Colorado at Minnesota Odds & Pick: Gophers Massive Favorites … for Good Reason

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Minnesota paralyzes foes with the most lethal ball-control offense that the college game has seen since at least 2003, and one of its two tailbacks responsible for such incredible efficiency is a fantastic comeback story. The Gophers are heavy favorites vs. Colorado for very solid reasons, none more impressive than the 30-0 shellacking they pasted on the Buffaloes in Boulder a year ago. Here are odds and a pick for this Week 3 college football game

Through the air, Minnesota possesses one of the game’s most reliable quarterbacks. The Gophers’ defense is nearly the most stifling in the nation, and Colorado’s is one of the worst.

It adds up to another shellacking for the Buffs, and ESPN2 will televise the carnage.

Colorado vs. Minnesota Betting Lines: Point Spead, Total, Moneyline

The Gophers are favored by about four touchdowns, per oddsboards during early wagering. Here are live lines from around the betting market.

 

COL Colorado vs MINN Minnesota Odds NCAAF Odds

NCAAF · Sat (9/17) @ 3:36pm ET

COL Colorado at MINN Minnesota
Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota

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Colorado Buffaloes (0-2, 0-2 against the spread)

This program once experienced a 21-season stretch (1985-05) in which it went to 17 bowl games, won six of them in a row and had only three losing seasons.

Since then, however, a winning campaign is the anomaly.

Colorado lost at home to TCU, 38-13, and at Air Force, 41-10. Its 0.184 points per play is 114th among the 131 D-I programs, its allowance of 7.3 yards per play to the opposition is No. 122 in the country.

On defense, James Madison leads the nation by allowing a paltry 1.8 yards per play, next is Minnesota and UCLA, both at 2.6 average yards. This will mimic a varsity vs. jay vee clash.

Locals discussed a “quarterback mystery” going into the Air Force game, as if it matters. It doesn’t. Neither Brendon Lewis nor JT Shrout rates among the country’s top 100 quarterbacks.

Over this program’s past 18 quarters, its offense is responsible for only three touchdowns. Colorado is horrible on third down and in the red zone, areas in which Minnesota excels.

It is extremely difficult to find anything positive that the Buffs do, and third-year coach Karl Dorrell sits squarely on a hot seat vacated on Sunday by Scott Frost in Nebraska.

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Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-0, 2-0 ATS)

Mohamed Ibrahim ruptured his left Achilles’ tendon in the opener against Ohio State last season, but it says plenty about the Gophers that they regrouped, stayed on track and defeated West Virginia in a bowl game.

Ibrahim has had a ferocious return, as his 262 rushing yards are 11th in the nation. He’s tied with a bunch of peers with four touchdowns. His complement is Treyson Potts, who has 168 yards on the ground and three rushing TDs.

colorado vs minnesota odds, Mohamed Ibrahim
Mohamed Ibrahim and Minnesota are laying lots of points on oddsboards to Colorado in NCAAF Week 3 (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

Together, they fuel an attack that possesses the ball an astounding 74.2 percent of the time.

Ibrahim racked up 1,000-yard seasons in 2018 and ’20, and the Baltimore native has 3,265 yards and 37 touchdowns in his collegiate career. Potts has 900 career yards and 11 TDs.

Here’s the best part. Between Ibrahim and Potts, they’ve had 756 total carries in college and fumbled it just three times.

Ibrahim had blistered the Buckeyes for 162 yards and two scores when he left the field. He told the Minneapolis Star-Tribune that he first thought it was a cramp. The diagnosis surprised him, but the devout young man turned to his faith for support.

During a grinding rehab regimen, he kept his sanity by helping to coach his fellow tailbacks. He is less than 1,400 yards from catching Minnesota career rushing leader Darrell Thompson.

When sixth-year coach PJ Fleck goes to the air, he turns to Tanner Morgan, No. 1 in the country with a yards-per-attempt rate of 12.5. That, folks, is élite. The Super Senior from Kentucky has thrown for more than 8,000 yards in his career, with 57 touchdowns and 27 interceptions.

His QB Rating is a Big Ten-best 186.6. He has forced nothing, too, having gone 27-for-37 for 461 yards, one TD, no picks.

The Golden Gophers are giving a bundle, and still covering. They gave 36 points to New Mexico State in the opener and won, 38-0. They yielded 41 to Western Illinois and dominated, 62-10.

Minnesota has tallied 100 points, having allowed one mere touchdown on defense.

Also read: Heisman odds | CFP National Championship odds

Colorado vs. Minnesota Sports Betting Recommendation & Pick

I’ve discussed this total, of 46, with several pro bettors, and a general consensus says Minnesota might score this many points by itself. The real gambling test here might be, do the Gophers record a second consecutive shutout of Colorado?

Our Pick: Golden Gophers -27 (-110)

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About the Author
Rob Miech

Rob Miech

Rob Miech is a writer and contributor for Gaming Today, covering soccer and producing sports betting features. He has written about college hoops for the Las Vegas Sun, CBS SportsLine and the Pasadena Star-News. He is the author of four books, including Sports Betting for Winners.

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