Big Brother has slapped lil’ bro around like an unwanted stepbrother in the Bedlam Series, owned by Oklahoma, 82-18-7.
They have only met twice when both were among the top 10, and the Sooners won both times; as No. 5 over the No. 9 Cowboys, 58-23, in 2015 in Stillwater, and as No. 2 over No. 3 Oklahoma State, 24-14, in Norman in 1984.
With the Sooners bound for the SEC, sometime in the next four years, there has been speculation that this might be the final time Oklahoma plays inside Boone Pickens Stadium. The series likely wouldn’t resume as a non-conference matchup.
Cowboys coach Mike Gundy isn’t hopeful.
“I don’t think it will,” he was quoted as saying in The Oklahoman. “I don’t make that decision … I don’t know who’s involved in this. I don’t think it’s a realistic thing that it’s gonna happen, based on the business side of Power 5 conference football.”
If this is Bedlam’s Stillwater swan song, it should be fantastic. Oddsmakers across the sports-betting industry had Oklahoma State -4 as a consensus choice on Tuesday, with the total hovering between 49.5-50.5 depending on the book.
NCAAF · Sat (11/27) @ 7:44pm ET
|OU Oklahoma||at||OKST Oklahoma State|
|Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma|
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No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners (10-1, 5-6 ATS)
Three of the Sooners’ past four games have gone under their totals, and the average score of their past two games has been 24-21, in favor of the other guys.
Odd to say it’s been an awkward season for a team that has dropped only one of 11 games, but that seems to be a fair assessment of the flip-flopping between quarterbacks Spencer Rattler and Caleb Williams.
That hasn’t exactly been tastefully executed, either. One falters, the crowd boos and cheers for the other, who soon enters the game. That’s happened at least twice in Norman, so don’t expect it to occur here.
A crowd of 56,000 promises to produce a festive evening atmosphere before ABC’s national cameras. If Sooners coach Lincoln Riley starts switching quarterbacks, that will only further fuel the rabid fans.
It will be only the fourth true away game for Oklahoma, which is 0-3 ATS in those other three. That doesn’t bode well for Big Brother, but neither does the fact that Oklahoma State has been playing as well as anyone in the country.
No. 7 Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-1, 9-2 ATS)
The Cowboys failed to cover the spread in their first two games, at home against Missouri State and Tulsa, but have reeled off nine consecutive victories against the number.
That isn’t the only reason why they are one of the nation’s hottest squads.
Since a 24-21 defeat at Iowa State, Oklahoma State has pounded four foes, 165-23, allowing a mere two touchdowns in those 16 quarters. That’s an average victory margin of 41-6.
On the year, it has allowed 0.235 points per play, No. 7 in the nation. And over the Cowboys’ past three games, they’ve whittled that to 0.106, second only to Notre Dame’s ridiculous 0.045 rate.
For the season, both average about 420 yards of offense. The tail of the tape of their past three games, however, reveals plenty—the Sooners are down to 369 yards per game, the Cowboys are at 465.
Should Oklahoma State finish with 100 more yards than Oklahoma on Saturday night, the Cowboys will have likely eradicated their Bedlam Blues.
Oklahoma Vs. Oklahoma State Pick
Conditions in Stillwater for Saturday night appear to be near-perfect for football. After a mostly sunny day, it’ll be 54 degrees at kickoff and dip into the high 40s during the game. Chance of rain is near zero, wind should be negligible.
Our three models all favor the game to finish over its 49.5 total, and we feel that is a safe play. The Cowboys -4 is tantalizing, but we are sticking with the over out of respect for how Oklahoma roared back in its thrilling victory against Texas.
Our Pick: Over 49.5 (FanDuel)
Also read: Ohio State Vs. Michigan Odds & Pick: Don’t Buy Wolverines Hype | Ole Miss At Mississippi State Odds And Pick: Egg Bowl ‘Over’ Easy?