Prediction Markets

The Three-Beer Brainstorm: How Iowa Economists Reinvigorated Modern Forecasting

Discover how a 1988 lunch meeting in Iowa City sparked a billion-dollar industry. See how "political stocks" outperformed traditional polling.

Betting on Kindness: How a Tech Rivalry Fed Manhattan This Valentine’s Day

This Valentine’s Day weekend, the greatest gift in Manhattan wasn't roses—it was a full cart of groceries. See how Kalshi and Polymarket turned a corporate rivalry into a lifeline for New York families.

When a Governor’s Speech Becomes a $150,000 Betting Market

Following a $150,000 betting surge on Gov. Lamont’s speech, Connecticut lawmakers are proposing strict new regulations on prediction markets.

The Legal Fight Over Sports Betting Derivatives Just Got Complicated

The battle over sports-event contracts intensifies as Kalshi, states, and tribes dispute regulation and federal authority.

Polymarket Takes Massachusetts to Federal Court in Escalating Prediction Market Fight

Polymarket sues Massachusetts in federal court, challenging state gaming laws and the future of sports-related prediction markets.

Winter Olympics 2026: The Smart Way to Trade Prediction Markets

A practical guide to trading Winter Olympics prediction markets, from medal counts to the most volatile events.

Kalshi’s Court Battles Are Quietly Redefining Prediction Markets

Explore how Kalshi’s legal battles are changing the rules for prediction markets, sports betting, and federal vs. state oversight in the U.S.

CFTC Signals Major Shift in Oversight of Prediction Markets

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig shifts from caution to assertive oversight, signaling major changes for prediction markets and event-based trading.

Forbes Is Testing a Prediction Market Without Prices

Forbes is launching ForbesPredict, a new platform that lets readers forecast outcomes tied to its stories — without cash, tokens or trading.