The Washington Commanders will take on the New York Giants in the Meadowlands early Sunday afternoon in a game between NFC East rivals that will have major wild-card berth implications as the 2022 NFL season heads into the home stretch.
Let’s take a look at our Commanders vs. Giants odds, as well as a prediction.
NFL Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total
Here are NFL odds from around the sports betting marketplace.
Commanders-Giants NFC East Rivalry
The Commanders (7-5 straight up/7-4-1 against the spread), who opened the season by losing four of five games, enter Week 13 of the season in the third and final wild-card spot in the NFC. They have won five of six games since QB Taylor Heinicke took over for injured Carson Wentz, with the sole loss occurring at home four weeks ago when Washington squandered a 17-7 fourth-quarter lead to Minnesota.
During this winning stretch, the Commanders’ odds to win Super Bowl 57 have dropped from +50000 (500-1) to their current number of +10000. At some sportsbooks, the odds are as short as +8000.
The Giants (7-4 SU/8-3 ATS) have had the opposite trajectory. They started hot, going 6-1, but have since lost three of four that included a dismal 31-18 defeat at home versus Detroit as a 3-point choice two weeks ago.
Their Super Bowl odds were as short as +4100 after Week 7 but now are at +15000 — considerably longer than Washington’s despite leading the Commanders in the standings.
At least the Giants’ backers at the betting windows are happy. New York, under rookie head coach Brian Daboll, is tied with Tennessee and Cincinnati for the best ATS mark this season. Included was a +315 moneyline triumph over Green Bay in London. In 2021, the Giants had a 6-11 record against the spread, tied for the third worst.
This meeting will be the first of two straight games for Washington against the Giants, wrapped around next week’s bye. Last season, Cleveland had a similar scenario when it faced Baltimore twice in a row surrounding a week off, with the home team winning in each instance.
The Giants would seem to have a built-in advantage Sunday since they are coming off an extended break after playing at Dallas last Thursday (28-20 loss), with Washington having played on Sunday (19-13 home win against Atlanta). But then again, teams in this well-rested situation playing a team on normal or short rest are only 8-13-1 ATS this season, including 1-5 the past three weeks.
The previous time the Commanders played a team that was coming off a Thursday game, they beat the then-undefeated Eagles in Philadelphia 32-21 as an 11-point underdog three weeks ago. That’s the second-biggest upset of the season.
When the Giants were rolling along, RB Saquon Barkley was atop the rushing charts. But in the team’s three recent losses, he’s averaged only 38 yards a game and 2.5 a carry. In their lone win the past month, he did have 152 yards on a career-high 35 carries, but that was against Houston’s historically bad rush defense.
In the air, NYG and QB Daniel Jones haven’t had much success with only 10 TDs, tied for the third-fewest in the league.
Defensively, the Giants rank 22nd in yards allowed, and they haven’t even played against Philly’s No. 4-ranked offense yet. Two meetings await.
Washington has thrived primarily on the ground the past month, with a 153.8-yard average in their past four games. But considering three of those outings were against teams that ranked in the bottom five on the defensive chart, hold off on the applause. And in their 152-yard game vs. the Eagles, the Commanders averaged only 3.1 a carry.
At receiver, the Commanders’ Terry McLaurin is one of the best. He’s averaging 15.6 yards a reception on 54 catches. That norm is the second-best in the league among players with at least that many catches.
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Commanders vs. Giants NFL Prediction
One of the positive aspects Heinicke brings to the Commanders he isn’t a sack magnet like Wentz has been. In Wentz’s six starts, he was dragged down 23 time. In Heinicke’s six games, he’s been sacked only nine times — and none the past two games.
The Giants’ pass rush, meanwhile, has been shut out the past two games on a total of 69 throws. And NYG’s pass protection has been weak, with Jones going down 33 times this season, tied for third most with the Bengals’ Joe Burrow — and Burrow has thrown 93 more passes.
And with Washington DE Chase Young expected to make his return after an ACL tear, the pass-rush specialist should make it even more difficult for Jones to stay on his feet.
NYG’s rush defense hasn’t been effective, either, giving up 5.2 yards a carry, second worst in the league. That should provide a boost to a Commanders ground game that has a pedestrian 4.0 a rush.
Prediction: Commanders 23, Giants 17