NFL Betting Trends, Week 5: Backing the Back-Ups

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Chalk gets the betting talk.

The favored Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, and San Francisco 49ers have obtained substantial early wagering love from DraftKings bettors for NFL Week 5.

The Dallas Cowboys are the darlings of the underdog bettors, while the Seattle Seahawks and New Orleans Saints carry the banner of Over wagering sentiment. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons headline the Under betting.

Here’s a closer look at who the DraftKings gamblers back.

The Dolphins, slated to start Teddy Bridgewater in place of the injured Tua Tagovailoa, nonetheless obtained 93% of the handle at -3 against the host New York Jets as of early Wednesday morning.

The Vikings, back from England where they survived a double-doink, would-be game-tying field goal on the final play against the New Orleans Saints, have 89% of the handle at -7 against the Chicago Bears.

The Niners, who squashed the Los Angeles Rams 24-9 Monday night, garnered 89% of the early handle at -6.5 against the host Carolina Panthers.

Bet NFL at DraftKings: Claim $1,250 in Bonuses

Lions vs. Patriots Betting Action

Just below that group, the New England Patriots have 78% of the handle at -3 against the visiting Detroit Lions in a perceived contrast of styles.

Whether the Patriots start Bailey Zappe or Brian Hoyer, they’ll likely look to pound the rock as they did in averaging more than five yards per rushing play last week.

It kept them in a game they eventually lost to the Green Bay Packers, 27-24 in overtime. Patriots spread bettors romped, however, at +9 by game time and +10.5 earlier in the week.

Over bettors also love the Lions-Patriots, via 75% handle at 46.5 points. And they expect fireworks from the Lions’ freewheeling offense.

Detroit has been an Over bettor’s dream.

The Lions lead the NFL in points scored, 140. They also lead the league in most points allowed, 141. An explosive offense and a porous defense? Jackpot.

Also read: NFL Week 5 Betting Tips

NFL Week 5 Totals

The top Over selection this week is the 94% handle for the Seattle Seahawks and New Orleans Saints to go above 46 points. They come out of games that produced a combined 146 points (73 average).

Tampa Bay and Atlanta, who both have the capacity to light it up, were nonetheless the lone prominent Under. They came in at 65% at Under 48 on Wednesday.

Rush to the Betting Window?

The Cowboys are selected by 82% of the bettors to cover 4.5 points against the host Los Angeles Rams. They also hold the answer to a trivia question few might know outside of Texas.

nfl week 5 betting trends
Cooper Rush and the Cowboys are getting some early love from bettors ahead of NFL Week 5 (AP Photo/Ron Jenkins)

Who are the only two undefeated starting quarterbacks this year?

One is Jalen Hurts of the Philadelphia Eagles, 4-0.

The other is Cooper Rush, 3-0 as a Cowboy backup to Dak Prescott, who was injured in Week 1.

4-0 and Counting: Odds Eagles go Undefeated

Individual Wagering Highlights

DraftKings bettors used leverage, on all wagering levels, in Week 4.

The High Rollers

Most bettors were not interested in the -435 moneyline on the Green Bay Packers against the Patriots last week.

But big bettors found a way to get down on Green Bay, with odds in the neighborhood of -300 during the game. They were not afraid to throw six-figure leverage on in-game bets after the Packers fell behind 10-7 at halftime.

Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told Gaming Today that several big in-game wagers were placed on the Packers, at odds most people would reject.

  • One wager was $300,000 to win $100,000
  • Another was $380,000 to win $120,000.

This is a strategy used in the extreme high-end of the betting market. And these had high risks as the Patriots nearly delivered an upset.

The Packers won with a field goal on the final play of overtime.

Also check: NFL Week 5 Odds

Smaller Investments

A few other bettors cashed in big at DraftKings, without a major outlay.

One gambler turned a $10 bet into a $15,552.65 payout by hitting on a 14-team parlay with the following legs:

  •  MIN Vikings Moneyline
  •  PHI Eagles -6.5
  •  SEA Seahawks +3.5
  • ATL Falcons +1
  •  NY Giants -2.5
  • DAL Cowboys -3
  • TEN Titans +3.5
  • NY Jets +3.5
  • BAL Ravens +3 (Push)
  • ARI Cardinals +1
  • LV Raiders -3
  • GB Packers Moneyline
  • KC Chiefs +1
  • LA Chargers -5.5

Considering the size of this wager, it was relatively stress free.

Key moments:

  • The Eagles recovering from a 14-0 deficit, which really meant a 20.5-point hole on this wager.
  • The Packers surviving against the Patriots

A $25 Same Game Parlay paid 0ut $32,535 at +100000 odds with a 30% profit boost for the Chiefs vs. Bucs game.

  • Travis Kelce – Anytime Touchdown Scorer
  • Jody Fortson – Anytime Touchdown Scorer
  • Noah Gray – Anytime Touchdown Scorer
  • Leonard Fournette – Anytime Touchdown Scorer
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Key Moment:

  • The genius element. Noah Gray had one carry, just one. And he got in. What a call. Even with that stab, the bettor needed Fournette to score the last touchdown of the game, which he did.

Another bettor was happy with all the points in the Lions vs. Seahawks game, as it turned a $5.56 bet into a $5,565.56 payout. Here are the winning legs

  • Rashaad Penny Anytime TD
  • T.J. Hockenson Anytime TD
  • Jamaal Williams Anytime TD
  • Will Dissly Anytime TD
  • T.J. Hockenson Over 64.5 Receiving Yards
  • Josh Reynolds Over 79.5 Receiving Yards
  • Rashaad Penny Over 64.5 Rushing Yards
  • SEA Seahawks Moneyline

New York State of Mind

This bettor certainly thinks New York quarterbacks are back with this $2 parlay that became a $744 payout:

  • Zach Wilson First Touchdown Scorer (+3000)
  • Daniel Jones First Touchdown Scorer (+1100)

You Don’t Even Need a Dollar

One bettor was able to turn a $0.50 parlay on Anytime TD Scorers into a $1,779.17 payout. Here were the players who scored to win this parlay:

  • Justin Jefferson
  • Jalen Hurt
  • Robert Woods
  • Isaiah McKenzie
  • CeeDee Lamb
  • Kyler Murray
  • Jerry Jeudy

Play a SGP of your own: Best Apps to Bet NFL Parlays

Biggest MVP Movers

Jalen Hurts. Hurts’ odds were as high as +4500 during the preseason, but have improved to +550 after the Eagles’ stellar start.

Tom Brady. Brady was +850 to start the season, but his odds have worsened to +4000 after the Bucs have been scuffling.

Look down the list: NFL MVP odds

PointsBet Gamblers Cash in On Bucs-Chiefs.

Although it reported no monster bets, PointsBet said its big prop-bet players went to the bank on Sunday night.

  • Travis Kelce, at +100, obtained 26.3% of the handle.
  • Fournette, at -125, gained 24.2 of the handle.
  • Mike Evans, +145, took 17.6% of the money.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire, at +17 5, was good for 8.2% of the handle.

All of them scored.

Compelling Storylines for Week 5

Betting Line: Packers -8.5 vs Giants, in London (10:30 a.m. ET)

Behind the Line: History

It’s only natural for the NFL to export its brand by showcasing two classic franchises.

This rivalry is prominent on two levels, with each team reaching some of its highest achievements at the expense of the other.

More recent: The Giants knocked two highly-favored Packers teams out of the playoffs at frigid Lambeau Field in 2008 and 2012. The G-Men even beat the Packers in one of the coldest games in NFL playoff history, as the 2008 game temperature was -1 at kickoff.

The playoff wins came against Packer legends Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers, one as Rodgers was winning the first of his four MVP awards. The Giants parlayed both triumphs into Super Bowl championship victories over the New England Patriots.

From the past: Brooklyn, N.Y. native Vince Lombardi was a Giants assistant coach passed over for the head job in the late 1950’s. The Giants didn’t object to the downtrodden Packers making him their head coach, but they tried to get him back after Lombardi enjoyed early success. The Packers wouldn’t let them.

These days, that would result in a lawsuit. Back then, it was a gentlemen’s disagreement between the owners.

Lombardi’s first two championship victories for the Packers came against the Giants. He added a third league title, the first two Super Bowl triumphs, and had his name inscribed on the Super Bowl trophy. Five championships in one decade, the 1960’s.
New Yorkers bemoaned the one that got away.

Although the Packers and Giants rarely meet, the two classic franchises are intertwined.

Betting Line: Baltimore Ravens-3 vs Cincinnati Bengals

Behind the Lines: Unrest for AFC North co-leaders.

These 2-2 teams have a lot riding on this contest, which could go a long way in determining the division championship.

Both have under-achieved for different reasons. Which team can reverse the pattern?

Ravens:

— They squandered a 21-point fourth-quarter lead to the Miami Dolphins and 17-point second-quarter advantage to the Buffalo Bills, and lost both games. They are 0-2 at home.

— Two decisions to decide against field-goal attempts have loomed large in the defeats. The Ravens were stuffed on 4th and goal from inside the 1 against the Dolphins. Last week, they drove from their own 5 to the Buffalo 1 and had 2nd-and-goal from the 1 in a 20-20 tie late in the game. They were stopped on second and third down.

— Coach John Harbaugh eschewed the field goal and opted for a fourth-down pass. The Bills picked Lamar Jackson in the end zone. Then they drove to the game-winning field goal. The Ravens players were visibly upset by that decision.

— Joe Burrow lit them up for a career-high 525 yards in their last meeting. The Bengals pummeled the Ravens 41-21 and 41-17 last season.

— The Ravens lost their last six games last year, including two to the Pittsburgh Steelers, one in overtime in the final week.
The Ravens could be 4-0 this year, but are 2-2. Are they angry now?

Bengals:

— They have slogged to a 2-2 mark. A team with explosive weapons has yet to crack 30 points. Ja’Marr Chase has not been extraordinary like last year. Burrow has been, well, alright.

— The Bengals should have at least one more victory. The loss of a long snapper cost them a missed extra point, a missed short overtime field goal, and the win in Week 1 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. A bungled coaching decision on an overtime punt that gave Pittsburgh 15 extra seconds to work with cost Cincinnati an imminent tie.

— Right now, that tie would put them atop the division, rather than deadlocked.

— This team embodies the Super Bowl Bridesmaid Hangover tag. But are they about to jump start?

— Subtle Transformation. The Bengals suffered 13 sacks in their first two games of the season, both losses. They yielded only three in the past two outings, both victories.

— If this team protects Burrow better, the Bengals may get untracked.

Which team will get its house in order?
That’s what we will find out.

NFL Week 5 Betting Lines

Here are current odds from US sportsbooks for Week 5 of the NFL season:

 

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (10/6) @ 8:15pm ET IND Colts +140 +110 +140 +130 +104 +100
DEN Broncos -164 -141 -189 -161 -132 -120
Sun (10/9) @ 9:32am ET NY Giants +275 0 -10000 -455 0 -303
GB Packers -345 +2500 +2000 +340 +5000 +240
Sun (10/9) @ 1:00pm ET PIT Steelers +600 +1700 +3300 +1600 +630 +10000 +10000
BUF Bills -909 -10000 -10000 -5000 -833 0 0
Sun (10/9) @ 1:00pm ET CHI Bears +260 +1000 +165 +850 +305 +10000 +15000
MIN Vikings -345 -2000 -227 -1667 -370 0 0
Sun (10/9) @ 1:00pm ET SEA Seahawks +180 +2500 +3300 +900 +193 +3000 +1700
NO Saints -227 0 -10000 -1667 -227 0 -5000
Sun (10/9) @ 1:01pm ET LA Chargers -161 -154 -189 +130 0 -105
CLE Browns +135 +125 +145 -161 +10000 -110
Sun (10/9) @ 1:02pm ET DET Lions +120 +1600 +2500 +1400 +10000 +17500
NE Patriots -145 -10000 -10000 -5000 0 0
Sun (10/9) @ 1:02pm ET MIA Dolphins -149 +800 +180 +575 +10000 0
NY Jets +125 -1429 -250 -909 0 0
Sun (10/9) @ 1:03pm ET TEN Titans -149 +270 -370 -5000 -154 0
WAS Commanders +125 -345 +270 +2000 +120 0
Sun (10/9) @ 1:03pm ET HOU Texans +260 -10000 -141 -833 0 0
JAX Jaguars -345 +2000 +105 +525 +2000 +4500
Sun (10/9) @ 1:03pm ET ATL Falcons +300 +1400 +3300 +1600 +2200 +6000
TB Buccaneers -370 -5000 -10000 -5000 0 0
Sun (10/9) @ 4:05pm ET SF 49ers -227 -3333 -10000 -2000 -244 0 0
CAR Panthers +185 +1200 +3300 +1000 +210 +10000 +4500
Sun (10/9) @ 4:25pm ET PHI Eagles -227 -208 -10000 -179 -233 -213 -238
ARI Cardinals +185 +170 +3300 +150 +195 +164 +190
Sun (10/9) @ 4:25pm ET DAL Cowboys +200 -10000 -10000 -2500 +193 -10000 0
LA Rams -250 +1600 +1500 +1100 -227 +1700 0
Sun (10/9) @ 8:22pm ET CIN Bengals +155 +1000 +550 +400 +140 +800 +600
BAL Ravens -185 -2000 -833 -556 -159 -1667 -1250
Mon (10/10) @ 8:15pm ET LV Raiders +260 +245 +110 +185 +10000 +190
KC Chiefs -345 -313 -145 -233 0 -238
Thu (10/6) @ 8:15pm ET IND Colts +3.0 -110 +3.0 +100 +1.5 -278 +2.5 +225 -1.5 +114 +3.5 -169
DEN Broncos -3.0 -110 -3.0 -130 -1.5 +200 -2.5 -278 +1.5 -147 -3.5 +140
Sun (10/9) @ 9:32am ET NY Giants +7.5 -115 -3.5 -105 -1.5 -10000 -4.5 -400 -4.5 0 -4.0 -108
GB Packers -7.5 -105 +3.5 -125 +1.5 +2000 +4.5 +300 +4.5 +6000 +4.0 -108
Sun (10/9) @ 1:00pm ET PIT Steelers +13.5 -105 +34.5 +120 +30.5 -110 +35.0 +165 +14.0 -110 +29.5 +7000 +29.0 -110
BUF Bills -13.5 -115 -34.5 -149 -30.5 -115 -35.0 -200 -14.0 -110 -29.5 0 -29.0 -105
Sun (10/9) @ 1:00pm ET CHI Bears +7.0 -110 +2.5 -135 +2.5 -161 +1.5 +120 +8.5 -112 +7.5 0 +7.0 -169
MIN Vikings -7.0 -110 -2.5 +105 -2.5 +125 -1.5 -149 -8.5 -109 -7.5 +6000 -7.0 +140
Sun (10/9) @ 1:00pm ET SEA Seahawks +4.5 -110 +5.5 +100 +5.5 -115 +600.0 0 +5.0 -109 +7.5 -714 +7.0 -303
NO Saints -4.5 -110 -5.5 -130 -5.5 -110 -600.0 -556 -5.0 -112 -7.5 +430 -7.0 +240
Sun (10/9) @ 1:01pm ET LA Chargers -3.0 -105 -1.5 -130 -2.5 -115 -1.5 -141 -8.5 +7500 +1.0 0
CLE Browns +3.0 -115 +1.5 +100 +2.5 -115 +1.5 +110 +8.5 -204 -1.0 0
Sun (10/9) @ 1:02pm ET DET Lions +3.0 -115 +26.0 -120 +23.5 -115 +29.0 +115 +23.5 +3500 +29.0 +200
NE Patriots -3.0 -105 -26.0 -110 -23.5 -110 -29.0 -145 -23.5 0 -29.0 -250
Sun (10/9) @ 1:02pm ET MIA Dolphins -3.0 -105 +17.0 -110 +2.5 -105 +22.5 +110 +23.5 +2200 +16.5 0
NY Jets +3.0 -115 -17.0 -120 -2.5 -125 -22.5 -141 -23.5 0 -16.5 0
Sun (10/9) @ 1:03pm ET TEN Titans -2.5 -115 -4.0 -130 -4.5 -115 -4.0 -400 -3.5 -152 -4.0 -141
WAS Commanders +2.5 -105 +4.0 +100 +4.5 -110 +4.0 +300 +3.5 +116 +4.0 +120
Sun (10/9) @ 1:03pm ET HOU Texans +7.0 -110 +2.5 +120 -1.5 -125 -7.0 +100 -12.5 +6000 -6.5 -200
JAX Jaguars -7.0 -110 -2.5 -149 +1.5 -105 +7.0 -130 +12.5 0 +6.5 +165
Sun (10/9) @ 1:03pm ET ATL Falcons +7.5 -110 +13.5 -110 +14.5 -141 +13.5 +100 +8.5 +175 +6.5 -200
TB Buccaneers -7.5 -110 -13.5 -120 -14.5 +105 -13.5 -130 -8.5 -233 -6.5 +165
Sun (10/9) @ 4:05pm ET SF 49ers -5.0 -110 -21.5 -714 -15.5 +140 -22.0 +155 -6.0 -109 -21.5 -10000 -21.5 -110
CAR Panthers +5.0 -110 +21.5 +490 +15.5 -185 +22.0 -189 +6.0 -112 +21.5 +1600 +21.5 -105
Sun (10/9) @ 4:25pm ET PHI Eagles -5.5 -105 -4.5 +110 -6.5 -115 -5.5 -135 -5.5 -110 -2.5 -196 -6.5 -108
ARI Cardinals +5.5 -115 +4.5 -141 +6.5 -110 +5.5 +105 +5.5 -110 +2.5 +148 +6.5 -108
Sun (10/9) @ 4:25pm ET DAL Cowboys +4.5 -110 -6.5 +110 -6.5 -115 -12.0 -500 +5.0 -109 -5.5 -110 -11.5 -145
LA Rams -4.5 -110 +6.5 -141 +6.5 -115 +12.0 +375 -5.0 -112 +5.5 -118 +11.5 +125
Sun (10/9) @ 8:22pm ET CIN Bengals +3.5 -110 +6.0 -105 +5.5 +100 +1.5 +210 +3.0 -105 +2.5 -233 +2.5 -120
BAL Ravens -3.5 -110 -6.0 -125 -5.5 -130 -1.5 -263 -3.0 -115 -2.5 +172 -2.5 +105
Mon (10/10) @ 8:15pm ET LV Raiders +7.5 -115 +5.0 -125 +1.5 -10000 +6.5 +115 +1.5 0 +6.5 +135
KC Chiefs -7.5 -105 -5.0 -105 -1.5 +3300 -6.5 -145 -1.5 +7500 -6.5 -161
Thu (10/6) @ 8:15pm ET IND Colts u43.5 -115 u21 -115 u25.5 -185 u26.5 +390 u21 -115
DEN Broncos o43.5 -105 o21 -115 o25.5 +140 o26.5 -625 o21 +100
Sun (10/9) @ 9:32am ET NY Giants u41.5 -105 u46 -105 u49.5 -10000 u49.5 0 u54 -108
GB Packers o41.5 -115 o46 -125 o49.5 +1600 o49.5 +3000 o54 -108
Sun (10/9) @ 1:00pm ET PIT Steelers u47.5 -110 u43.5 -115 u44.5 -120 u44.5 -110 u45.0 -114 u41.5 0 u47 +100
BUF Bills o47.5 -110 o43.5 -115 o44.5 +100 o44.5 -110 o45.0 -108 o41.5 +7000 o47 -115
Sun (10/9) @ 1:00pm ET CHI Bears o42.5 -115 o51.5 -105 o49.5 +110 o44 -110 o44.0 -112 o51.5 +6000 o51.5 +220
MIN Vikings u42.5 -105 u51.5 -125 u49.5 -135 u44 -110 u44.0 -109 u51.5 0 u51.5 -278
Sun (10/9) @ 1:00pm ET SEA Seahawks u43.5 -110 u62 -110 u56.5 -115 u45 -110 u46.0 -110 u71.5 -476 u62.5 +110
NO Saints o43.5 -110 o62 -120 o56.5 -105 o45 -110 o46.0 -110 o71.5 +320 o62.5 -130
Sun (10/9) @ 1:01pm ET LA Chargers u48.5 -105 u64.5 -115 u68.5 +100 u58.5 +165 u65.5 0
CLE Browns o48.5 -115 o64.5 -115 o68.5 -120 o58.5 +7500 o65.5 0
Sun (10/9) @ 1:02pm ET DET Lions o46.5 -110 o34.5 -120 o33.5 +140 o29.5 +1700 o34.5 -108
NE Patriots u46.5 -110 u34.5 -110 u33.5 -175 u29.5 0 u34.5 -108
Sun (10/9) @ 1:02pm ET MIA Dolphins o44.5 -110 o57.5 +185 o45.5 -135 o57.5 +7500 o63.5 0
NY Jets u44.5 -110 u57.5 -233 u45.5 +110 u57.5 0 u63.5 0
Sun (10/9) @ 1:03pm ET TEN Titans o42.5 -105 o45 -115 o50.5 -125 o38.5 +114 o44.5 -135
WAS Commanders u42.5 -115 u45 -115 u50.5 -105 u38.5 -147 u44.5 +115
Sun (10/9) @ 1:03pm ET HOU Texans o44.5 -105 o18.5 -125 o18.5 -154 o19.5 +4000 o20.5 +110
JAX Jaguars u44.5 -115 u18.5 -105 u18.5 +120 u19.5 0 u20.5 -130
Sun (10/9) @ 1:03pm ET ATL Falcons o48.5 -110 o35.5 +105 o36.5 +100 o39.5 +182 o37.5 +135
TB Buccaneers u48.5 -110 u35.5 -135 u36.5 -130 u39.5 -244 u37.5 -161
Sun (10/9) @ 4:05pm ET SF 49ers u39.5 -110 u49 -105 u49.5 -141 u40.0 -112 u52.5 -10000 u48.5 -110
CAR Panthers o39.5 -110 o49 -125 o49.5 +105 o40.0 -109 o52.5 +1600 o48.5 -105
Sun (10/9) @ 4:25pm ET PHI Eagles u49.5 -110 u40.5 +110 u37.5 -130 u48.5 -110 u48.5 -109 u42.5 +125 u37.5 -105
ARI Cardinals o49.5 -110 o40.5 -141 o37.5 +100 o48.5 -110 o48.5 -112 o42.5 -164 o37.5 -110
Sun (10/9) @ 4:25pm ET DAL Cowboys o45.5 -110 o38.5 -120 o35.5 -125 o42.0 -110 o38.5 -132 o33.5 +115
LA Rams u45.5 -110 u38.5 -110 u35.5 -105 u42.0 -110 u38.5 +102 u33.5 -135
Sun (10/9) @ 8:22pm ET CIN Bengals u48.5 -115 u36 -105 u36.5 -125 u47.5 -110 u36.5 -213 u33 +115
BAL Ravens o48.5 -105 o36 -125 o36.5 -105 o47.5 -110 o36.5 +162 o33 -135
Mon (10/10) @ 8:15pm ET LV Raiders u52.5 -110 u60.5 -120 u60.5 -120 u59.5 0 u58.5 -105
KC Chiefs o52.5 -110 o60.5 -110 o60.5 +100 o59.5 +2200 o58.5 -110
About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo is a multiple award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970’s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. He has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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