 after putting away the Broncos, 16-9. And the Giants are 6-1 after toppling the Jaguars, 23-17.

Not only were the Jets (85% handle) and Giants (79% handle) heavily supported in moneyline percentage in Week 7, they also were the two most highly-bet teams on the DraftKings moneyline, in terms of volume.

While DraftKings paid out the Giants at +130 and the Jets at -120, it pocketed Tampa Bay at -720 and Green Bay-215.

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Giants Part of NFC East Sweep

Giants bettors sweated until the final play but were rewarded at +130 at DraftKings. The GMen preserved their 23-17 triumph over the Jacksonville Jaguars with a gang-tackle at their 1 on the final play.

And as Washington was beating Green Bay, the Dallas Cowboys overcame a sluggish start and a 6-3 halftime deficit to defeat the Detroit Lions 24-6 in Dak Prescott’s return.

Gamblers who took Detroit to win the first half and Dallas to win the game pocketed a nice bet.

The NFC East was the weakest division in the NFL two years ago. Now it is perhaps the strongest, with the 6-0 Philadelphia Eagles, 5-1 Giants, and 5-2 Cowboys.

Even the last-place Commanders are 3-4 and have won two straight.

Running the Table? Eagles’ odds to go undefeated

One Last Underdog Bark

The Seahawks (+6.5) returned +245 to DraftKings bettors upon Seattle’s 37-23 thumping of the Los Angeles Chargers, who remain a weak home favorite.

The Chargers are 1-3 against the spread and 2-2 at home on the moneyline this year.

Caesars Sportsbook Report

The Giants were 3-point underdogs in Jacksonville this week despite boasting a 5-1 record while the Jaguars were 2-4.

It is the first time that a 5-1 club has been an underdog to a team with a losing record since Week 8 of 2008, when Buffalo (5-1) was a 1-point dog at Miami (2-4), per Caesars Sportsbook. The Dolphins won that game, 25-16.

The Jets opened as 3.5-point underdogs against the Broncos, but moved to 1.5-point favorites after the Broncos announced Brett Rypien would make his second career start in place of the injured Russell Wilson.

This is the first time the Jets were road favorites since Week 4 of 2020, when they lost 37-28 at Denver as 1-point chalk. Rypien made his only other NFL start in that contest.

New York seized 71% of the spread tickets, while Denver secured 57% of the handle for this game. The Jets have won and covered four straight games. They haven’t turned the trick in more than three straight contests since 2010 (five).

PointsBet Insights

PointsBet dodged its biggest liability, which was Tampa Bay to cover the spread.

The sportsbook also avoided its biggest exposure on the prop market, which was Derrick Henry of the Tennessee Titans to score.

Not only was he kept out of the end zone, but the Titans offense did not tally a touchdown at all. Yet a defensive score helped propel the Titans’ 19-10 victory over the Indianapolis Colts.

The book did pay out on its second-biggest liability, which was Kansas City -115 on the moneyline.

Unique wagering type explained: What is PointsBetting?

The Bad Things That Happen to Bad Teams

A montage of low moments by the one-win Houston Texans illustrates what often separates strong and weak teams.

They led the Las Vegas Raiders 20-17 in the fourth quarter.

And they had 4th-and-1 from their own 33. The defense had given up three straight touchdowns and the offense hoped to keep the ball.

But the Texans got fancy with their formations and were called for a false start. They had to punt.

On the next possession, the Raiders had 3rd-and-11 from the Houston 30. They picked up 10 to make it 4th-and-1 and went for it. The Texans could have kept it a one-score game by making a stop. But they jumped offside, allowing the first down.

Las Vegas scored a rushing touchdown on the next play. And after that came a Pick 6.

When weak teams hit a pothole, they sink quickly.

Big Turning Point

The Packers coaxed a fumble and a recovery from Washington quarterback Taylor Heinicke with the score 14-10. But a penalty wiped it out and kept Washington in the game long enough to grab it.

The Drop

Bettors who took Tampa Bay’s Mike Evans to score and to tally first got a bad break early in the game. He was open by a full zip code but dropped a pass from Brady that would have produced a 64-yard walk-in touchdown.

It happens, even to elite receivers.

Injury Report

The Jets are about to get a stiff test.

Star running back Breece Hall, who scored the Jets’ only touchdown in their win over the Broncos, likely suffered an ACL injury, according to post-game reports. He could be gone for the rest of the season.

Hall, who notched a highlight-reel 62-yard scoring run early in the game, was ruled out after being helped off the field late in the second quarter with a knee injury.

The Jets won this game without him, but what about going forward?

Amon-Ra St. Brown, a sparkplug of the Detroit Lions offense, was sorely missed after suffering a first-quarter concussion against the Cowboys.

The Lions were outscored 21-0 in the second half,  and their offense is sputtering.

Three weeks ago, the Lions were the NFL’s top-scoring team. In their last two games, they have not reached the end zone.

The Cowboys and Lions also reached bizarre milestones on the same play.

Dallas had scored on every red-zone possession until a late first-half fumble turned the ball over to Detroit. The Lions, conversely, had not stopped a team from scoring on a single red-zone possession until that play.

Initial X-rays were negative for Seahawks receiver DK Metcalf, who nonetheless missed the second half of Seattle’s victory over the Los Angeles Chargers.

Falcons’ ATS Perfection Ends, Bengals Keep Cashing

The Atlanta Falcons (+6.5) suffered their first loss against the spread in the 35-17 setback against the Bengals. Atlanta had been the only perfect team against the number.

Cincinnati, meanwhile, has quietly covered in five straight weeks and is over .500 at 4-3 for the first time this year. The team has begun to find its downfield explosiveness. Joe Burrow’s 481-yard passing game Sunday has been long awaited.

The Bengals are starting to look like the team that won the AFC last season.

Second Guess

The Miami Dolphins led the Pittsburgh Steelers 16-10 early in the third quarter. They had an easy field goal lined up. They passed it up to go for it at the Pittsburgh 14.

Rather than make it a two-score game, the Dolphins went for it and failed.

It nearly burned them in what became a nail-biting 16-10 squeaker Sunday night.

Returnees Report Card

Grading three high-profile quarterbacks who either came back from injury or gained a starting role:

Tua Tagovailoa B+

He threw the ball well, especially to the left side. Could have gotten an ‘A’ if he hadn’t thrown four passes that could have been picked off. Would have gotten a ‘D’ if they all had been.

Nonetheless, Miami snapped a three-game losing streak with him in.

Taylor Heinicke B

Had a solid second half in leading the Commanders over the Packers. Put too much air under the ball for the Pick 6 that put the Packers up 14-3 in the second quarter. Heinicke was later stripped and lost a fumble, but was bailed out by a penalty.
Rebounded in the second half. Showed mobility to avoid a sack before throwing a go-ahead score. Showed leadership with a clutch late conversion to Terry McLaurin.

Dak Prescott B-

He was rusty early, overshooting targets. But he was allowed to manage the game and conducted three touchdown drives in the second half. Prescott threw his first TD to put the game away. Good enough.

Where does your team stand? Updated Super Bowl 57 odds

NFL Week 8 Betting Lines

Here are current point spreads, totals, and moneylines for Week 8 of the 2022 NFL season,

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (10/26) @ 8:15pm ET TB Buccaneers +300 +2500 +3300 +2200 +1700 +2500
BUF Bills -370 -10000 -10000 -10000 -10000 0
Sun (10/29) @ 1:01pm ET JAX Jaguars -125 0 -10000 -667 -143 -10000 0
PIT Steelers +105 +3500 +3300 +420 +116 +1500 0
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET LA Rams +225 +3000 +1000 -213 +900 +3500
DAL Cowboys -278 0 -2500 0 -2500 0
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots +400 +1100 +3300 +800 +4000 +1000
MIA Dolphins -556 -2500 -10000 -1667 0 -2000
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET PHI Eagles -278 0 -2000 0 -5000 0
WAS Commanders +225 +4000 +900 +4000 +1200 +3500
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans -164 +1600 +400 +450 +630 0
CAR Panthers +140 -5000 -588 -714 -1250 0
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET NY Jets -175 -10000 -400 -5000 0 -5000
NY Giants +145 +2000 +300 +1400 +2500 +1700
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints +100 -1667 -10000 -2500 -2500 0
IND Colts -120 +800 +3300 +1000 +900 +9000
Sun (10/29) @ 1:03pm ET MIN Vikings -105 -2500 -10000 0 0 0
GB Packers -115 +1200 +3300 +4500 +3000 +1400
Sun (10/29) @ 1:05pm ET ATL Falcons -120 +650 +1050 +750 +540 +500
TEN Titans +100 -1111 -3333 -1429 -909 -909
Sun (10/29) @ 4:06pm ET CLE Browns +115 +4000 +1400 +3500 +163 +2000 +5000
SEA Seahawks -141 0 -10000 0 -200 0 0
Sun (10/29) @ 4:26pm ET BAL Ravens -370 -1250 -500 -2500 0
ARI Cardinals +275 +700 +375 +900 +6000
Sun (10/29) @ 4:26pm ET KC Chiefs -400 +4000 +3300 +350 -313 +340 +4000
DEN Broncos +325 0 -10000 -500 +250 -500 0
Sun (10/29) @ 4:26pm ET CIN Bengals +200 -2000 -10000 -1667 +170 0 0
SF 49ers -250 +1000 +3300 +800 -213 +2000 +6600
Sun (10/29) @ 8:23pm ET CHI Bears +350 +3500 +2200 +2200 +360 +2500 +4000
LA Chargers -455 0 -10000 -10000 -500 0 0
Mon (10/30) @ 8:15pm ET LV Raiders +300 +4000 +3300 +1200 +2000 +10000
DET Lions -370 0 -10000 -5000 0 0
Thu (10/26) @ 8:15pm ET TB Buccaneers +7.5 -105 +5.5 +950 +6.5 -2000 +14.5 -208 +13.5 +148 +14.0 -303
BUF Bills -7.5 -115 -5.5 -2000 -6.5 +900 -14.5 +165 -13.5 -196 -14.0 +230
Sun (10/29) @ 1:01pm ET JAX Jaguars -1.5 -110 -7.5 -1667 -7.5 -556 -7.5 -333 -2.5 -110 -9.5 -1429 -10.0 0
PIT Steelers +1.5 -110 +7.5 +850 +7.5 +350 +7.5 +205 +2.5 -110 +9.5 +670 +10.0 0
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET LA Rams +6.0 -105 +23.5 -1667 +23.5 -2000 +23.0 -145 +22.5 +255 +23.0 0
DAL Cowboys -6.0 -115 -23.5 +800 -23.5 +800 -23.0 +115 -22.5 -357 -23.0 0
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots +10.5 -110 +17.5 -135 +15.5 -1000 +13.5 +145 +7.5 -154 +14.0 +220
MIA Dolphins -10.5 -110 -17.5 +105 -15.5 +550 -13.5 -179 -7.5 +118 -14.0 -294
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET PHI Eagles -6.5 -110 -6.5 -455 -7.5 +3300 -6.5 -145 -6.5 -164 -6.5 0
WAS Commanders +6.5 -110 +6.5 +310 +7.5 -10000 +6.5 +115 +6.5 +126 +6.5 0
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans -3.0 -115 +1.5 -263 +1.5 -303 -3.5 -149 +1.5 -333 -1.0 +175
CAR Panthers +3.0 -105 -1.5 +195 -1.5 +210 +3.5 +120 -1.5 +240 +1.0 -227
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET NY Jets -3.0 -115 +1.5 -120 -2.5 -227 +2.5 +105 +1.5 -128 +3.0 +115
NY Giants +3.0 -105 -1.5 -110 +2.5 +170 -2.5 -135 -1.5 -102 -3.0 -145
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints +1.5 -110 -10.5 -10000 -8.5 -10000 -11.0 +350 -8.5 +198 -8.0 -120
IND Colts -1.5 -110 +10.5 +2500 +8.5 +1250 +11.0 -500 +8.5 -270 +8.0 -105
Sun (10/29) @ 1:03pm ET MIN Vikings +1.5 -110 -11.5 -833 -13.5 -208 -13.5 -189 -13.5 -222 -13.5 -200
GB Packers -1.5 -110 +11.5 +500 +13.5 +160 +13.5 +150 +13.5 +165 +13.5 +160
Sun (10/29) @ 1:05pm ET ATL Falcons -1.5 -110 +5.5 -149 +5.5 -161 +11.5 +125 +5.5 -204 +5.0 -455
TEN Titans +1.5 -110 -5.5 +120 -5.5 +125 -11.5 -161 -5.5 +154 -5.0 +330
Sun (10/29) @ 4:06pm ET CLE Browns +2.5 -110 -2.5 -250 -2.5 -227 -2.5 -200 +4.0 -109 -2.5 -250 -3.0 +135
SEA Seahawks -2.5 -110 +2.5 +190 +2.5 +165 +2.5 +160 -4.0 -112 +2.5 +185 +3.0 -169
Sun (10/29) @ 4:25pm ET BAL Ravens -8.5 -110 -7.5 -313 -10.5 +1400 -6.5 -278 -7.5 0
ARI Cardinals +8.5 -110 +7.5 +230 +10.5 -10000 +6.5 +215 +7.5 0
Sun (10/29) @ 4:26pm ET KC Chiefs -8.5 -110 +14.5 +140 +14.5 -125 +15.0 +180 -7.0 +100 +15.5 -222 +14.5 +100
DEN Broncos +8.5 -110 -14.5 -179 -14.5 -105 -15.0 -233 +7.0 -122 -15.5 +165 -14.5 -125
Sun (10/29) @ 4:26pm ET CIN Bengals +5.5 -105 -10.5 -115 -8.5 -115 -14.0 +115 +4.5 -114 -8.5 -114 -7.5 -112
SF 49ers -5.5 -115 +10.5 -115 +8.5 -115 +14.0 -145 -4.5 -108 +8.5 -114 +7.5 -112
Sun (10/29) @ 8:23pm ET CHI Bears +9.5 -110 +17.5 -909 +17.5 -1429 +17.0 -455 +9.5 -109 +16.5 +630 +17.0 0
LA Chargers -9.5 -110 -17.5 +550 -17.5 +700 -17.0 +320 -9.5 -112 -16.5 -1250 -17.0 0
Mon (10/30) @ 8:15pm ET LV Raiders +7.5 -110 +12.5 -909 +11.5 +160 +14.5 +115 +11.5 +178 +18.5 +100
DET Lions -7.5 -110 -12.5 +575 -11.5 -208 -14.5 -145 -11.5 -238 -18.5 -125
Thu (10/26) @ 8:15pm ET TB Buccaneers u42.5 -110 u42.5 -1111 u41.5 -154 u34.5 -114 u34.5 -238
BUF Bills o42.5 -110 o42.5 +650 o41.5 +120 o34.5 -114 o34.5 +185
Sun (10/29) @ 1:01pm ET JAX Jaguars o41.5 -110 o30.5 -105 o33.5 -130 o41 -110 o41.0 -108 o33.5 -125 o30.5 0
PIT Steelers u41.5 -110 u30.5 -125 u33.5 +100 u41 -110 u41.0 -114 u33.5 -104 u30.5 0
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET LA Rams u45.5 -110 u66.5 -135 u66.5 -105 u66.5 -108 u63.5 0
DAL Cowboys o45.5 -110 o66.5 +105 o66.5 -125 o66.5 -120 o63.5 0
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots u46.5 -105 u54.5 -105 u47.5 -125 u48.5 -164 u48.5 -303
MIA Dolphins o46.5 -115 o54.5 -125 o47.5 -105 o48.5 +125 o48.5 +230
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET PHI Eagles o45 -110 o55.5 +220 o61.5 -120 o60.5 -128 o55.5 0
WAS Commanders u45 -110 u55.5 -294 u61.5 -110 u60.5 -102 u55.5 0
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans u41.5 -110 u27.5 +114 u31.5 -110 u25.5 -164 u27.5 -105
CAR Panthers o41.5 -110 o27.5 -145 o31.5 -120 o25.5 +126 o27.5 -120
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET NY Jets u35.5 -105 u23.5 +105 u23.5 -227 u23.5 +106 u17.5 -141
NY Giants o35.5 -115 o23.5 -135 o23.5 +165 o23.5 -139 o17.5 +110
Sun (10/29) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints u41.5 -110 u65.5 -130 u62.5 -141 u64.5 -102 u65 +100
IND Colts o41.5 -110 o65.5 +100 o62.5 +105 o64.5 -128 o65 -125
Sun (10/29) @ 1:03pm ET MIN Vikings u43.5 -110 u34.5 -769 u39.5 -120 u41.5 -120 u34.5 -145
GB Packers o43.5 -110 o34.5 +470 o39.5 -110 o41.5 -108 o34.5 +115
Sun (10/29) @ 1:05pm ET ATL Falcons o37.5 -105 o51.5 +210 o50.5 -189 o43.5 -118 o51 0
TEN Titans u37.5 -115 u51.5 -278 u50.5 +145 u43.5 -110 u51 0
Sun (10/29) @ 4:06pm ET CLE Browns o40.5 -110 o42.5 -115 o42.5 -370 o39 -110 o39.0 -108 o40.5 +100 o42.5 -130
SEA Seahawks u40.5 -110 u42.5 -115 u42.5 +270 u39 -110 u39.0 -114 u40.5 -130 u42.5 +105
Sun (10/29) @ 4:26pm ET BAL Ravens u44.5 -115 u41.5 -145 u45 -110 u44.5 -108 u37.5 +108 u46.5 0
ARI Cardinals o44.5 -105 o41.5 +110 o45 -110 o44.5 -114 o37.5 -141 o46.5 0
Sun (10/29) @ 4:26pm ET KC Chiefs u45.5 -110 u36.5 +114 u36.5 -105 u45.5 -110 u45.5 -110 u37.5 -128 u37 -115
DEN Broncos o45.5 -110 o36.5 -145 o36.5 -125 o45.5 -110 o45.5 -110 o37.5 -102 o37 -110
Sun (10/29) @ 4:26pm ET CIN Bengals o45.5 -110 o47.5 -130 o47.5 +105 o44 -110 o44.0 -110 o48.5 +102 o48 -105
SF 49ers u45.5 -110 u47.5 +100 u47.5 -141 u44 -110 u44.0 -110 u48.5 -132 u48 -120
Sun (10/29) @ 8:23pm ET CHI Bears o44.5 -110 o43.5 +380 o43.5 +400 o45.5 -112 o43.5 -135 o43.5 -149
LA Chargers u44.5 -110 u43.5 -588 u43.5 -667 u45.5 -109 u43.5 +104 u43.5 +120
Mon (10/30) @ 8:15pm ET LV Raiders u44.5 -110 u47.5 -135 u44.5 -110 u49.5 -106 u40.5 -208
DET Lions o44.5 -110 o47.5 +105 o44.5 -115 o49.5 -122 o40.5 +165
About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Writer
Dave Bontempo is an award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. Bontempo has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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