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The 2024 NFL Draft is over. Although training camp doesn’t begin for a few months, oddsmakers still project which rookies from this class will be the best at the end of the season. Here, we will break down the top NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds. Throughout the draft, fans and bettors watched closely as teams selected an offensive player with the first 14 selections. This should make for a loaded Offensive ROY field this season, which can make finding a winner this early in the offseason challenging.
However, this also means that there is a ton of value on the board immediately following the draft. Let’s look at the latest NFL Offensive ROY odds and give a quick breakdown of the early betting favorites.
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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds
| Player | Position | Team | NFL OROY Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | QB | Chicago Bears | +225 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | Arizona Cardinals | +600 |
| Jayden Daniels | QB | Washington Commanders | +700 |
| J.J. McCarthy | QB | Minnesota Vikings | +1100 |
| Malik Nabers | WR | New York Giants | +1100 |
| Rome Odunze | WR | Chicago Bears | +1200 |
| Drake Maye | QB | New England Patriots | +1400 |
| Xavier Worthy | WR | Kansas City Chiefs | +1600 |
| Bo Nix | QB | Denver Broncos | +2000 |
| Brock Bowers | TE | Las Vegas Raiders | +2000 |
Favorites to Win NFL Offensive ROY
Caleb Williams (+225)
To no one’s surprise, Caleb Williams is the early favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. After a record-breaking career at USC, which included a 2022 Heisman Trophy, Williams became the first quarterback to be selected with the first overall pick by the Chicago Bears in franchise history.
While he is entering a unit with a shaky offensive line, the Bears have entirely re-tooled the skill rooms, adding Keenan Allen via trade and drafting Washington receiver Rome Odunze with the No. 9 pick in the draft. Williams will have plenty of weapons at his disposal, and based on his history of being a ‘generational quarterback talent,’ he is the rightful early betting favorite for Offensive ROY.
Marvin Harrison Jr. (+600)
There is a noticeable dropoff in odds from Williams to Marvin Harrison Jr., and for good reason. But Harrison has been the best wide receiver in college for the past two seasons and was practically the entire reason Ohio State only lost one regular season game.
In two years as the Buckeyes’ No.1 receiver, he put up back-to-back 1,200-yard and 14-touchdown seasons. He is also a big-body receiver who can go up and high-point the ball and routinely makes incredible catches near the sidelines. Harrison is also very quick for his size. He will undoubtedly be Kyler Murray’s primary target this season, so there will be plenty of opportunities to rack up yards and make a run at Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Jayden Daniels (+700)
Entering the 2023-2024 College Football season, Jayden Daniels was viewed as a mid-round selection. After a historic Heisman campaign, Daniels shot up draft boards and was ultimately selected by the Washington Commanders as the No. 2 overall pick. The dual-threat quarterback rushed for over 1,100 yards and 10 touchdowns last season.
Daniels also completed 72.2% of his passes for 3,812 yards and 40 touchdowns. His game logs show you how overwhelmingly dominant he was last season and why the Commanders made him their franchise player. He still has some things to work on, like avoiding contact, but his ability to throw the ball downfield and use his legs to rip off big chunks make him an interesting Rookie of the Year pick.
J.J. McCarthy (+1100)
All J.J. McCarthy does is win. Dating back to middle school, McCarthy has only lost three games as the starting quarterback, with one in college, a CFP semifinal loss to TCU. Last year, he did what no other Michigan quarterback has done in multiple decades and led the Wolverines to an outright National Championship.
Because of his play last year, the Minnesota Vikings selected him as a top-10 draft pick. After Kirk Cousins’s departure, McCarthy will be the presumed Week 1 starter, and he will have the best receiver in football, Justin Jefferson, to help him in his rookie season.McCarthy does not blow you away like other top QB selections in the draft, but he does not turn the ball over, can make the important throws, and is well-liked by his teammates.
Malik Nabers (+1100)
Malik Nabers, the second wide receiver off the board, put up a historic season at LSU in 2023. He caught 89 passes for 1,569 yards and 14 touchdowns, breaking the LSU single-season record for receiving yards. Nabers is an elite three-level player who will instantly improve the Giants’ offenses. His world-class explosiveness and ability in space make him one of the best deep threats in this class. While the Giants’ quarterback situation may handicap his production, Nabers is well worth a look with his Rookie of the Year odds, especially at this price.
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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year History
| Year | Player | Team | Position | Preseason Odds | Draft Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | QB | +850 | Round 1, Pick 2 |
| 2022 | Garrett WIlson | New York Jets | WR | +2000 | Round 1, Pick 10 |
| 2021 | Ja’Marr Chase | Cincinnati Bengals | WR | +1800 | Round 1, Pick 5 |
| 2020 | Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers | QB | +3000 | Round 1, Pick 6 |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray | Arizona Cardinals | QB | +150* | Round 1, Pick 1 |
| 2018 | Saquon Barkley | New York Giants | RB | +155* | Round 1, Pick 2 |
| 2017 | Alvin Kamara | New Orleans Saints | RB | +5000 | Round 3, Pick 67 |
| 2016 | Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | QB | +900 | Round 4, Pick 135 |
| 2015 | Todd Gurley | Los Angeles Rams | RB | +1350 | Round 1, Pick 10 |
| 2014 | Odell Beckham Jr. | New York Giants | WR | +2500 | Round 1, Pick 12 |
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends
- A first-round pick has won Offensive ROY in the last six seasons.
- 17 of the last 20 winners were drafted in the first round.
- The last No. 1 overall pick to win Rookie of the Year was Kyler Murray in 2019.
- No offensive lineman has ever won Offensive ROY.
- Quarterbacks have won 11 Offensive Rookie of the Year awards since 2004.
