Duke vs NC State Odds, Predictions for ACC Tournament Quarterfinals

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The ACC Men’s Basketball Tournament heats up on Thursday as the conference’s top four teams take the court for the quarterfinals after enjoying a couple days off thanks to the double bye. The evening slate tips off at 7 p.m. Eastern with a matchup between familiar foes Duke and NC State.

Here, we will break down the Duke vs NC State odds and predictions.

 

These teams met early last week in Raleigh in a game No. 11 Duke won 79-64, thanks to a big night offensively that included 17 offensive boards by the Blue Devils. NCSU, which had to win two games to reach this round, outscored Louisville 49-39 in the second half on Tuesday, and followed that up with a 48-point second half in Wednesday’s 83-65 romp over Syracuse.

Let’s get into the matchup and give our best Duke vs NC State betting pick.

Read More: ACC Tournament Quarterfinal Odds, Picks Best College Basketball Betting Sites | March Madness Odds

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Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview

Best futures odds to win ACC Tournament:

No. 9 Duke (24-7, 15-5 ACC) had a strong regular season end in disappointing fashion last Saturday night in a home loss to North Carolina. Now, Duke enters the ACC Tournament looking to cut down the nets for the second consecutive season and the fourth time in the last seven years. The Blue Devils dominated the ACC for most of the year, but did suffer two losses in their last five games, at Wake Forest on Feb. 24 and to UNC at home on March 9.

Duke is understandably the second-favorite to win this tournament thanks to its balance. In addition to All-ACC 7-footer Kyle Filipowski, the Devils also boast a third-team all-conference guard in Jeremy Roach and one of the league’s top freshmen, Jared McCain. In Duke’s road win over the Wolfpack last week, it struggled to stop big man DJ Burns, but won by double-digits thanks to a slew of offensive boards in the first half followed by a 46-point second half.

NC State Wolfpack Betting Preview

Best futures odds to win ACC Tournament:

The Pack (19-14, 9-11 ACC) had to knock off Louisville and upset Syracuse to reach the quarterfinals after entering the tournament as the 10-seed. NC State’s top two offensive players both showed out in the win over the Orange on Wednesday, as third-team All-ACC guard DJ Horne and Wolfpack big man DJ Burns combined for 31 points on 12-of-22 shooting from the floor in just 44 minutes total.

In three career games against Duke (including two last year), Burns has averaged over 19 points, with at least 13 in all three of his matchups against Filipowski and the Blue Devils’ front line. State is just 1-2 in those contests, though, as the Blue Devils have still found ways to win the last two matchups with Burns by exploiting him on the other end of the court.

A win by NC State would go a long way for beleaguered coach Kevin Keatts’ job security, another possible reason the Wolfpack could be dangerous on Thursday.

Duke vs NC State Betting Trends

The total has gone OVER in six of the last 10 Duke-NC State matchups, and Duke is 4-6 ATS in its last 10 meetings (but 6-4 SU with NC State).

Duke Blue Devils

  • Duke is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of Duke’s last 10 games.

NC State Wolfpack

  • NC State is 5-5 ATS in its last 10 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of NC State’s last 10 games.

Duke vs NC State Predictions & Betting Pick

A number of trends, including NC State’s recent record ATS vs Duke, suggest the Pack is worth a long look here. But it’s hard to pull the trigger on NC State covering — much less pulling the upset — after how much Horne, Burns, and Co. struggled defensively (at home, no less, and with Filipowski plagued by foul trouble) against the Blue Devils just 10 days ago.

The safest bet in this one given State’s momentum from the wins over Louisville and Syracuse is to take the Pack on the first half spread. And if your sportsbook of choice offers DJ Burns’ point total, strongly consider the Over, especially given Duke coach Jon Scheyer’s refusal to double-team him in the recent matchup.

Duke vs NC State Betting Pick: NC State first half (+6.5 at time of publishing)

Duke vs NC State Injury Report

 

How to Watch Duke vs NC State

  • Date: Thursday, March 14, 2024
  • Tip-Off: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Capital One Arena – Washington, DC
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

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About the Author
Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett

Writer
Tyler Everett has been a sports writer since joining the student newspaper at his alma mater, NC State, back in 2008. He's covered sports and sports business for a number of newspapers and websites, including the Denver Broncos, Charlotte Observer, High Press Soccer, and Sports Business Journal, where he currently works full-time.

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