Slim pickings out there when it comes to our NFL Week 11 teaser pick, but we’re forging ahead after cashing another winning ticket last weekend.
Underdogs are hitting at a 57.6% clip with an overall record of 83-61-6 through Week 10. This week’s Wong Teaser features one dog and one favorite that are prime candidates to win outright.
We are betting two-team, 6-point NFL teasers in this space with either favorites laying -7.5 to -8.5 or underdogs getting between +1.5 and +2.5. Wong Teasers cross through the most critical “3” and “7” numbers on both legs of the bet.
Wong Teasers are one way for a bettor to gain an edge on a bookmaker. Be sure to shop around at different sportsbooks that offer -120 odds on a two-team, 6-point teaser. In our examples, we’ll be betting $120 to win $100.
NFL Week 11 Wong Teaser Candidates
These teams all qualified for Wong Teasers, per NFL Week 11 betting lines:
Resulting Wong Teaser Spreads
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Vikings (+7.5) AND 49ers (-2.5) Week 11 Top Teaser Pick
Vikings (+7.5) over Cowboys
There’s a bit of a concern with Minnesota coming off its improbable 33-30 OT victory at Buffalo, but we’re banking on that being a momentum booster here as opposed to a letdown spot.
The Vikings have shown an uncanny ability in just finding ways to win games this season. Minnesota is also 4-0 at home, where it averages 28.5 points per game.
This could be a huge outing for Vikings RB Dalvin Cook as the Cowboys are 29th in the league allowing 143.1 yards on the ground. In their last three games, that number ballooned to 188 per game. And you thought the Texans were the only team that couldn’t stop the run in the Lone Star State.
There’s another critical matchup to watch when Minnesota has the ball. WR Justin Jefferson’s coming off a 10-catch effort that included a career-high 193 yards, a TD, and this ridiculous one-handed grab against Buffalo.
JUSTIN JEFFERSON CATCH OF THE CENTURY. pic.twitter.com/Cos6v0yPIC
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) November 13, 2022
Jefferson is the leading candidate to be NFL offensive player of the year (+210 at FanDuel), but he’ll need to beat Cowboys CB Trevon Diggs with some regularity on Sunday.
Diggs got the better of it last year, helping hold Jefferson to season lows with two catches and 21 yards in a 20-16 Dallas win.
That was then. This is now. Dallas has dropped their last two road games against Philadelphia and Green Bay, respectively. Give us Minnesota +7.5.
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49ers (-2.5) over Cardinals
This Monday Night Football clash takes place in Mexico City. There’s a chance Cardinals QB Kyler Murray will miss his second straight game due to an injured hamstring. Head coach Kliff Kingsbury reportedly said as much this week after Colt McCoy helped the Cardinals beat the equally banged-up Rams in Week 10.
San Francisco (5-4) is on the upswing after acquiring RB Christian McCaffrey before the trade deadline. The 49ers have won two straight tilts, and they’re only a game behind NFC West division leader Seattle.
The clear advantage in this game goes to San Francisco’s defense.
The 49ers have the NFL’s No. 1 defense, which gives up a league-low 280.6 yards per game. San Francisco yields just 18.1 points per game; only Denver is stingier at 16.6. Conversely, Arizona’s defense ranks in the bottom half of the league in terms of points (25.8) and yards allowed (357.6).
If Murray is unable to play — or compromised by his hamstring injury — San Francisco will eat on defense. Teasing the 49ers down and through the key number of “3” is a no-brainer.
Week 10 Wong Teaser Result: Win
Panthers (+8.5) over Falcons AND Seahawks (+8.5) over Bucs
This one got home for us, with Carolina getting an outright win over Atlanta on TNF, and Seattle doing just enough in a 21-16 loss to Tampa Bay in Germany.
2022 Wong Teaser Record: 3-7
Season Bottom Line: -$540