NFL Betting Trends, Week 5: Backing the Back-Ups

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Chalk gets the betting talk.

The favored Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, and San Francisco 49ers have obtained substantial early wagering love from DraftKings bettors for NFL Week 5.

The Dallas Cowboys are the darlings of the underdog bettors, while the Seattle Seahawks and New Orleans Saints carry the banner of Over wagering sentiment. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons headline the Under betting.

Here’s a closer look at who the DraftKings gamblers back.

The Dolphins, slated to start Teddy Bridgewater in place of the injured Tua Tagovailoa, nonetheless obtained 93% of the handle at -3 against the host New York Jets as of early Wednesday morning.

The Vikings, back from England where they survived a double-doink, would-be game-tying field goal on the final play against the New Orleans Saints, have 89% of the handle at -7 against the Chicago Bears.

The Niners, who squashed the Los Angeles Rams 24-9 Monday night, garnered 89% of the early handle at -6.5 against the host Carolina Panthers.

Bet NFL at DraftKings: Claim $1,250 in Bonuses

Lions vs. Patriots Betting Action

Just below that group, the New England Patriots have 78% of the handle at -3 against the visiting Detroit Lions in a perceived contrast of styles.

Whether the Patriots start Bailey Zappe or Brian Hoyer, they’ll likely look to pound the rock as they did in averaging more than five yards per rushing play last week.

It kept them in a game they eventually lost to the Green Bay Packers, 27-24 in overtime. Patriots spread bettors romped, however, at +9 by game time and +10.5 earlier in the week.

Over bettors also love the Lions-Patriots, via 75% handle at 46.5 points. And they expect fireworks from the Lions’ freewheeling offense.

Detroit has been an Over bettor’s dream.

The Lions lead the NFL in points scored, 140. They also lead the league in most points allowed, 141. An explosive offense and a porous defense? Jackpot.

Also read: NFL Week 5 Betting Tips

NFL Week 5 Totals

The top Over selection this week is the 94% handle for the Seattle Seahawks and New Orleans Saints to go above 46 points. They come out of games that produced a combined 146 points (73 average).

Tampa Bay and Atlanta, who both have the capacity to light it up, were nonetheless the lone prominent Under. They came in at 65% at Under 48 on Wednesday.

Rush to the Betting Window?

The Cowboys are selected by 82% of the bettors to cover 4.5 points against the host Los Angeles Rams. They also hold the answer to a trivia question few might know outside of Texas.

nfl week 5 betting trends
Cooper Rush and the Cowboys are getting some early love from bettors ahead of NFL Week 5 (AP Photo/Ron Jenkins)

Who are the only two undefeated starting quarterbacks this year?

One is Jalen Hurts of the Philadelphia Eagles, 4-0.

The other is Cooper Rush, 3-0 as a Cowboy backup to Dak Prescott, who was injured in Week 1.

4-0 and Counting: Odds Eagles go Undefeated

Individual Wagering Highlights

DraftKings bettors used leverage, on all wagering levels, in Week 4.

The High Rollers

Most bettors were not interested in the -435 moneyline on the Green Bay Packers against the Patriots last week.

But big bettors found a way to get down on Green Bay, with odds in the neighborhood of -300 during the game. They were not afraid to throw six-figure leverage on in-game bets after the Packers fell behind 10-7 at halftime.

Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told Gaming Today that several big in-game wagers were placed on the Packers, at odds most people would reject.

  • One wager was $300,000 to win $100,000
  • Another was $380,000 to win $120,000.

This is a strategy used in the extreme high-end of the betting market. And these had high risks as the Patriots nearly delivered an upset.

The Packers won with a field goal on the final play of overtime.

Also check: NFL Week 5 Odds

Smaller Investments

A few other bettors cashed in big at DraftKings, without a major outlay.

One gambler turned a $10 bet into a $15,552.65 payout by hitting on a 14-team parlay with the following legs:

  •  MIN Vikings Moneyline
  •  PHI Eagles -6.5
  •  SEA Seahawks +3.5
  • ATL Falcons +1
  •  NY Giants -2.5
  • DAL Cowboys -3
  • TEN Titans +3.5
  • NY Jets +3.5
  • BAL Ravens +3 (Push)
  • ARI Cardinals +1
  • LV Raiders -3
  • GB Packers Moneyline
  • KC Chiefs +1
  • LA Chargers -5.5

Considering the size of this wager, it was relatively stress free.

Key moments:

  • The Eagles recovering from a 14-0 deficit, which really meant a 20.5-point hole on this wager.
  • The Packers surviving against the Patriots

A $25 Same Game Parlay paid 0ut $32,535 at +100000 odds with a 30% profit boost for the Chiefs vs. Bucs game.

  • Travis Kelce – Anytime Touchdown Scorer
  • Jody Fortson – Anytime Touchdown Scorer
  • Noah Gray – Anytime Touchdown Scorer
  • Leonard Fournette – Anytime Touchdown Scorer
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Key Moment:

  • The genius element. Noah Gray had one carry, just one. And he got in. What a call. Even with that stab, the bettor needed Fournette to score the last touchdown of the game, which he did.

Another bettor was happy with all the points in the Lions vs. Seahawks game, as it turned a $5.56 bet into a $5,565.56 payout. Here are the winning legs

  • Rashaad Penny Anytime TD
  • T.J. Hockenson Anytime TD
  • Jamaal Williams Anytime TD
  • Will Dissly Anytime TD
  • T.J. Hockenson Over 64.5 Receiving Yards
  • Josh Reynolds Over 79.5 Receiving Yards
  • Rashaad Penny Over 64.5 Rushing Yards
  • SEA Seahawks Moneyline

New York State of Mind

This bettor certainly thinks New York quarterbacks are back with this $2 parlay that became a $744 payout:

  • Zach Wilson First Touchdown Scorer (+3000)
  • Daniel Jones First Touchdown Scorer (+1100)

You Don’t Even Need a Dollar

One bettor was able to turn a $0.50 parlay on Anytime TD Scorers into a $1,779.17 payout. Here were the players who scored to win this parlay:

  • Justin Jefferson
  • Jalen Hurt
  • Robert Woods
  • Isaiah McKenzie
  • CeeDee Lamb
  • Kyler Murray
  • Jerry Jeudy

Play a SGP of your own: Best Apps to Bet NFL Parlays

Biggest MVP Movers

Jalen Hurts. Hurts’ odds were as high as +4500 during the preseason, but have improved to +550 after the Eagles’ stellar start.

Tom Brady. Brady was +850 to start the season, but his odds have worsened to +4000 after the Bucs have been scuffling.

Look down the list: NFL MVP odds

PointsBet Gamblers Cash in On Bucs-Chiefs.

Although it reported no monster bets, PointsBet said its big prop-bet players went to the bank on Sunday night.

  • Travis Kelce, at +100, obtained 26.3% of the handle.
  • Fournette, at -125, gained 24.2 of the handle.
  • Mike Evans, +145, took 17.6% of the money.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire, at +17 5, was good for 8.2% of the handle.

All of them scored.

Compelling Storylines for Week 5

Betting Line: Packers -8.5 vs Giants, in London (10:30 a.m. ET)

Behind the Line: History

It’s only natural for the NFL to export its brand by showcasing two classic franchises.

This rivalry is prominent on two levels, with each team reaching some of its highest achievements at the expense of the other.

More recent: The Giants knocked two highly-favored Packers teams out of the playoffs at frigid Lambeau Field in 2008 and 2012. The G-Men even beat the Packers in one of the coldest games in NFL playoff history, as the 2008 game temperature was -1 at kickoff.

The playoff wins came against Packer legends Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers, one as Rodgers was winning the first of his four MVP awards. The Giants parlayed both triumphs into Super Bowl championship victories over the New England Patriots.

From the past: Brooklyn, N.Y. native Vince Lombardi was a Giants assistant coach passed over for the head job in the late 1950’s. The Giants didn’t object to the downtrodden Packers making him their head coach, but they tried to get him back after Lombardi enjoyed early success. The Packers wouldn’t let them.

These days, that would result in a lawsuit. Back then, it was a gentlemen’s disagreement between the owners.

Lombardi’s first two championship victories for the Packers came against the Giants. He added a third league title, the first two Super Bowl triumphs, and had his name inscribed on the Super Bowl trophy. Five championships in one decade, the 1960’s.
New Yorkers bemoaned the one that got away.

Although the Packers and Giants rarely meet, the two classic franchises are intertwined.

Betting Line: Baltimore Ravens-3 vs Cincinnati Bengals

Behind the Lines: Unrest for AFC North co-leaders.

These 2-2 teams have a lot riding on this contest, which could go a long way in determining the division championship.

Both have under-achieved for different reasons. Which team can reverse the pattern?

Ravens:

— They squandered a 21-point fourth-quarter lead to the Miami Dolphins and 17-point second-quarter advantage to the Buffalo Bills, and lost both games. They are 0-2 at home.

— Two decisions to decide against field-goal attempts have loomed large in the defeats. The Ravens were stuffed on 4th and goal from inside the 1 against the Dolphins. Last week, they drove from their own 5 to the Buffalo 1 and had 2nd-and-goal from the 1 in a 20-20 tie late in the game. They were stopped on second and third down.

— Coach John Harbaugh eschewed the field goal and opted for a fourth-down pass. The Bills picked Lamar Jackson in the end zone. Then they drove to the game-winning field goal. The Ravens players were visibly upset by that decision.

— Joe Burrow lit them up for a career-high 525 yards in their last meeting. The Bengals pummeled the Ravens 41-21 and 41-17 last season.

— The Ravens lost their last six games last year, including two to the Pittsburgh Steelers, one in overtime in the final week.
The Ravens could be 4-0 this year, but are 2-2. Are they angry now?

Bengals:

— They have slogged to a 2-2 mark. A team with explosive weapons has yet to crack 30 points. Ja’Marr Chase has not been extraordinary like last year. Burrow has been, well, alright.

— The Bengals should have at least one more victory. The loss of a long snapper cost them a missed extra point, a missed short overtime field goal, and the win in Week 1 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. A bungled coaching decision on an overtime punt that gave Pittsburgh 15 extra seconds to work with cost Cincinnati an imminent tie.

— Right now, that tie would put them atop the division, rather than deadlocked.

— This team embodies the Super Bowl Bridesmaid Hangover tag. But are they about to jump start?

— Subtle Transformation. The Bengals suffered 13 sacks in their first two games of the season, both losses. They yielded only three in the past two outings, both victories.

— If this team protects Burrow better, the Bengals may get untracked.

Which team will get its house in order?
That’s what we will find out.

NFL Week 5 Betting Lines

Here are current odds from US sportsbooks for Week 5 of the NFL season:

 

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (10/5) @ 8:17pm ET CHI Bears +185 -588 -10000 -250 -833 0
WAS Commanders -227 +380 +3300 +195 +480 +12500
Sun (10/8) @ 9:32am ET JAX Jaguars +170 -10000 -10000 -1667 -2000 -10000
BUF Bills -208 +2200 +1600 +800 +870 +2500
Sun (10/8) @ 1:00pm ET NO Saints -105 0 -2500 -10000 -10000 0
NE Patriots -115 +3500 +1650 +2500 +1700 +15000
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans +115 +575 +450 +380 +230 -400
ATL Falcons -141 -909 -667 -556 -313 -417
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET TEN Titans -105 +2200 +950 +900 +1500 0
IND Colts -115 -10000 -2500 -2000 -10000 0
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET CAR Panthers +310 +4000 +3300 +3000 +4000 +9000
DET Lions -400 0 -10000 0 0 0
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET NY Giants +350 +3500 +3300 +800 +2000 +8000
MIA Dolphins -455 0 -10000 -1667 0 0
Sun (10/8) @ 1:03pm ET BAL Ravens -185 +3500 +3300 -120 -227 +4000 0
PIT Steelers +150 0 -10000 -110 +180 0 0
Sun (10/8) @ 4:05pm ET PHI Eagles -227 0 -10000 -5000 -200 -10000 -5000
LA Rams +185 +3000 +3300 +1400 +165 +1700 +1500
Sun (10/8) @ 4:05pm ET CIN Bengals -200 0 -10000 -556 -167 -714 0
ARI Cardinals +165 +4000 +3300 +380 +138 +450 +9000
Sun (10/8) @ 4:26pm ET NY Jets +120 -333 -227 -222 +110 -625 0
DEN Broncos -145 +240 +175 +175 -133 +400 0
Sun (10/8) @ 4:26pm ET KC Chiefs -227 -5000 -10000 -10000 -189 0 -10000
MIN Vikings +185 +1500 +1400 +2200 +155 +2000 +900
Sun (10/8) @ 8:22pm ET DAL Cowboys +140 +2000 +3300 +1200 +155 +1400 +1500
SF 49ers -164 -10000 -10000 -5000 -185 -5000 -5000
Mon (10/9) @ 8:15pm ET GB Packers -115 +195 +200 +550 +220 +140
LV Raiders -105 -263 -278 -909 -294 -189
Thu (10/5) @ 8:17pm ET CHI Bears +6.0 -110 -17.5 -714 -19.5 -345 -19.5 -1000 -19.5 -189 -16.5 -179
WAS Commanders -6.0 -110 +17.5 +450 +19.5 +250 +19.5 +442 +19.5 +142 +16.5 +145
Sun (10/8) @ 9:32am ET JAX Jaguars +4.5 -105 -4.5 -2000 -3.5 +110 -5.0 -110 -4.5 -1667 -5.0 0
BUF Bills -4.5 -115 +4.5 +950 +3.5 -145 +5.0 -120 +4.5 +750 +5.0 0
Sun (10/8) @ 1:00pm ET NO Saints +1.0 -110 -34.5 +1400 -33.5 -588 -34.0 -238 -33.5 -526 -34.0 +185
NE Patriots -1.0 -110 +34.5 -3333 +33.5 +375 +34.0 +185 +33.5 +350 +34.0 -238
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans +2.5 -110 +3.5 -120 +4.5 -130 +2.5 -222 +3.5 -147 +5.5 +100
ATL Falcons -2.5 -110 -3.5 -110 -4.5 +100 -2.5 +175 -3.5 +112 -5.5 -125
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET TEN Titans +1.0 -110 +4.5 -208 +6.5 +3300 +3.5 +160 +3.5 +182 +4.0 +115
IND Colts -1.0 -110 -4.5 +160 -6.5 -10000 -3.5 -200 -3.5 -244 -4.0 -145
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET CAR Panthers +8.5 -110 +22.5 -105 +13.5 +3300 +18.0 +287 +18.5 -455 +24.5 +120
DET Lions -8.5 -110 -22.5 -125 -13.5 -10000 -18.0 -455 -18.5 +305 -24.5 -149
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET NY Giants +9.5 -110 +14.5 +165 +15.5 -1429 +8.5 -189 +14.5 +102 +15.0 -112
MIA Dolphins -9.5 -110 -14.5 -213 -15.5 +650 -8.5 +150 -14.5 -132 -15.0 -112
Sun (10/8) @ 1:03pm ET BAL Ravens -3.5 -110 -2.5 +100 -2.5 +135 +7.0 +175 -4.5 -110 -1.5 -114 -2.0 -149
PIT Steelers +3.5 -110 +2.5 -130 +2.5 -175 -7.0 -222 +4.5 -110 +1.5 -115 +2.0 +120
Sun (10/8) @ 4:05pm ET PHI Eagles -5.5 -110 -8.5 -5000 -8.5 -145 -9.0 +145 -4.0 -110 -9.5 +182 -9.5 +160
LA Rams +5.5 -110 +8.5 +1800 +8.5 +110 +9.0 -179 +4.0 -110 +9.5 -244 +9.5 -200
Sun (10/8) @ 4:05pm ET CIN Bengals -4.5 -110 -14.5 +750 -13.5 -250 -14.0 -714 -3.5 -105 -13.5 -667 -13.5 -125
ARI Cardinals +4.5 -110 +14.5 -1429 +13.5 +185 +14.0 +450 +3.5 -118 +13.5 +410 +13.5 +100
Sun (10/8) @ 4:26pm ET NY Jets +2.5 -105 -3.5 -110 -8.5 +105 -8.5 +115 +2.0 -110 -3.5 +134 -8.0 -130
DEN Broncos -2.5 -115 +3.5 -120 +8.5 -141 +8.5 -145 -2.0 -110 +3.5 -175 +8.0 +105
Sun (10/8) @ 4:26pm ET KC Chiefs -5.5 -110 -6.5 -714 -6.5 -400 -7.5 +230 -3.5 -106 -6.5 -588 -7.0 +110
MIN Vikings +5.5 -110 +6.5 +450 +6.5 +275 +7.5 -303 +3.5 -115 +6.5 +375 +7.0 -141
Sun (10/8) @ 8:22pm ET DAL Cowboys +3.5 -110 +31.5 +325 +31.5 +800 +31.0 +6000 +3.5 -118 +32.5 -500 +32.0 +280
SF 49ers -3.5 -110 -31.5 -476 -31.5 -2000 -31.0 0 -3.5 -105 -32.5 +325 -32.0 -370
Mon (10/9) @ 8:15pm ET GB Packers -1.0 -110 +3.5 +145 +4.5 -250 +4.0 +450 +4.5 -263 +4.0 +175
LV Raiders +1.0 -110 -3.5 -189 -4.5 +185 -4.0 -714 -4.5 +192 -4.0 -227
Thu (10/5) @ 8:17pm ET CHI Bears o45.5 -110 o56.5 -167 o56.5 -175 o56.5 -250 o57 -141
WAS Commanders u45.5 -110 u56.5 +130 u56.5 +135 u56.5 +185 u57 +110
Sun (10/8) @ 9:32am ET JAX Jaguars u48 -110 u33.5 -110 u34.5 -125 u31.5 -104 u45.5 0
BUF Bills o48 -110 o33.5 -120 o34.5 -105 o31.5 -125 o45.5 0
Sun (10/8) @ 1:00pm ET NO Saints u39 -110 u34.5 -175 u34.5 -370 u37.5 -104 u34.5 -175
NE Patriots o39 -110 o34.5 +135 o34.5 +270 o37.5 -125 o34.5 +140
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans u41.5 -110 u36.5 +110 u36.5 +135 u36.5 +134 u36.5 -112
ATL Falcons o41.5 -110 o36.5 -141 o36.5 -175 o36.5 -175 o36.5 -112
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET TEN Titans u41.5 -110 u39.5 -125 u39.5 -145 u42.5 -110 u42.5 +110
IND Colts o41.5 -110 o39.5 -105 o39.5 +110 o42.5 -118 o42.5 -141
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET CAR Panthers o43.5 -110 o62.5 -115 o59.5 +105 o59.5 +116 o59.5 +110
DET Lions u43.5 -110 u62.5 -115 u59.5 -141 u59.5 -152 u59.5 -141
Sun (10/8) @ 1:02pm ET NY Giants u49.5 -110 u53.5 -125 u47.5 -1111 u51.5 -115 u53 -112
MIA Dolphins o49.5 -110 o53.5 -105 o47.5 +575 o51.5 -114 o53 -112
Sun (10/8) @ 1:03pm ET BAL Ravens o40.5 -110 o21.5 -115 o21.5 +105 o38.5 -110 o38.5 -109 o21.5 +120 o21.5 +110
PIT Steelers u40.5 -110 u21.5 -115 u21.5 -141 u38.5 -110 u38.5 -112 u21.5 -156 u21.5 -141
Sun (10/8) @ 4:05pm ET PHI Eagles u47 -110 u40.5 -145 u40.5 -145 u50.0 -108 u41.5 -135 u40 -120
LA Rams o47 -110 o40.5 +114 o40.5 +110 o50.0 -114 o41.5 +104 o40 -105
Sun (10/8) @ 4:05pm ET CIN Bengals u42.5 -110 u59.5 -110 u57.5 -105 u45.5 -112 u59.5 -102 u58 -105
ARI Cardinals o42.5 -110 o59.5 -120 o57.5 -125 o45.5 -109 o59.5 -128 o58 -120
Sun (10/8) @ 4:26pm ET NY Jets u40 -110 u43.5 -141 u42.5 +100 u43 -110 u42.5 -108 u42.5 +110 u43 -120
DEN Broncos o40 -110 o43.5 +110 o42.5 -130 o43 -110 o42.5 -114 o42.5 -145 o43 -105
Sun (10/8) @ 4:26pm ET KC Chiefs o52.5 -110 o47.5 +260 o47.5 +105 o52.5 -110 o52.5 -110 o57.5 +114 o47.5 +110
MIN Vikings u52.5 -110 u47.5 -357 u47.5 -141 u52.5 -110 u52.5 -110 u57.5 -147 u47.5 -141
Sun (10/8) @ 8:22pm ET DAL Cowboys o45.5 -110 o52.5 +175 o52.5 +1800 o45.5 -110 o54.5 -118 o55 +100
SF 49ers u45.5 -110 u52.5 -233 u52.5 -10000 u45.5 -110 u54.5 -110 u55 -125
Mon (10/9) @ 8:15pm ET GB Packers o43.5 -110 o36.5 -125 o35.5 -120 o36.5 -139 o31.5 -112
LV Raiders u43.5 -110 u36.5 -105 u35.5 -110 u36.5 +106 u31.5 -112
About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Writer
Dave Bontempo is an award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. Bontempo has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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