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Prediction Markets Under Pressure to Install Protections

With the popularity of prediction markets exploding over the last year, urgency is high for sportsbook-like protections to be installed.
Ian St. Clair Avatar
2 mins read
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Gaming Edge’s TL;DR

  • Prediction markets are facing new pressure to adopt formal responsible trading tools as regulators, advocacy groups, and major platforms push for standardized safeguards.
  • These platforms operate under federal rules while offering products that look and feel like wagering to many users.

Prediction market platforms have rapidly expanded into contracts tied to politics, sports, and more, prompting scrutiny over consumer protections.

Unlike state-regulated sportsbooks with responsible gaming tools, most prediction markets have no mandated responsible trading requirements, leaving safeguards uneven across the industry.

Kalshi – the largest federally regulated US platform – has moved early, launching a Customer Protection Hub and integrating with the cross-platform SelfExclude system to offer deposit caps, trading breaks, and self-exclusion.

Advocacy groups such as the National Council on Problem Gambling submitted detailed comments to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) urging that event contracts be treated like gambling and be subject to tools like spending/time limits and clearer account-level disclosures. The CFTC oversees prediction markets.

State groups and lawmakers in places such as Ohio, Nevada, Illinois, and New Jersey are likewise pushing for statutory protections.

Cross-platform protections are needed

The current patchwork of protections means risk exposure depends on platform choice. Operators tied to sportsbook ecosystems (DraftKings, FanDuel) typically apply existing state-mandated tools across their products, while standalone and broker-style platforms often offer only activity tracking or voluntary limits.

That creates gaps: Users may lack cross-platform self-exclusion, default spending, or session limits, and consistent access to problem gambling resources like 1-800-MY-RESET.

For operators, the trend points to two outcomes: either continued voluntary feature development to signal trust and win market share, or compliance costs and operational changes if the CFTC or states require baseline safeguards.

Research cited by advocates shows real overlap between trading behavior and gambling harm, strengthening the case for standardized protections and clearer disclosures to mitigate public health and reputational risks.

Based on reporting by Mike Breen for DeFi Rate.

About the Author
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Ian St. Clair

Content Lead

Ian St. Clair is a lover of words, vocal or written. Naturally, that makes Ian a great communicator and leader. Ian is curious and driven, always looking to improve, and always welcomes a challenge. Ian is authentic, possesses high-level emotional intelligence, and knows just when to crack a joke. A University of Northern Colorado graduate, Ian is now an expert in the online gambling field in the US, where he's been for over five years. Ian also has over a decade of journalism experience covering college and professional athletics, as well as the symphony and theater. Ian's a lover of history, news, and bacon. Oh, and tacos.

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