Duke vs. Vermont Odds, Predictions: 2024 March Madness First Round

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March Madness is finally here, and we have some First Round action to discuss. The No. 4 Duke Blue Devils could have their hands full against the No. 13 Vermont Catamounts. Here, we will break down the Duke vs. Vermont odds, predictions, and best bets

As expected, Duke opened as a () point favorite. But the Catamount’s style of play could make this first-round matchup very interesting. Let’s take a close look at this matchup and give out our Duke vs. Vermont best bet. 

Read More: March Madness Odds | 2024 March Madness Schedule | Best College Basketball Betting Sites

Duke vs. Vermont Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Total

Check out Gaming Today’s top-rated sports betting apps before making your picks on the Duke vs. Vermont odds. This will ensure you get the best numbers for your wager. 

Duke Betting Preview

Undoubtedly, Duke has the better roster and will most likely win this game. I know that March Madness is the time of upsets and Cinderellas, but the talent advantage is simply too big to ignore. 

One area Vermont can attack is outside shooting, as the Blue Devils struggle to defend the three-point line. Duke ranks 97th in opponents’ three-point shooting percentage (32.6%) and 113th in three-point attempts allowed per game (20.4%). 

However, Vermont plays at such a slow pace that they almost need to be perfect when shooting the ball to have a chance. If the shots are not falling, the Cats could get run out of the gym very quickly, as they do not have the size to counter Kyle Filipowski down low. 

If the Catamounts can defend the three-point line and continue defending all three levels well, they have a decent shot at keeping this game close or outright winning if a few bounces go their way. 

However, a talented guard trio of Jared McCain, Tyrese Proctor, and Jeremy Roach should be enough to overwhelm the opposition. 

Vermont Betting Preview

Vermont has won the America East Tournament for the third straight season. Their reward is playing one of the most talented teams in the country. Despite only winning two games all-time in March Madness, the Catamounts are a familiar face this time of year and should not be taken lightly. 

According to KenPom, the Catamounts play at the 349th-ranked pace and are solid defensively. However, the offense can sometimes become stagnant, which will hurt them against Duke. Fewer possessions per game means Vermont will have to score at a higher clip than average. 

Luckily, there is some hope with this offense. They rank 24th in Rim & 3 Rate and have a couple of deep-ball threats in TJ Long, Aaron Deloney, and Matt Veretto. It wouldn’t be too surprising if Vermont could stay in this game from start to finish by dominating on defense and hitting some open shots. 

Although Duke does not allow many open threes, it can get sloppy defending the arc. This is by far the most talented team Vermont has seen this season, so it must make the most of its limited possessions to have a chance at the Round 1 upset. 

Duke vs. Vermont Betting Trends

Duke Blue Devils

  • Duke is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games. 
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of Duke’s last 11 games. 
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Duke’s last 12 games when playing as the favorite. 

Vermont Catamounts

  • Vermont is 1-4 ATS in its last five games. 
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Vermont’s last 15 games. 
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of Vermont’s last seven games when playing as the underdog. 

More NCAAB News: Duke March Madness Odds | NCAAB Odds | First Four Betting Odds, Predictions, and Preview

Duke vs. Vermont Predictions & Betting Pick

March Madness is the best for several reasons, including the number of upsets we see every season. 

Vermont could be the next team to pull off a first-round shocker, but they drew a horrendous matchup for their style of play. If the Catamounts were playing a more up-tempo team, they would be in a much better spot. 

Instead, they are taking on Duke, which ranks 231st in tempo. This means Vermont will need to capitalize on its limited possessions at a higher rate. Offensively, they rank 116th in eFG% and 127th in shooting efficiency. While they take high-quality shots (at the Rim or from deep), Duke’s defense has a massive athletic advantage. If the Cats can jump out to an early lead, there is a chance they can pull off the upset. 

Duke should win this game, but the spread is too rich for our liking. Instead, we will focus on the total. In this matchup, possessions will be limited, leading to fewer shots and the clock continuously running. 

The trends support the under, and that’s what we will roll with for our Duke vs. Vermont betting pick. 

Duke vs. Vermont Best Bet: Under ()

Duke vs. Vermont Injury Report

North Carolina Online Sports Betting is Live

The wait is finally over! 

North Carolina online sports betting went live on March 11, 2024, just in time for March Madness. Residents can now bet on the NCAA Tournament and their home-state teams, including the Duke Blue Devils. 

There are plenty of ways to bet on the 2024 NCAA Tournament in North Carolina, and the top sports betting apps will also offer plenty of NC sportsbook promos. Below, we have included the available sportsbooks in the Tar Heel State and their welcome offers for new North Carolina users. 

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About the Author
DJ Corrigan

DJ Corrigan

Writer
DJ Corrigan is a sports betting writer for Gaming Today and has been covering the world of wagering since his days at Ohio State University. Corrigan's love of betting the Over and chasing the hungry dogs has led him to a career crunching numbers with an emphasis on NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, and MLB betting.

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