Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies
Over/Under: 10.5
First pitch: 5:40 p.m. PT
Probable pitchers: Max Fried (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. German Marquez (1-0, 0.69 ERA)
Obviously, games taking place at Coors Field always come with an inflated over/under line. But in this instance, the oddsmakers really aren’t showing enough love here for the two starting pitchers. That, or it’s simply an overreaction to last night’s runs barrage in the series opener.
Either way, it’s a bet to capitalize on while relying on a pair of young arms that are clearly heading in the right direction.
Marquez has looked brilliant thus far, albeit in two starts, but his performance has definitely stood out enough to indicate the four-year veteran is already in a nice rhythm. He’s allowed only one run total in his 13 innings pitched while picking up 14 strikeouts. In addition, he has to be feeling extra good after signing his first big contract extension a couple days ago. This is a right-hander that definitely has the ability to make the All-Star team.
Fried has only made one turn in the rotation but it was a sensational one, as he held an intimidating Cubs lineup scoreless in five really good innings, yielding just a single baserunner and striking out five. Considering he was one of my top three sleepers entering the season (along with Sandy Alcantara and Michael Pindeda), I obviously like Fried to continue churning out work just like that.
The former seventh overall draft pick exhibited notable breakout potential a year ago. In his 14 games, five were starts, and in those assignments, he notched a 2.49 ERA and held opposing hitters to a minuscule .211 batting average. Furthermore, Fried punched out 27 batters in 21.2 innings, and perhaps most impressive of all, didn’t allow a homer in any of his starts. He’s tough to go deep on, which will be very useful for this under.
The line is currently sitting at 10.5 in most places, but I’m going to wait to see if I’m able to get it at 11 myself. Even if I don’t get that line movement, I’ll still be on the under. Follow me on Twitter to see when I lock in the bet. Play: WIN UNDER 10.5/11
Yesterday’s Result: Rays-White Sox Under 7.5 (WIN)
Zylbert’s 2019 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 5-7, -3 units
*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit
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Results
2019 MLB (1-0-0) Overall Record: 5-7-1